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California

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Pac-12 · 12-20 · AdjEM +0.3, 168 of 359 nationally.

2021-22 seasonthrough ratings as of 2022-04-0421 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2022-04-04

Every team →
AdjEM
+0.3168 of 359
AdjO
98.1240 of 359
AdjD
97.8103 of 359
AdjT
66.1328 of 359

California went from -2.2 (#249) on 2021-11-15 to +0.3 (#168) on 2022-04-04, peaking at +3.6 (#110) on 2022-01-03.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2021-11-152022-04-04

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
46.9%302
TOV%
15.9%73
OREB%
23.1%280
FTA/FGA
25.3%310
Opp eFG%
47.5%65
Opp TOV%
13.9%339
DREB%
79.1%14
Opp FTA/FGA
31.5%216

Résumé12-20 · against the ratings of 2022-04-04

Schedule strength
+5.277 of 359
Non-conference
+0.5194 of 359
Luck
-4.2%260 of 359
Wins above bubble
-8.9217 of 359
Quad 1
0-7
Quad 2
3-7
Quad 3
2-5
Quad 4
7-1

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Jordan ShepherdG3232.814.62.92.342.9%48.6%28.7%29.2%79.0%
Grant AnticevichF3231.59.76.81.044.1%45.6%21.2%32.1%81.5%
Joel BrownG3026.74.83.53.243.0%43.8%15.0%23.1%46.7%
Jalen CelestineG3125.17.53.10.948.6%50.9%18.4%34.1%80.6%
Andre KellyF2130.213.48.40.861.2%62.5%21.6%50.0%69.2%
Kuany KuanyF3017.04.82.40.548.2%54.2%17.0%31.9%76.9%
Lars ThiemannC3214.44.73.40.552.3%57.2%18.9%—75.5%
Makale ForemanG3113.04.10.90.843.5%46.0%20.8%25.0%82.4%
Sam AlajikiF3012.53.11.90.460.3%60.8%14.0%50.0%62.5%
Jarred HyderG228.91.30.60.827.6%33.5%14.7%18.8%72.7%
Obinna AnyanwuF244.90.91.30.039.1%41.0%14.8%0.0%50.0%
Marsalis RobersonG175.50.61.00.531.3%30.7%15.3%0.0%25.0%
Dimitrios KlonarasF46.31.51.00.042.9%42.9%17.6%0.0%—
Logan AltersG11.00.02.00.00.0%0.0%54.9%0.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games12-20

“Ours” is our projected margin for California, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-09vsUC San DiegoQ4#266L 67-80—
11-13@UNLVQ2#105L 52-55—
11-15vsSan DiegoQ4#245W 75-70—
11-18vsSouthern UtahQ4#161W 75-68+9.9
11-22nFloridaQ2#68L 60-80-2.7
11-24nSeton HallQ2#71L 59-62-8.9
11-28vsFresno StateQ2#63W 65-57+8.3
12-02vsOregon StateQ4#286W 73-61+9.8
12-05@UtahQ3#159L 58-66-14.2
12-08vsIdaho StateQ4#338W 72-46+14.5
12-11vsSanta ClaraQ2#69W 72-60+2.7
12-19vsDartmouthQ4#211W 61-55+9.0
12-22vsPacificQ4#303W 73-53+11.2
01-02vsArizona StateQ3#122W 74-50+9.0
01-06vsUSCQ2#56L 63-77-1.2
01-08vsUCLAQ1#11L 52-60+0.8
01-12@WashingtonQ3#140L 55-64-1.9
01-15@Washington StateQ1#35L 57-65-11.5
01-23vsArizonaQ1#3L 71-96-8.5
01-27@UCLAQ1#11L 57-81-13.0
01-29@USCQ1#56L 72-79-12.4
02-01@StanfordQ2#135L 50-57-5.1
02-03vsWashingtonQ3#140L 63-84+6.4
02-05vsWashington StateQ2#35L 64-68-3.5
02-09@Oregon StateQ4#286W 63-61+1.1
02-12@OregonQ2#90W 78-64-9.6
02-17vsColoradoQ3#83L 62-70+1.4
02-19vsUtahQ3#159L 58-60+3.7
02-26vsStanfordQ3#135W 53-39+2.2
03-03@Arizona StateQ2#122L 44-71-4.0
03-05@ArizonaQ1#3L 61-89-18.2
03-09nWashington StateQ1#35L 59-66-7.3

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 359 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.