Air Force

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Mountain West · 0-0 · AdjEM -17.4, 340 of 365 nationally.

2026-27 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-10-05preseason: no games played, every team at its prior

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-10-05

Every team →

AdjEM: -17.4340 of 365
AdjO: 95.7346 of 365
AdjD: 113.1305 of 365
AdjT: 67.8322 of 365

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

Fewer than two snapshots — no path to draw yet.

Four factorsraw season rates · 0 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: —
TOV%: —
OREB%: —
FTA/FGA: —
Opp eFG%: —
Opp TOV%: —
DREB%: —
Opp FTA/FGA: —

Roster17 players · as listed today

Player	Class	Last season	G	MPG	PPG
Kam SandersG	Freshman	here	32	29.9	12.5
Lucas HobinF	Freshman	here	32	29.0	11.4
Eli RobinsonF	Sophomore	here	31	28.0	7.8
Ethan GreenbergG	Freshman	here	32	26.9	6.6
Wesley CelichowskiC	Junior	here	32	20.7	4.8
Caleb WalkerF	Junior	here	24	21.6	10.4
A.J. PattersonG	Sophomore	here	29	14.3	2.2
Kolby GillesF	Junior	here	32	12.7	3.2
Justin HindsG	Freshman	here	29	11.5	1.4
Riley DeringF	Freshman	here	14	13.4	5.4
Kyle MarshallG	Sophomore	here	4	16.3	3.5
Brendan MartinF	Freshman	here	12	5.3	1.8
Josh GateteF	Junior	here	15	4.1	0.3
Sam ImadeF	Freshman	here	10	3.5	0.8
Elliott TaiteG	Sophomore	here	12	1.6	1.5
Chris CatchingsG	Freshman	here	5	2.0	0.0
Keaton FrischF	Freshman	here	2	0.5	0.0

The roster as ESPN lists it today. Before a season, some schools' lists are still last season's; a player shown with no games did not play in Division I last season.

Still to play15 games · from the ratings of 2026-10-05

Today's ratings give Air Force 3.6 expected wins from the 15 games left on the schedule; the hardest is at Nevada, a 2% chance.

Date	Opponent	Margin	Win
11-02	@Wright State	-15.0	8%
11-08	vsIdaho State	-5.1	30%
11-11	vsLoyola Chicago	-4.0	34%
11-15	@Pacific	-16.8	6%
11-21	@UTSA	-3.7	35%
11-24	nArmy	-0.4	48%
11-28	vsBrown	-2.6	39%
12-01	vsDenver	-5.7	28%
12-06	vsNavy	-10.3	15%
12-10	@Austin Peay	-13.6	10%
12-18	vsAlabama State	+0.7	53%
12-21	vsEastern Kentucky	-2.8	39%
12-29	@Utah	-17.9	5%
01-19	@Nevada	-22.6	2%
03-02	vsNevada	-17.0	6%

These use today's ratings and will move as the ratings do. The projection beside a game already played, below, is fixed at the ratings dated before that game.

Games0-0

“Ours” is our projected margin for Air Force, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

No box lines for this team this season.

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 365 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.