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UTSA

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

American · 10-19 · AdjEM -3.1, 198 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
-3.1198 of 364
AdjO
105.7151 of 364
AdjD
108.8256 of 364
AdjT
71.674 of 364

UTSA went from -8.7 (#272) on 2024-11-03 to -3.1 (#198) on 2025-04-07, peaking at -3.0 (#198) on 2025-03-31.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 29 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
49.7%242
TOV%
14.4%54
OREB%
25.3%248
FTA/FGA
29.0%297
Opp eFG%
53.3%296
Opp TOV%
19.3%27
DREB%
66.3%354
Opp FTA/FGA
43.9%355

Résumé10-19 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
+1.5128 of 364
Non-conference
+0.4181 of 364
Luck
-5.6%294 of 364
Wins above bubble
-13.4245 of 364
Quad 1
1-2
Quad 2
0-7
Quad 3
5-6
Quad 4
4-4

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Primo SpearsG3036.619.81.84.046.0%51.5%29.6%36.0%84.4%
Marcus MillenderG3134.514.93.03.353.9%57.8%20.9%43.8%87.2%
Raekwon HortonF2534.412.25.91.651.2%58.0%17.6%22.4%83.5%
Damari MonsantoG3027.311.14.01.459.3%60.3%19.1%42.0%93.3%
Jonnivius SmithF3024.17.27.60.852.8%55.6%16.6%57.9%65.3%
Tai'Reon JosephG1923.68.81.91.146.7%49.5%20.5%26.8%70.3%
Baboucarr NjieF2414.32.42.70.844.0%46.1%10.4%0.0%52.0%
David HermesF2611.81.91.80.450.0%51.3%9.0%16.7%60.0%
Mo NjieC1014.03.84.30.350.0%53.2%15.2%0.0%66.7%
Nazar MahmoudG187.43.01.30.136.5%47.0%24.4%27.3%95.0%
Skylar WicksG1012.03.62.30.744.7%45.1%19.1%27.3%50.0%
Jaquan ScottF618.57.34.70.347.2%52.2%24.3%44.4%76.9%
Zach GonsoulinG64.31.70.50.335.7%35.7%26.8%22.2%—
Paul LewisG212.03.51.00.062.5%70.7%12.4%50.0%100.0%
LJ BrownG34.31.70.30.331.3%31.3%30.7%20.0%—
Jackson FazandeF24.50.01.00.0——0.0%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games10-19

“Ours” is our projected margin for UTSA, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-12@BradleyQ2#85L 72-85-17.7
11-16vsLittle RockQ4#226L 64-81+2.3
11-25@TroyQ2#97L 72-86-13.2
11-27nMerrimackQ3#185W 76-74-2.0
11-30vsHouston ChristianQ4#316W 78-71+12.3
12-03@Saint Mary'sQ1#22L 74-82-25.8
12-07@ArkansasQ1#40L 60-75-24.0
12-13vsNorth DakotaQ4#278W 80-76+6.6
12-15@North DakotaQ4#278W 95-85-0.4
12-29@ArmyQ4#319L 75-78+1.9
01-04@TulaneQ3#144L 63-92-7.0
01-07vsTulsaQ4#232L 77-82+4.3
01-11vsWichita StateQ3#130W 88-75-5.5
01-14@RiceQ3#187W 90-84-7.9
01-18vsNorth TexasQ2#64L 57-72-11.8
01-21@UABQ2#101L 78-81-11.9
01-25vsTempleQ3#158W 88-79-4.3
01-29@Florida AtlanticQ2#105L 74-94-11.4
02-01@North TexasQ1#64W 54-50-17.4
02-05vsTulaneQ3#144L 60-61-0.6
02-08vsEast CarolinaQ4#173L 79-80+0.6
02-12@Wichita StateQ2#130L 64-69-8.0
02-15@TulsaQ3#232L 76-80-0.5
02-19vsSouth FloridaQ3#155L 73-78+0.0
02-23@East CarolinaQ3#173L 89-96-6.0
03-02vsRiceQ4#187W 84-56-0.0
03-04vsMemphisQ2#55L 70-75-12.6
03-09@CharlotteQ3#237W 83-80-0.8
03-13nEast CarolinaQ3#173L 65-70-1.8

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.