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Yale

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Ivy · 19-9 · AdjEM +11.6, 69 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
+11.669 of 363
AdjO
106.692 of 363
AdjD
95.051 of 363
AdjT
68.8217 of 363

Yale went from +0.8 (#163) on 2022-11-06 to +11.6 (#69) on 2023-04-03, peaking at +13.9 (#42) on 2022-12-26.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 28 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
52.8%60
TOV%
15.4%60
OREB%
26.7%179
FTA/FGA
30.6%211
Opp eFG%
47.0%34
Opp TOV%
17.4%141
DREB%
78.9%9
Opp FTA/FGA
33.9%250

Résumé19-9 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
-0.5165 of 363
Non-conference
-0.4205 of 363
Luck
-4.5%283 of 363
Wins above bubble
-2.681 of 363
Quad 1
0-2
Quad 2
2-4
Quad 3
10-1
Quad 4
7-2

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
John PoulakidasG3029.112.03.21.453.1%56.1%20.7%40.1%81.0%
Bez MbengG3028.610.44.23.248.8%51.7%22.1%32.3%64.6%
August MahoneyG3027.810.93.01.564.6%69.4%16.5%46.7%93.1%
EJ JarvisF3022.211.35.50.657.6%60.2%24.8%40.6%72.3%
Matt KnowlingF2427.313.64.82.463.1%63.1%23.1%33.3%60.0%
Isaiah KellyF3018.96.33.71.456.0%55.9%19.1%35.7%52.6%
Yassine GharramG3015.73.43.02.145.4%47.9%15.4%29.0%56.4%
Jack MolloyF2912.83.52.30.838.5%41.8%18.1%23.9%68.0%
Michael FeinbergG2510.61.82.30.732.3%34.5%15.0%15.4%60.0%
Danny WolfC217.42.62.10.647.1%48.4%23.3%30.4%62.5%
Yussif Basa-AmaF128.12.93.00.364.6%65.2%18.6%20.0%66.7%
Teo RiceG115.31.40.90.546.4%50.2%16.9%27.3%100.0%
Emir BuyukhanliG115.11.71.00.163.3%63.3%15.7%41.7%—
Nick TownsendF114.92.51.30.462.5%60.0%23.3%33.3%42.9%
Luke KolajaF84.41.41.10.371.4%69.2%14.7%66.7%50.0%
Devon ArlingtonG56.41.82.01.227.8%41.3%22.5%50.0%100.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games19-9

“Ours” is our projected margin for Yale, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-11nEastern WashingtonQ3#134W 74-60+1.6
11-13nMississippi Valley StateQ4#359W 80-51+18.9
11-14@Hawai'iQ2#129W 62-59-4.2
11-22vsVermontQ3#99W 73-44+4.2
11-27@ColoradoQ1#75L 62-65-5.9
11-30vsHowardQ4#215W 86-40+19.1
12-03@Stony BrookQ4#324W 77-72+14.4
12-06@ButlerQ2#119L 61-71-3.0
12-10@KentuckyQ1#18L 59-69-10.5
12-12@FairfieldQ3#235W 77-64+6.6
12-22@MonmouthQ4#347W 76-44+16.2
12-31@ColumbiaQ4#343L 60-62+16.4
01-06vsDartmouthQ4#271L 77-81+21.0
01-07vsHarvardQ3#144W 58-54+11.2
01-13@CornellQ3#139L 82-94-1.2
01-16vsBrownQ4#163W 81-78+12.4
01-21vsPennsylvaniaQ3#130W 70-63+9.3
01-28vsPrincetonQ3#96W 87-65+4.1
02-03@HarvardQ3#144W 68-57+0.6
02-04@DartmouthQ4#271W 72-53+8.4
02-11vsColumbiaQ4#343W 99-68+22.6
02-17@PennsylvaniaQ2#130L 64-66+1.9
02-18@PrincetonQ2#96W 93-83-0.1
02-25vsCornellQ3#139W 76-58+8.8
03-04@BrownQ3#163W 84-75+3.9
03-11nCornellQ3#139W 80-60+5.9
03-12nPrincetonQ2#96L 65-74+4.6
03-14@VanderbiltQ2#79L 62-71-2.9

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.