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Tennessee State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

OVC · 14-16 · AdjEM -8.2, 252 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
-8.2252 of 364
AdjO
100.3250 of 364
AdjD
108.5244 of 364
AdjT
72.930 of 364

Tennessee State went from -12.6 (#305) on 2024-11-03 to -8.2 (#252) on 2025-04-07, finishing at its peak.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.3%141
TOV%
19.8%353
OREB%
32.8%41
FTA/FGA
41.4%18
Opp eFG%
48.8%79
Opp TOV%
16.0%166
DREB%
71.5%227
Opp FTA/FGA
39.3%320

Résumé14-16 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
-9.5350 of 364
Non-conference
-2.2258 of 364
Luck
-6.8%314 of 364
Wins above bubble
-13.7257 of 364
Quad 1
0-1
Quad 2
0-1
Quad 3
1-5
Quad 4
13-9

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Aaron NkrumahG3229.810.95.33.044.3%49.1%21.8%27.5%71.9%
Justus JacksonG3228.89.02.53.544.6%46.6%19.6%30.8%70.5%
Carlous WilliamsF3325.910.84.31.058.2%60.7%19.9%30.4%74.4%
Brandon WestonG2431.916.04.81.848.6%58.1%23.3%30.9%84.2%
Travis Harper IIG2427.010.24.30.649.8%54.2%18.6%37.1%84.9%
Knute WoodG2622.05.71.71.756.7%59.1%12.3%41.6%76.9%
Josh OgundeleF3314.76.84.20.865.1%61.0%23.1%—48.7%
Ronald JessamyF2618.68.95.80.759.2%60.9%23.4%0.0%62.7%
Antoine Lorick IIIF3210.65.03.40.362.4%61.5%22.3%37.5%54.7%
Ahmir LanglaisF2313.54.94.40.658.4%54.7%20.2%—30.0%
Maddux BodenhamerG169.11.01.70.838.2%41.3%9.4%16.7%60.0%
JC BrooksF177.61.51.50.638.7%37.5%15.6%28.6%20.0%
Louis DaoustF147.31.12.10.332.5%37.3%11.9%18.8%100.0%
Blake FlemingG103.32.20.30.252.4%52.4%33.3%28.6%—
Ogien AyoF129.013.010.00.061.1%59.6%24.6%75.0%50.0%
Kavien JonesF11.00.00.00.0——0.0%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games14-16

“Ours” is our projected margin for Tennessee State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-08@Colorado StateQ1#44L 79-87-23.1
11-10@WyomingQ3#180L 66-81-11.0
11-13nHowardQ4#303L 84-88-2.2
11-16vsAlabama A&MQ4#361W 81-71+7.2
11-25@ChattanoogaQ2#108L 78-85-8.3
11-26nBryantQ3#127L 85-97-7.5
12-01vsUNC AshevilleQ4#200L 74-92-0.8
12-10@Western KentuckyQ3#170L 60-84-17.4
12-19@Southern IndianaQ4#336L 75-77-8.7
12-21@Morehead StateQ4#304L 68-74-7.4
01-02vsSoutheast Missouri StateQ4#230L 65-67+2.4
01-04vsLittle RockQ4#226W 95-86-2.6
01-09@LindenwoodQ4#333L 62-720.0
01-11@Western IllinoisQ4#337W 72-52-2.6
01-16vsSIU EdwardsvilleQ4#234L 80-87+0.8
01-18vsEastern IllinoisQ4#328W 84-65+7.3
01-21vsUT MartinQ4#309W 81-80+3.2
01-23vsTennessee TechQ4#285W 89-77+2.2
01-30@Little RockQ3#226W 72-70-8.6
02-01@Southeast Missouri StateQ3#230L 87-89-3.4
02-06vsWestern IllinoisQ4#337W 87-69+9.8
02-08vsLindenwoodQ4#333W 84-76+9.2
02-13@Eastern IllinoisQ4#328W 66-49+2.6
02-15@SIU EdwardsvilleQ3#234L 72-84-5.1
02-18@UT MartinQ4#309W 86-75-0.6
02-22@Tennessee TechQ4#285L 74-77-2.9
02-27vsMorehead StateQ4#304W 64-55+6.1
03-01vsSouthern IndianaQ4#336W 74-69+9.2
03-06nLindenwoodQ4#333W 69-55+5.9
03-07nSIU EdwardsvilleQ4#234L 69-71-1.0

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.