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Northern Kentucky

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Horizon · 16-15 · AdjEM -4.2, 214 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
-4.2214 of 362
AdjO
100.3236 of 362
AdjD
104.5181 of 362
AdjT
70.2161 of 362

Northern Kentucky went from -1.5 (#190) on 2023-11-05 to -4.2 (#214) on 2024-04-08, peaking at -1.5 (#190) on 2023-11-05.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
50.6%178
TOV%
16.6%223
OREB%
27.0%163
FTA/FGA
35.1%110
Opp eFG%
51.3%221
Opp TOV%
18.6%40
DREB%
68.8%330
Opp FTA/FGA
28.8%84

Résumé16-15 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
-4.4259 of 362
Non-conference
+2.0140 of 362
Luck
+2.5%124 of 362
Wins above bubble
-10.3197 of 362
Quad 1
0-3
Quad 2
0-0
Quad 3
4-8
Quad 4
12-4

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Marques WarrickG3336.219.92.52.449.0%55.1%28.4%29.8%86.7%
Michael BradleyG3333.710.22.54.552.0%55.3%16.4%37.8%79.1%
Trey RobinsonG3331.311.77.01.946.9%50.6%21.7%22.9%67.2%
LJ WellsF3325.88.75.51.250.2%53.6%19.0%40.0%67.8%
Keeyan ItejereF3024.87.74.90.667.6%65.5%14.9%—55.0%
Randall Pettus IIG2816.35.32.61.149.6%54.2%18.3%33.3%82.9%
Sam VinsonG1333.013.35.13.251.4%54.3%21.1%32.7%68.9%
Jeramiah IsraelG3113.33.92.10.749.1%51.3%16.5%28.9%73.7%
Cade MeyerF2212.84.62.40.356.0%54.3%20.4%—44.7%
Cesar TchilomboF244.00.50.80.050.0%54.6%11.5%—75.0%
Fiston IpassouG165.00.80.80.134.6%37.9%12.5%37.5%50.0%
Cole ShermanG91.30.80.20.162.5%70.7%20.8%50.0%100.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games16-15

“Ours” is our projected margin for Northern Kentucky, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06@Middle TennesseeQ4#278L 57-74-6.9
11-09@WashingtonQ1#65L 67-75-13.0
11-19@CincinnatiQ1#33L 66-90-14.6
11-22vsTexas A&M-Corpus ChristiQ4#225W 88-73+2.1
11-25vsLong Island UniversityQ4#353W 72-64+17.7
11-29vsRobert MorrisQ4#299W 77-59+4.6
12-02@IU IndianapolisQ4#361W 71-55+8.7
12-06@Illinois StateQ3#201L 59-62-3.3
12-09vsAkronQ3#114L 76-77-1.3
12-17@Eastern KentuckyQ3#192W 85-75-2.4
12-21@Saint Mary'sQ1#14L 56-92-15.4
12-29@Purdue Fort WayneQ3#165L 60-73-7.4
01-04vsYoungstown StateQ3#149W 79-76-1.2
01-07@Cleveland StateQ3#207L 85-88-6.5
01-10@OaklandQ3#146L 65-70-6.3
01-13@Detroit MercyQ4#348W 81-76+8.2
01-18vsMilwaukeeQ4#233W 90-72+5.4
01-20vsGreen BayQ4#280W 74-52+7.0
01-25vsPurdue Fort WayneQ4#165L 58-63+3.4
01-28@Youngstown StateQ3#149L 52-82-7.4
02-04vsWright StateQ4#162L 78-85+0.5
02-08vsOaklandQ3#146W 99-89+0.1
02-10vsDetroit MercyQ4#348W 79-67+16.0
02-14@Green BayQ4#280W 58-57-1.5
02-17@MilwaukeeQ3#233L 72-73-1.4
02-22vsCleveland StateQ4#207W 75-73+2.9
02-25vsIU IndianapolisQ4#361W 80-64+21.3
02-28@Robert MorrisQ4#299W 70-60+1.0
03-02@Wright StateQ3#162L 88-94-7.6
03-07@Wright StateQ3#162W 99-97-7.0
03-11nMilwaukeeQ4#233L 75-82+1.4

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.