Middle Tennessee

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

CUSA · 12-19 · AdjEM -8.8, 278 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →

AdjEM: -8.8278 of 362
AdjO: 95.5316 of 362
AdjD: 104.3178 of 362
AdjT: 68.9245 of 362

Middle Tennessee went from +3.4 (#130) on 2023-11-05 to -8.8 (#278) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +4.6 (#116) on 2023-11-06.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 46.0%333
TOV%: 19.1%339
OREB%: 25.7%209
FTA/FGA: 34.9%122
Opp eFG%: 49.5%121
Opp TOV%: 14.8%263
DREB%: 71.5%246
Opp FTA/FGA: 29.6%106

Résumé12-19 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength: +0.9140 of 362
Non-conference: +2.0139 of 362
Luck: +9.3%17 of 362
Wins above bubble: -13.9279 of 362

Quad 1: 0-1
Quad 2: 1-2
Quad 3: 3-14
Quad 4: 8-2

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players15 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Elias KingG	33	32.4	12.4	4.5	0.9	49.3%	51.6%	22.3%	32.7%	69.6%
Jestin PorterG	33	31.8	13.9	3.3	1.8	47.3%	50.5%	26.2%	33.7%	77.5%
Justin BuffordG	33	29.9	7.4	3.6	1.3	39.9%	44.1%	17.1%	20.9%	65.5%
Jacob JohnsonG	33	28.5	5.6	4.2	1.0	47.4%	51.9%	12.1%	33.3%	62.1%
Jared Coleman-JonesF	33	28.1	11.0	7.6	2.3	48.6%	54.0%	25.0%	44.2%	77.1%
Jalen JordanG	30	16.5	6.4	1.6	0.9	50.3%	54.7%	21.7%	33.9%	74.1%
Tre GreenG	29	14.5	4.2	1.7	0.6	40.3%	47.5%	18.9%	32.1%	80.0%
Chris LoofeF	31	10.2	2.6	2.5	0.4	57.5%	57.4%	16.4%	33.3%	54.2%
Ty MosleyG	20	12.6	1.4	1.4	0.6	29.5%	33.5%	11.7%	13.6%	83.3%
Christian FussellF	16	9.3	1.6	2.3	0.1	29.5%	45.4%	12.9%	14.3%	92.9%
O'zhell JacksonG	9	11.2	2.3	2.2	0.9	60.0%	54.5%	16.3%	0.0%	33.3%
Josh OgundeleF	9	8.9	3.8	2.8	0.4	56.5%	56.4%	27.7%	—	53.3%
Camryn WestonG	2	26.5	11.0	4.5	3.5	41.7%	49.4%	28.0%	20.0%	77.8%
Jack JubenvilleG	9	2.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	25.0%	25.0%	20.4%	—	—
Isiah LightsyG	9	1.8	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0%	0.0%	16.4%	0.0%	—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games12-19

“Ours” is our projected margin for Middle Tennessee, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-06	vsNorthern Kentucky	Q4#214	W 74-57	+6.9	67	11-05
11-09	vsStephen F. Austin	Q4#169	W 67-62	+3.8	70	11-06
11-13	vsWestern Carolina	Q3#118	L 64-66	+8.9	70	11-06
11-21	vsUAB	Q3#105	L 57-58	+0.7	73	11-20
11-24	nUIC	Q3#181	L 40-70	+3.7	71	11-20
11-25	nOhio	Q3#135	L 68-80	-3.3	69	11-20
11-26	nKansas City	Q4#228	W 63-59	+12.4	69	11-20
12-02	vsWofford	Q4#182	L 64-74	+6.9	70	11-27
12-05	vsMissouri State	Q3#141	W 77-73	-5.0	68	12-04
12-09	vsBelmont	Q3#120	L 65-75	-0.7	70	12-04
12-19	@Saint Mary's	Q1#14	L 34-71	-18.5	67	12-18
12-22	@Southern Utah	Q3#238	L 63-69	-6.7	71	12-18
12-30	@Murray State	Q3#172	L 54-75	-5.3	68	12-25
01-11	vsLouisiana Tech	Q3#82	L 52-60	-7.6	69	01-08
01-13	vsSam Houston	Q3#143	L 51-60	-0.8	70	01-08
01-18	@UTEP	Q3#176	L 59-73	-7.3	69	01-15
01-20	@New Mexico State	Q4#289	L 62-73	-4.8	69	01-15
01-24	vsJacksonville State	Q4#211	W 75-67	-2.4	68	01-22
01-27	vsFlorida International	Q4#285	W 79-61	+1.2	71	01-22
02-03	@Western Kentucky	Q3#138	L 65-88	-10.4	72	01-29
02-08	@Liberty	Q2#119	L 53-88	-14.8	68	02-05
02-10	@Florida International	Q4#285	W 68-66	-3.1	71	02-05
02-15	vsNew Mexico State	Q4#289	W 76-69	+1.6	69	02-12
02-17	vsUTEP	Q4#176	W 96-90	-2.0	70	02-12
02-21	@Jacksonville State	Q3#211	L 68-76	-8.1	68	02-19
02-24	vsWestern Kentucky	Q3#138	W 74-72	-4.7	72	02-19
03-02	@Sam Houston	Q3#143	L 64-81	-10.1	70	02-26
03-05	vsLiberty	Q3#119	W 69-61	-7.4	68	03-04
03-09	@Louisiana Tech	Q2#82	L 70-84	-17.0	68	03-04
03-13	nLouisiana Tech	Q2#82	W 70-67	-12.9	68	03-11
03-15	nWestern Kentucky	Q3#138	L 54-85	-7.2	72	03-11

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.