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Sacramento State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big Sky · 7-21 · AdjEM -6.7, 266 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
-6.7266 of 364
AdjO
104.2239 of 364
AdjD
111.0273 of 364
AdjT
73.036 of 364

Sacramento State went from -3.3 (#252) on 2025-11-17 to -6.7 (#266) on 2026-04-06, peaking at -3.3 (#252) on 2025-11-17.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-172026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 28 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
47.1%335
TOV%
13.5%41
OREB%
376.2%9
FTA/FGA
41.3%40
Opp eFG%
55.0%333
Opp TOV%
16.4%120
DREB%
-109.8%344
Opp FTA/FGA
36.2%217

Games7-21

“Ours” is our projected margin for Sacramento State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-11vsUC Santa BarbaraL 87-92—
11-14@UC DavisL 73-77—
11-16vsPresbyterianW 64-62—
11-18@UCLAL 48-79-11.7
11-21@CaliforniaL 67-91-17.3
11-29@PacificL 54-68-15.0
12-02@BaylorL 88-110-15.0
12-20@California BaptistL 67-74-14.0
12-22@Cal State NorthridgeL 88-100-6.2
01-01@Idaho StateL 84-97-12.1
01-03@Weber StateL 82-95-10.0
01-10@Portland StateL 69-96-11.8
01-15vsNorthern ArizonaW 83-69+4.5
01-17vsNorthern ColoradoW 93-89-2.2
01-22@IdahoL 76-86-9.9
01-24@Eastern WashingtonL 67-75-5.3
01-29vsMontana StateW 83-80-3.4
01-31vsMontanaW 86-79-2.3
02-02vsWeber StateW 104-90-0.9
02-07vsPortland StateL 73-74-2.3
02-12@Northern ColoradoL 79-95-8.6
02-14@Northern ArizonaL 74-79-0.7
02-19vsEastern WashingtonL 94-102+2.2
02-21vsIdahoL 80-86-0.7
02-26@MontanaL 73-81-7.9
02-28@Montana StateL 61-82-9.7
03-02vsIdaho StateW 83-65+0.7
03-07@IdahoL 45-68-8.2

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.