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Northern Arizona

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big Sky · 7-23 · AdjEM -15.3, 340 of 359 nationally.

2021-22 seasonthrough ratings as of 2022-04-0421 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2022-04-04

Every team →
AdjEM
-15.3340 of 359
AdjO
93.8320 of 359
AdjD
109.1341 of 359
AdjT
67.9273 of 359

Northern Arizona went from -2.1 (#247) on 2021-11-15 to -15.3 (#340) on 2022-04-04, peaking at -2.1 (#247) on 2021-11-15.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2021-11-152022-04-04

Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
47.9%267
TOV%
18.8%281
OREB%
26.1%171
FTA/FGA
27.7%257
Opp eFG%
53.0%302
Opp TOV%
13.2%349
DREB%
77.2%53
Opp FTA/FGA
34.1%273

Résumé7-23 · against the ratings of 2022-04-04

Schedule strength
-2.5247 of 359
Non-conference
+2.4114 of 359
Luck
-1.0%188 of 359
Wins above bubble
-16.6337 of 359
Quad 1
0-2
Quad 2
0-1
Quad 3
0-9
Quad 4
7-11

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players13 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Jalen ConeG3234.718.83.03.647.8%52.3%32.3%35.2%82.7%
Nik MainsF3233.111.55.11.055.5%57.0%17.1%40.1%81.3%
Carson TowtF3229.78.48.83.748.7%48.7%18.4%—46.3%
Keith Haymon IIF2826.89.83.40.947.7%48.4%22.8%36.2%55.0%
Mason StarkG3117.55.01.70.649.3%52.8%15.5%38.2%82.8%
Ezekiel RichardsC3117.14.83.80.451.8%57.1%14.8%—81.4%
Isaiah LewisF3114.52.23.00.940.0%40.8%13.2%20.0%46.7%
Jay GreenG2810.93.31.70.656.7%55.9%18.8%66.7%50.0%
Jayden JacksonG1813.13.11.90.738.7%42.8%17.7%26.9%57.7%
Wynton BrownF2210.62.42.00.552.5%51.5%15.2%33.3%45.5%
Ajang AguekF257.82.31.50.347.6%54.3%18.0%16.7%75.0%
Carter MahaneyG88.50.50.90.310.0%18.3%10.6%0.0%100.0%
Spencer RobertsF64.52.50.80.260.0%63.0%24.7%—75.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games7-23

“Ours” is our projected margin for Northern Arizona, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-09@ArizonaQ1#3L 52-81—
11-11@WashingtonQ3#140L 62-73—
11-18vsCal State BakersfieldQ4#269W 74-64+12.6
11-20nUT Rio Grande ValleyQ4#298W 89-87+3.8
11-22vsUT Rio Grande ValleyQ4#298L 80-82+16.3
11-24vsCal State FullertonQ3#142L 56-73+3.0
12-02@Weber StateQ3#150L 44-67-19.3
12-04@Idaho StateQ4#338W 73-70-6.3
12-11@South DakotaQ3#199L 71-76-6.9
12-18nSan DiegoQ4#245L 59-69-4.0
12-20@GonzagaQ1#1L 49-95-23.4
01-01vsEastern WashingtonQ4#209L 65-78-0.4
01-17vsIdahoQ4#328W 74-72+5.5
01-20vsMontana StateQ3#115L 84-89-5.2
01-22vsMontanaQ4#250L 48-58-1.5
01-24vsSacramento StateQ4#311W 70-65+2.3
01-29vsPortland StateQ4#262L 76-97+4.1
01-31@Southern UtahQ3#161L 66-78-12.1
02-03@Sacramento StateQ4#311W 62-61-6.1
02-05vsNorthern ColoradoQ4#207L 71-74-4.0
02-07@Northern ColoradoQ3#207L 60-82-12.6
02-10@MontanaQ4#250W 72-67-11.3
02-12@Montana StateQ2#115L 70-72-16.7
02-17@Portland StateQ4#262L 67-68-7.0
02-21vsSouthern UtahQ4#161L 48-79-4.9
02-24vsIdaho StateQ4#338L 66-70+4.5
02-26vsWeber StateQ3#150L 49-73-6.5
03-03@Eastern WashingtonQ3#209L 62-69-13.0
03-05@IdahoQ4#328L 69-78-5.4
03-09nEastern WashingtonQ4#209L 75-78-9.6

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 359 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.