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Little Rock

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

OVC · 8-21 · AdjEM -12.8, 317 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
-12.8317 of 363
AdjO
99.2235 of 363
AdjD
112.0350 of 363
AdjT
71.665 of 363

Little Rock went from -10.5 (#319) on 2022-11-06 to -12.8 (#317) on 2023-04-03, peaking at -10.5 (#319) on 2022-11-06.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 29 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
49.2%250
TOV%
16.8%156
OREB%
28.6%121
FTA/FGA
31.9%162
Opp eFG%
56.1%358
Opp TOV%
18.3%98
DREB%
71.5%268
Opp FTA/FGA
37.0%301

Résumé8-21 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
-6.7331 of 363
Non-conference
-2.8282 of 363
Luck
-7.9%327 of 363
Wins above bubble
-16.7334 of 363
Quad 1
0-2
Quad 2
0-2
Quad 3
1-3
Quad 4
7-14

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players13 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
DeAntoni GordonF3131.513.75.71.354.4%57.9%20.3%27.3%76.7%
DJ SmithG3130.310.42.62.846.5%51.5%19.5%30.3%83.5%
Myron GardnerF3030.813.29.13.648.5%54.1%23.2%35.6%75.5%
CJ WhiteG2926.38.34.93.845.9%50.5%17.5%34.0%74.6%
Jordan JeffersonG3020.78.01.30.753.8%56.3%18.5%38.7%70.9%
Isaiah PalermoG2919.37.41.91.045.6%50.1%20.8%20.7%69.9%
Nigel JohnF2915.05.82.90.448.3%50.3%22.2%—62.5%
Ethan SpeakerF2914.95.13.20.652.4%53.5%18.6%18.2%61.5%
Chris WalkerG1720.87.22.81.547.2%50.1%19.0%36.0%67.7%
Ante BeljanF186.92.10.90.451.5%51.0%19.5%0.0%44.4%
Daniel EgbuniweF126.81.71.30.240.9%41.8%17.8%16.7%50.0%
Jovan StulicG48.00.50.80.016.7%16.7%12.0%0.0%—
Shota AbashidzeG32.30.30.00.30.0%25.6%27.1%0.0%50.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games8-21

“Ours” is our projected margin for Little Rock, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07@Southern IllinoisQ2#121L 63-94-13.5
11-14@Central ArkansasQ4#342L 71-82-3.7
11-17@East Tennessee StateQ3#233L 76-84-10.2
11-20vsJackson StateQ4#318W 94-91-0.7
11-23@IndianaQ1#35L 68-87-26.9
11-26@Miami (OH)Q4#290L 67-80-2.7
11-30@San FranciscoQ2#92L 68-90-22.6
12-06@MemphisQ1#20L 71-87-25.3
12-17@Jacksonville StateQ3#239L 62-72-10.9
12-20vsCentral ArkansasQ4#342W 75-66+4.8
12-22@Arkansas StateQ4#285L 75-77-8.1
12-29vsUT MartinQ4#251W 88-74+0.9
12-31@Tennessee StateQ4#277L 69-94-7.0
01-04vsLindenwoodQ4#334L 62-67+4.0
01-07vsSoutheast Missouri StateQ4#259L 68-74-0.7
01-12@Southern IndianaQ4#275L 67-74-8.9
01-14@Eastern IllinoisQ4#348L 63-70-1.6
01-19vsTennessee TechQ4#266L 75-77+0.2
01-21vsTennessee StateQ4#277W 89-77+0.9
01-26@Morehead StateQ3#224L 72-76-8.3
01-28@Tennessee TechQ4#266W 91-89-7.8
02-02@Southeast Missouri StateQ4#259L 98-99-9.1
02-04vsSIU EdwardsvilleQ4#219L 81-84-4.2
02-09vsMorehead StateQ4#224W 72-68-1.2
02-11@UT MartinQ4#251L 61-84-8.7
02-16vsSouthern IndianaQ4#275L 81-82-0.1
02-18vsEastern IllinoisQ4#348W 81-77+6.3
02-23@SIU EdwardsvilleQ3#219W 79-74-10.2
02-25@LindenwoodQ4#334L 96-97-2.8

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.