Skip to content

Cal Poly

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big West · 6-25 · AdjEM -11.4, 308 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
-11.4308 of 363
AdjO
91.0347 of 363
AdjD
102.4181 of 363
AdjT
66.5327 of 363

Cal Poly went from -7.7 (#285) on 2022-11-06 to -11.4 (#308) on 2023-04-03, peaking at -4.5 (#227) on 2022-12-12.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
45.7%343
TOV%
19.4%323
OREB%
21.9%314
FTA/FGA
30.9%196
Opp eFG%
50.4%166
Opp TOV%
17.4%140
DREB%
78.0%26
Opp FTA/FGA
42.3%349

Résumé6-25 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
-1.0174 of 363
Non-conference
-1.1226 of 363
Luck
-9.2%337 of 363
Wins above bubble
-19.0350 of 363
Quad 1
0-0
Quad 2
0-8
Quad 3
2-9
Quad 4
4-8

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Brantly StevensonG3328.211.23.81.552.1%57.1%—35.2%85.4%
Chance HunterSF3326.58.24.30.945.7%49.4%—31.6%73.5%
Alimamy KoromaF3326.010.84.30.450.7%55.7%—30.6%77.1%
Kobe SandersG2427.87.73.22.241.6%46.8%—26.9%77.8%
Nick FlemingPG3318.73.92.01.541.1%43.0%—28.2%68.4%
Julien FranklinF3116.72.72.50.842.3%44.0%—25.0%54.2%
Camren PiercePG2419.45.92.22.438.8%45.2%—30.8%80.4%
Bryan Penn-JohnsonC3210.13.31.80.163.5%64.6%——70.6%
Aidan PrukopG258.01.80.80.534.5%37.1%—16.7%66.7%
Cole HallerF146.11.31.10.060.7%60.2%—50.0%50.0%
Hayden JoryG183.90.70.60.527.8%30.9%—22.2%66.7%
Isaac SpearsG37.73.30.70.755.6%55.6%—0.0%—
Nick CarlsonG72.00.30.40.025.0%25.0%—0.0%—
Aaron Price Jr.PF34.71.71.70.040.0%38.9%——33.3%
Matur DhalC18.02.04.00.0100.0%51.3%——0.0%
Martin CohenG13.00.00.00.00.0%0.0%—0.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games6-25

“Ours” is our projected margin for Cal Poly, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-10@San FranciscoQ2#92L 48-60-19.3
11-18@StanfordQ2#86L 43-80-9.9
11-20vsMount St. Mary'sQ4#262L 68-73+3.2
11-23vsIdahoQ4#320W 82-71+7.8
11-28@PacificQ3#210W 62-58-10.8
12-03vsCalifornia BaptistQ4#185W 64-53-0.7
12-10vsPortland StateQ4#260W 72-49+1.6
12-13@WashingtonQ2#125L 68-74-10.6
12-16vsWeber StateQ4#207L 45-74+7.9
12-20@San José StateQ2#118L 43-65-8.7
12-29vsCal State NorthridgeQ4#336W 67-57+5.4
12-31@Hawai'iQ2#129L 48-57-13.5
01-05@Cal State BakersfieldQ4#307L 51-61-2.7
01-07vsUC Santa BarbaraQ3#103L 57-62-5.8
01-12@Long Beach StateQ3#187L 58-77-9.8
01-16@UC RiversideQ3#160L 78-83-10.0
01-19vsUC San DiegoQ4#279L 64-71+4.4
01-21@UC DavisQ3#173L 63-65-11.3
01-26vsLong Beach StateQ4#187L 52-70-2.1
01-28vsCal State FullertonQ3#128L 36-65-3.0
02-02@UC Santa BarbaraQ2#103L 62-68-17.4
02-04vsHawai'iQ3#129L 56-69-7.5
02-09@UC IrvineQ2#102L 54-55-17.4
02-11@Cal State NorthridgeQ4#336L 53-64-2.5
02-15vsCal State BakersfieldQ4#307L 62-70+3.0
02-18@Cal State FullertonQ2#128L 62-83-12.9
02-20vsUC IrvineQ3#102L 56-59-9.6
02-25vsUC DavisQ4#173L 52-58-5.8
03-04vsUC RiversideQ3#160L 72-73-5.7
03-07nLong Beach StateQ3#187W 88-68-8.7
03-09nUC Santa BarbaraQ3#103L 54-64-12.5

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.