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Cal State Fullerton

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big West · 19-11 · AdjEM +1.9, 141 of 359 nationally.

2021-22 seasonthrough ratings as of 2022-04-0421 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2022-04-04

Every team →
AdjEM
+1.9141 of 359
AdjO
102.4141 of 359
AdjD
100.5167 of 359
AdjT
68.4250 of 359

Cal State Fullerton went from +3.3 (#75) on 2021-11-15 to +1.9 (#142) on 2022-04-04, peaking at +6.0 (#60) on 2021-11-22.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2021-11-152022-04-04

Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
48.9%227
TOV%
16.9%142
OREB%
27.5%132
FTA/FGA
34.8%55
Opp eFG%
51.1%229
Opp TOV%
19.5%54
DREB%
73.3%201
Opp FTA/FGA
25.7%62

Résumé19-11 · against the ratings of 2022-04-04

Schedule strength
-1.6210 of 359
Non-conference
-0.3225 of 359
Luck
+6.0%61 of 359
Wins above bubble
-3.9118 of 359
Quad 1
0-3
Quad 2
2-1
Quad 3
6-4
Quad 4
11-3

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players13 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
E.J. AnosikeF3232.716.38.31.852.7%58.1%24.0%26.7%77.7%
Damari MilsteadG3230.812.13.22.851.1%54.7%20.9%37.6%77.9%
Vincent LeeF3227.28.06.10.652.4%55.9%15.4%0.0%70.0%
Latrell Wrightsell Jr.G3127.06.72.81.740.9%46.7%15.6%26.6%87.0%
Tray Maddox Jr.G3025.79.52.61.949.2%52.9%20.6%32.5%83.3%
Jalen HarrisG2818.89.31.00.949.7%55.8%25.2%42.9%81.0%
Dante Maddox Jr.G2319.36.82.61.047.8%50.8%20.3%25.0%71.4%
Ibrahim Famouke DoumbiaF236.11.01.90.150.0%48.5%10.4%0.0%40.0%
Lado LakuF196.21.80.80.134.8%49.4%18.6%—75.0%
Beril KabambaF331.08.78.71.330.3%34.0%27.7%14.3%54.5%
Grayson CarperG94.62.20.70.183.3%83.3%18.1%57.1%—
Landon SeamanF112.01.01.02.00.0%10.1%24.5%—50.0%
Landis SpiveyG25.00.00.00.00.0%0.0%19.8%0.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games19-11

“Ours” is our projected margin for Cal State Fullerton, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-09@Santa ClaraQ1#69L 77-84—
11-11@San José StateQ4#317L 76-78—
11-16vsGeorge WashingtonQ4#242W 74-59+15.0
11-19@San DiegoQ4#245W 57-55-13.5
11-23nUT Rio Grande ValleyQ4#298L 67-72+6.9
11-24@Northern ArizonaQ4#340W 73-56-3.0
11-29vsWyomingQ2#66L 66-79+4.1
12-04vsPacificQ4#303W 66-57+13.2
12-08@San Diego StateQ1#36L 56-66-4.8
12-30@Cal State BakersfieldQ4#269W 73-67-1.7
01-13vsCal State NorthridgeQ4#331W 79-64+11.9
01-15vsUC Santa BarbaraQ3#106W 79-73+7.1
01-20@UC IrvineQ2#119W 65-63-6.9
01-22vsUC San DiegoQ4#266W 83-80+9.2
01-27@UC DavisQ3#200W 74-58-3.6
01-29@UC RiversideQ3#154L 54-67-4.7
02-03vsCal PolyQ4#305W 61-50+12.3
02-05vsCal State BakersfieldQ4#269W 75-61+8.6
02-08@Long Beach StateQ3#183L 61-71-1.0
02-12@Hawai'iQ3#147L 55-72-3.0
02-17@UC Santa BarbaraQ2#106W 67-58-6.2
02-19@Cal State NorthridgeQ4#331W 81-73+3.9
02-24vsUC IrvineQ3#119W 66-64+1.2
02-26@UC San DiegoQ4#266L 76-81+2.7
03-03vsUC RiversideQ3#154L 72-75+3.9
03-05vsUC DavisQ4#200W 62-59+5.4
03-10nUC DavisQ3#200W 73-55+1.4
03-11nHawai'iQ3#147W 58-46-0.8
03-12nLong Beach StateQ3#183W 72-71+1.1
03-18nDukeQ1#10L 61-78-12.6

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 359 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.