Sacramento State

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Big Sky · 9-18 · AdjEM -10.4, 311 of 359 nationally.

2021-22 seasonthrough ratings as of 2022-04-0421 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2022-04-04

Every team →

AdjEM: -10.4311 of 359
AdjO: 94.7305 of 359
AdjD: 105.2283 of 359
AdjT: 65.9332 of 359

Sacramento State went from -0.6 (#203) on 2021-11-15 to -10.4 (#311) on 2022-04-04, peaking at -0.6 (#203) on 2021-11-15.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2021-11-152022-04-04

Four factorsraw season rates · 27 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 48.8%232
TOV%: 16.0%84
OREB%: 19.7%338
FTA/FGA: 28.3%241
Opp eFG%: 52.6%286
Opp TOV%: 17.0%200
DREB%: 74.5%146
Opp FTA/FGA: 33.7%265

Résumé9-18 · against the ratings of 2022-04-04

Schedule strength: -4.0294 of 359
Non-conference: +1.1163 of 359
Luck: -2.7%226 of 359
Wins above bubble: -12.9290 of 359

Quad 1: 0-1
Quad 2: 0-1
Quad 3: 1-7
Quad 4: 8-9

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players15 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Bryce FowlerG	29	33.5	19.0	5.3	4.0	52.1%	54.9%	32.0%	32.2%	69.2%
William FitzPatrickG	28	33.0	9.8	3.0	1.2	54.5%	55.7%	16.2%	40.7%	71.0%
Zach ChappellG	29	29.1	11.6	3.2	2.2	46.9%	51.0%	25.0%	36.0%	80.3%
Cameron WilbonG	27	28.4	9.1	5.1	1.1	47.6%	49.2%	20.8%	31.6%	60.8%
Jonathan KomagumC	27	28.2	5.9	6.8	0.9	49.5%	55.2%	12.4%	0.0%	67.1%
Deshaun HighlerG	13	22.4	4.5	2.1	1.5	33.6%	35.8%	18.4%	14.3%	50.0%
Rick Barros IIIG	19	14.6	2.7	0.9	0.3	55.6%	54.9%	10.7%	44.4%	33.3%
Hugo ClarkinC	27	10.1	1.6	1.6	0.2	58.6%	57.5%	9.2%	100.0%	40.0%
Teiano HardeeG	23	11.6	3.5	2.4	0.3	47.1%	49.5%	22.9%	44.0%	60.0%
Marcus GreeneG	19	9.3	2.0	1.1	0.3	47.2%	49.5%	12.8%	30.0%	80.0%
Elijah McCulloughG	21	5.5	0.7	0.1	0.1	43.8%	42.5%	8.7%	28.6%	0.0%
Chris HolleyG	11	7.1	1.5	0.4	0.5	34.0%	33.4%	24.0%	42.9%	0.0%
Akili EvansG	4	9.0	4.5	1.3	0.8	46.9%	50.3%	30.0%	16.7%	75.0%
Xavier FordG	7	3.6	0.1	0.3	0.0	0.0%	12.7%	10.8%	0.0%	50.0%
Theo SengF	8	2.4	1.3	0.1	0.0	28.6%	46.3%	30.9%	0.0%	75.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games9-18

“Ours” is our projected margin for Sacramento State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-13	@Utah	Q3#159	L 56-89	—
11-15	@Cal Poly	Q4#305	W 58-57	—
11-20	vsUC San Diego	Q4#266	L 56-71	+7.8	74	11-15
11-23	vsUC Davis	Q4#200	W 75-63	+5.7	73	11-22
11-27	@Arizona	Q1#3	L 59-105	-24.7	74	11-22
12-02	vsMontana	Q4#250	L 58-65	+8.6	70	11-29
12-04	vsMontana State	Q3#115	L 66-68	+2.4	71	11-29
12-30	@Southern Utah	Q3#161	L 51-64	-13.8	72	12-27
01-08	@Northern Colorado	Q3#207	W 85-71	-12.7	70	01-03
01-15	vsPortland State	Q4#262	L 62-67	+8.5	72	01-10
01-20	@Eastern Washington	Q3#209	L 62-75	-9.7	71	01-17
01-22	@Idaho	Q4#328	L 72-73	-1.9	72	01-17
01-24	@Northern Arizona	Q4#340	L 65-70	-2.3	69	01-17
01-27	vsIdaho State	Q4#338	W 61-60	+11.5	68	01-24
01-29	vsWeber State	Q3#150	L 59-79	-2.5	71	01-24
02-03	vsNorthern Arizona	Q4#340	L 61-62	+6.1	68	01-31
02-05	@Portland State	Q4#262	L 65-73	-5.2	70	01-31
02-10	vsNorthern Colorado	Q4#207	L 61-79	-2.0	69	02-07
02-12	vsSouthern Utah	Q4#161	L 57-83	-2.3	70	02-07
02-17	@Weber State	Q3#150	L 50-65	-13.3	69	02-14
02-19	@Idaho State	Q4#338	W 80-75	-1.6	66	02-14
02-24	vsIdaho	Q4#328	W 83-51	+2.9	69	02-21
02-26	vsEastern Washington	Q4#209	W 81-75	-3.9	69	02-21
03-03	@Montana State	Q2#115	L 69-75	-13.2	68	02-28
03-05	@Montana	Q4#250	W 72-71	-7.8	67	02-28
03-09	nIdaho	Q4#328	W 57-54	+1.7	69	03-07
03-10	nMontana State	Q3#115	L 61-83	-9.4	68	03-07

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 359 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.