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Providence

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big East · 21-12 · AdjEM +14.1, 49 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
+14.149 of 363
AdjO
111.824 of 363
AdjD
97.788 of 363
AdjT
69.9153 of 363

Providence went from +10.4 (#55) on 2022-11-06 to +14.1 (#49) on 2023-04-03, peaking at +15.8 (#33) on 2023-02-27.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 33 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.1%146
TOV%
15.5%62
OREB%
32.4%21
FTA/FGA
36.3%51
Opp eFG%
49.7%131
Opp TOV%
16.2%237
DREB%
75.1%111
Opp FTA/FGA
25.4%29

Résumé21-12 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
+7.662 of 363
Non-conference
-1.9254 of 363
Luck
+2.2%126 of 363
Wins above bubble
+0.644 of 363
Quad 1
5-9
Quad 2
2-3
Quad 3
5-0
Quad 4
9-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players11 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Bryce HopkinsF3334.915.88.52.348.8%54.8%23.6%36.4%75.9%
Devin CarterG3332.013.04.92.548.0%53.1%21.4%29.9%72.0%
Ed CroswellF3328.713.37.50.761.4%62.9%20.6%50.0%66.0%
Noah LockeG3327.811.02.30.954.5%56.0%19.2%38.5%79.4%
Jared BynumG2927.610.02.44.346.0%50.9%20.4%31.9%83.1%
Clifton MooreF3313.24.63.40.350.8%54.3%17.9%26.1%73.7%
Jayden PierreG3311.02.51.01.950.7%52.7%14.0%54.5%80.0%
Corey Floyd Jr.G299.62.61.20.456.3%59.5%13.5%41.9%84.6%
Rafael CastroF266.51.82.10.351.4%53.8%15.4%0.0%62.5%
Kieran O'HaireF51.20.00.40.20.0%0.0%24.6%0.0%—
Luke FontsG41.30.00.00.3——0.0%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games21-12

“Ours” is our projected margin for Providence, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-08vsRiderQ4#212W 66-65+12.8
11-12vsNortheasternQ4#302W 89-65+14.6
11-15vsStonehillQ4#298W 100-76+16.0
11-19nMiamiQ1#23L 64-74-0.5
11-20nSaint LouisQ2#88L 73-76-1.7
11-23vsMerrimackQ4#289W 71-57+15.3
11-26vsColumbiaQ4#343W 78-64+23.0
11-30@TCUQ1#22L 62-75-7.9
12-03@Rhode IslandQ4#256W 88-74+1.6
12-07vsManhattanQ4#296W 99-59+16.7
12-10vsUAlbanyQ4#335W 93-55+18.3
12-17@Seton HallQ1#73W 71-67-4.4
12-20vsMarquetteQ1#19W 103-98+2.4
12-29@ButlerQ2#119W 72-52-3.8
01-01@DePaulQ3#143W 74-59+2.4
01-04vsUConnQ1#3W 73-61-5.7
01-07vsSt. John'sQ3#87W 83-80+9.2
01-14@CreightonQ1#12L 67-73-6.5
01-18@MarquetteQ1#19L 75-83-4.4
01-21vsDePaulQ3#143W 75-64+13.4
01-25vsButlerQ3#119W 79-58+8.7
01-29@VillanovaQ1#44W 70-65-2.4
02-01@XavierQ1#21L 83-85-4.7
02-08vsGeorgetownQ4#225W 74-62+17.4
02-11@St. John'sQ2#87L 68-73+2.0
02-14vsCreightonQ1#12W 94-86-0.5
02-18vsVillanovaQ2#44W 85-72+4.8
02-22@UConnQ1#3L 69-87-9.9
02-26@GeorgetownQ3#225W 88-68+9.1
03-01vsXavierQ1#21L 89-94+2.9
03-04vsSeton HallQ2#73L 58-82+7.7
03-09nUConnQ1#3L 66-73-8.1
03-17nKentuckyQ1#18L 53-61-3.6

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.