Northern Arizona

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big Sky · 14-16 · AdjEM -10.0, 271 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →

AdjEM: -10.0271 of 364
AdjO: 100.4246 of 364
AdjD: 110.4281 of 364
AdjT: 70.0161 of 364

Northern Arizona went from -11.6 (#299) on 2024-11-03 to -10.0 (#271) on 2025-04-07, peaking at -9.7 (#269) on 2025-03-17.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 50.3%201
TOV%: 14.1%45
OREB%: 29.3%128
FTA/FGA: 28.5%312
Opp eFG%: 53.7%310
Opp TOV%: 14.3%297
DREB%: 77.2%14
Opp FTA/FGA: 33.8%204

Résumé14-16 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength: -6.9309 of 364
Non-conference: -8.2359 of 364
Luck: +5.5%63 of 364
Wins above bubble: -13.7253 of 364

Quad 1: 0-0
Quad 2: 0-2
Quad 3: 1-7
Quad 4: 13-7

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Trent McLaughlinG	34	36.7	22.1	3.6	3.4	50.5%	53.7%	30.5%	34.6%	72.4%
Carson TowtF	34	33.6	13.3	12.4	3.4	56.9%	54.1%	21.1%	—	37.9%
Jayden JacksonG	33	32.2	12.6	3.7	3.4	52.1%	56.9%	20.0%	34.7%	81.1%
Monty BowserG	34	18.4	5.3	2.4	0.8	53.2%	54.9%	15.7%	39.1%	73.9%
Ryan AbelmanG	33	18.3	4.9	2.2	0.9	54.4%	56.2%	12.8%	39.3%	78.9%
Diego CampisanoF	30	17.2	7.1	2.3	0.6	54.1%	56.8%	19.9%	37.3%	83.9%
Oakland FortG	29	16.3	4.3	1.7	1.8	48.0%	49.3%	15.7%	29.1%	80.0%
Dillan BakerG	33	13.2	3.2	1.8	0.5	44.3%	46.7%	15.9%	27.7%	75.0%
Leigh Rickwood-PittF	31	10.4	2.8	2.0	0.2	61.8%	64.6%	13.2%	66.7%	73.1%
Jack WistrcillF	16	11.8	2.7	2.1	0.5	40.0%	44.3%	15.0%	31.6%	61.1%
Ali RagabC	20	7.1	1.6	2.5	0.2	51.9%	50.5%	17.5%	—	41.7%
C.J. FordG	12	3.5	0.8	0.5	0.3	27.3%	38.8%	19.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games14-16

“Ours” is our projected margin for Northern Arizona, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-12	@Stanford	Q2#84	L 64-90	-19.7	71	11-11
11-14	@Pacific	Q4#307	W 60-57	+1.0	72	11-11
11-22	vsIncarnate Word	Q4#258	W 75-74	+3.1	70	11-18
11-26	nEastern Michigan	Q4#296	L 68-72	+1.7	70	11-25
11-27	@Houston Christian	Q4#316	W 74-71	+4.1	71	11-25
12-04	@Oral Roberts	Q4#325	L 76-83	-4.8	71	12-02
12-07	vsSouth Dakota	Q4#251	W 95-82	-1.3	72	12-02
12-14	@Pepperdine	Q3#225	L 76-86	-8.3	70	12-09
12-21	@Southern Utah	Q4#293	W 83-75	-9.2	71	12-16
01-02	vsIdaho State	Q4#209	L 67-72	-1.8	69	12-30
01-04	vsWeber State	Q4#288	W 80-77	-0.7	70	12-30
01-09	@Montana	Q3#154	L 76-81	-11.9	70	01-06
01-11	@Montana State	Q3#178	L 53-58	-11.9	70	01-06
01-16	vsSacramento State	Q4#341	W 77-53	+7.3	69	01-13
01-18	vsPortland State	Q4#219	L 69-80	+0.8	71	01-13
01-23	@Eastern Washington	Q4#267	W 70-61	-6.7	70	01-20
01-25	@Idaho	Q4#276	W 80-72	-5.0	70	01-20
02-01	@Northern Colorado	Q2#133	L 69-87	-10.5	71	01-27
02-03	@Weber State	Q4#288	L 73-77	-4.2	69	01-27
02-06	vsMontana State	Q4#178	W 69-64	-3.7	70	02-03
02-08	vsMontana	Q3#154	L 80-83	-2.2	70	02-03
02-13	@Portland State	Q3#219	L 46-58	-6.6	71	02-10
02-15	@Sacramento State	Q4#341	W 65-61	+1.6	69	02-10
02-20	vsIdaho	Q4#276	L 78-83	+2.0	69	02-17
02-22	vsEastern Washington	Q4#267	W 87-67	-0.0	70	02-17
03-01	vsNorthern Colorado	Q3#133	L 73-83	-5.1	71	02-24
03-03	@Idaho State	Q3#209	W 82-79	-7.3	69	02-24
03-08	nEastern Washington	Q4#267	W 66-53	-0.9	70	03-03
03-09	nMontana	Q3#154	L 65-74	-6.5	70	03-03
03-23	nQueens University	Q4#208	L 78-85	-4.2	71	03-17

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.