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Little Rock

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

OVC · 21-13 · AdjEM -2.8, 190 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
-2.8190 of 362
AdjO
104.5161 of 362
AdjD
107.3240 of 362
AdjT
70.8131 of 362

Little Rock went from -13.1 (#320) on 2023-11-05 to -2.8 (#190) on 2024-04-08, peaking at -2.5 (#186) on 2024-03-11.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 34 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
52.6%73
TOV%
16.1%193
OREB%
30.4%76
FTA/FGA
32.8%174
Opp eFG%
48.2%59
Opp TOV%
16.5%131
DREB%
72.6%199
Opp FTA/FGA
35.4%258

Résumé21-13 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
-9.2353 of 362
Non-conference
-5.1328 of 362
Luck
-5.2%293 of 362
Wins above bubble
-11.0213 of 362
Quad 1
0-0
Quad 2
0-0
Quad 3
2-5
Quad 4
19-8

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
DeAntoni GordonF3330.811.64.71.353.7%55.6%—34.5%68.0%
KK RobinsonG2833.415.85.64.347.9%54.5%—32.3%83.6%
Bradley DouglasG3425.89.93.42.550.0%51.7%—36.7%68.6%
Jaylen Crocker-JohnsonF3423.49.15.31.653.3%56.0%—28.3%69.2%
Jordan JeffersonG3420.76.42.51.348.2%54.8%—38.5%89.8%
Makhel MitchellF1922.79.15.62.552.5%57.4%——71.0%
Cougar DowningG2815.35.91.10.543.0%49.9%—30.9%89.4%
Creed WilliamsonF2910.72.32.00.764.4%60.4%——40.9%
Pavle KuzmanovicG911.22.70.90.266.7%66.7%—54.5%—
Kristiyan PopovG124.60.40.60.575.0%64.1%—100.0%50.0%
Nikola MilosevicF123.30.60.70.031.8%31.8%—25.0%—
Tracy Steele Jr.G27.00.51.50.50.0%10.1%—0.0%50.0%
Ante BeljanF16.02.00.00.0100.0%100.0%———
Marcus GoldenG12.00.00.00.0—————

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games21-13

“Ours” is our projected margin for Little Rock, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06vsTexas StateQ4#205W 71-66-4.6
11-10@UICQ3#181L 71-86-8.3
11-18nNorthern IllinoisQ4#292L 93-98-6.2
11-19@Georgia StateQ3#223L 77-88-8.6
11-22vsGeorgia StateQ4#223L 90-93-0.7
11-25vsTulsaQ4#208W 84-82-0.1
11-28vsBall StateQ4#246W 90-64-1.1
12-01vsArkansas StateQ3#155W 77-66+0.8
12-07@Central ArkansasQ4#343L 71-75+4.8
12-10vsWinthropQ4#184L 68-85+1.4
12-13vsUTSAQ4#263W 93-84+7.9
12-18vsMurray StateQ4#172W 80-66-0.6
12-21vsJacksonville StateQ4#211L 60-90+1.1
12-28@Tennessee TechQ4#336W 81-75-1.4
12-30@Tennessee StateQ4#291L 82-90-5.9
01-04vsSIU EdwardsvilleQ4#290W 88-80+2.6
01-06vsEastern IllinoisQ4#321L 88-90+7.6
01-13@UT MartinQ3#221L 72-77-8.4
01-18@Southern IndianaQ4#318W 77-75-0.9
01-25vsLindenwoodQ4#358W 80-66+12.0
01-27vsSoutheast Missouri StateQ4#351W 66-61+11.4
02-01@SIU EdwardsvilleQ4#290L 66-68-5.4
02-03@Eastern IllinoisQ4#321W 71-47+0.1
02-06vsUT MartinQ4#221W 77-57+1.4
02-08@Western IllinoisQ4#266W 63-60-5.0
02-15vsMorehead StateQ3#117W 69-68-4.9
02-17vsSouthern IndianaQ4#318W 80-62+8.8
02-22@Southeast Missouri StateQ4#351W 83-61+7.2
02-24@LindenwoodQ4#358W 82-73+9.2
02-29vsTennessee StateQ4#291W 85-60+6.8
03-02vsTennessee TechQ4#336W 81-43+11.3
03-08nWestern IllinoisQ4#266W 82-57+2.9
03-09nMorehead StateQ3#117L 55-69-5.1
03-24nFairfieldQ3#189L 75-82-0.1

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.