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Incarnate Word

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Southland · 15-17 · AdjEM -8.5, 258 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
-8.5258 of 364
AdjO
102.8208 of 364
AdjD
111.3301 of 364
AdjT
67.5294 of 364

Incarnate Word went from -19.3 (#345) on 2024-11-03 to -8.5 (#258) on 2025-04-07, peaking at -8.5 (#258) on 2025-03-31.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.5%135
TOV%
15.6%152
OREB%
31.9%72
FTA/FGA
28.8%309
Opp eFG%
51.9%235
Opp TOV%
16.5%132
DREB%
70.3%273
Opp FTA/FGA
36.3%266

Résumé15-17 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
-7.5321 of 364
Non-conference
-4.5321 of 364
Luck
-2.3%231 of 364
Wins above bubble
-13.8259 of 364
Quad 1
0-2
Quad 2
0-0
Quad 3
0-6
Quad 4
15-9

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players15 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Davion BaileyG3634.916.72.91.253.5%55.8%24.0%38.8%74.3%
Dylan HaymanF3634.615.25.11.656.3%59.4%21.6%43.0%84.2%
Jalin AndersonPG3433.015.03.35.046.8%49.9%28.1%36.9%72.2%
Jordan PykeF3625.010.65.31.459.2%61.1%21.6%36.6%69.7%
Jayden WilliamsC3616.64.94.40.362.1%61.9%14.2%—57.9%
Marcus GloverF2720.22.14.60.661.1%56.6%6.6%—43.8%
Lamin SaballyF2616.24.03.30.563.8%63.8%12.4%0.0%60.7%
TJ Ford Jr.PG2511.91.60.81.837.2%39.4%15.3%27.3%47.4%
Mintautas MockusF2810.41.62.40.543.2%43.8%11.4%18.2%46.2%
Shon RobinsonF1414.96.12.70.762.7%65.4%18.8%37.5%76.2%
Harrison ReedeG217.92.50.30.242.0%44.2%20.8%29.4%83.3%
Josh AkpovwaF125.11.81.20.369.2%60.4%21.7%—36.4%
Kobi BowlesG115.21.10.50.518.4%25.8%26.0%25.0%55.6%
Amani DrummondG143.41.00.60.163.6%63.6%22.3%50.0%—
Ryan Van EyckG84.31.00.60.333.3%42.9%15.9%0.0%57.1%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games15-17

“Ours” is our projected margin for Incarnate Word, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-04@California BaptistQ3#175L 78-83-14.3
11-12vsPrairie View A&MQ4#356W 84-81+6.9
11-16vsArkansas-Pine BluffQ4#363W 92-64+7.8
11-22@Northern ArizonaQ4#271L 74-75-3.1
11-25@South AlabamaQ3#136L 63-84-8.8
11-27nWestern IllinoisQ4#337W 86-75+1.4
12-05vsNorthwestern StateQ4#260L 70-72+2.1
12-07vsEast Texas A&MQ4#342W 65-53+6.0
12-10@DukeQ1#1L 46-72-35.6
01-04@Stephen F. AustinQ4#264W 55-49-9.7
01-06@LamarQ3#203L 58-72-8.5
01-11@Houston ChristianQ4#316L 76-81+2.4
01-13vsNichollsQ4#191L 82-88-0.0
01-18vsTexas A&M-Corpus ChristiQ4#182L 63-69-4.2
01-20vsUT Rio Grande ValleyQ4#297L 78-85+3.4
01-25@SE LouisianaQ4#243L 63-86-6.4
01-27@New OrleansQ4#355W 74-58+1.9
02-01vsHouston ChristianQ4#316W 74-64+3.8
02-03@McNeeseQ1#72L 65-67-20.4
02-08vsSE LouisianaQ4#243L 66-71+0.9
02-10vsNew OrleansQ4#355W 75-65+9.6
02-15@Texas A&M-Corpus ChristiQ3#182L 55-69-8.5
02-17@UT Rio Grande ValleyQ4#297W 66-60-2.4
02-22vsStephen F. AustinQ4#264W 63-61-0.2
02-24vsLamarQ4#203W 73-61-1.4
03-01@East Texas A&MQ4#342W 75-68+2.8
03-03@Northwestern StateQ4#260L 57-73-3.1
03-09nSE LouisianaQ4#243W 71-67-2.0
03-10nNichollsQ3#191L 70-74-5.4
03-23nManhattanQ4#262W 92-85-0.7
03-24nJacksonvilleQ4#222W 87-71-3.9
03-25nIllinois StateQ3#118L 73-78-8.7

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.