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Idaho State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big Sky · 0-0 · AdjEM -5.7, 226 of 365 nationally.

2026-27 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-10-05preseason: no games played, every team at its prior

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-10-05

Every team →
AdjEM
-5.7226 of 365
AdjO
107.8147 of 365
AdjD
113.6314 of 365
AdjT
67.1341 of 365

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

Fewer than two snapshots — no path to draw yet.

Four factorsraw season rates · 0 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
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TOV%
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OREB%
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FTA/FGA
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Opp eFG%
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Opp TOV%
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DREB%
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Opp FTA/FGA
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Roster13 players · as listed today

PlayerClassLast seasonGMPGPPG
Connor HollenbeckFSeniorhere3329.813.2
Lachlan BrewerGSophomorehere3329.58.2
Jamison GuerraPGSeniorhere3325.68.8
Caleb Van De GriendFSeniorhere3318.211.8
Cheikh SowGJuniorhere3117.02.8
Gus EtchisonPGSeniorhere3213.38.8
Louis BondGFreshmanhere2414.04.9
Blake DaberkowFSeniorhere328.03.3
Quin PattersonGJuniorhere258.21.5
Landen BirleyGFreshmanhere103.50.4
Jaedyn BrownGSophomorehere36.00.7
Kasen CarpenterGSeniorhere81.40.1
Trey ArlandGJuniorno games

The roster as ESPN lists it today. Before a season, some schools' lists are still last season's; a player shown with no games did not play in Division I last season.

Still to play29 games · from the ratings of 2026-10-05

Today's ratings give Idaho State 11.6 expected wins from the 29 games left on the schedule; the hardest is at Utah State, a 4% chance.

DateOpponentMarginWin
11-02@Utah State-19.64%
11-06@Wyoming-11.014%
11-08@Air Force+5.170%
11-14@Seattle U-10.016%
11-20vsSouth Dakota State+0.753%
11-24@Boise State-16.07%
12-03@Southern Utah+0.552%
12-05@Utah Tech-4.134%
12-10vsCal State Fullerton+1.355%
12-17@UC Davis-4.831%
12-20@North Dakota State-9.218%
01-02vsNorthern Arizona+7.577%
01-07vsMontana State-2.440%
01-09vsMontana+0.452%
01-14@Northern Colorado-7.323%
01-16@Portland State-6.127%
01-18@Eastern Washington-4.034%
01-23vsWeber State+1.757%
01-25@Idaho-6.127%
01-28vsUtah Tech+1.456%
01-30vsSouthern Utah+6.273%
02-04@Northern Arizona+2.058%
02-11vsPortland State-0.548%
02-13vsNorthern Colorado-1.743%
02-18@Montana-5.230%
02-20@Montana State-7.921%
02-22vsEastern Washington+1.656%
02-27@Weber State-3.934%
03-01vsIdaho-0.548%

These use today's ratings and will move as the ratings do. The projection beside a game already played, below, is fixed at the ratings dated before that game.

Games0-0

“Ours” is our projected margin for Idaho State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

No box lines for this team this season.

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 365 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.