Florida State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

ACC · 17-15 · AdjEM +9.9, 86 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →

AdjEM: +9.986 of 364
AdjO: 107.3124 of 364
AdjD: 97.358 of 364
AdjT: 71.770 of 364

Florida State went from +4.2 (#124) on 2024-11-03 to +9.9 (#86) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +13.5 (#68) on 2025-01-20.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 50.7%177
TOV%: 16.9%248
OREB%: 27.6%187
FTA/FGA: 39.4%29
Opp eFG%: 48.5%66
Opp TOV%: 18.0%62
DREB%: 71.1%248
Opp FTA/FGA: 37.5%295

Résumé17-15 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength: +8.374 of 364
Non-conference: +0.6174 of 364
Luck: -2.8%239 of 364
Wins above bubble: -5.7105 of 364

Quad 1: 1-5
Quad 2: 2-7
Quad 3: 9-3
Quad 4: 5-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Jamir WatkinsG	32	30.9	18.4	5.7	2.4	49.0%	55.5%	31.2%	32.1%	74.7%
Daquan DavisG	31	25.6	8.8	2.3	2.5	41.6%	50.2%	20.2%	27.9%	82.6%
Malique EwinF	30	26.2	14.2	7.6	1.7	59.6%	61.1%	25.9%	0.0%	65.3%
Taylor Bol BowenF	29	24.9	8.0	5.2	0.8	56.1%	59.3%	16.4%	41.4%	78.0%
Justin ThomasG	32	22.1	4.8	2.3	1.7	51.1%	51.8%	12.8%	33.3%	55.6%
Chandler JacksonG	29	24.2	6.3	2.1	2.0	44.2%	48.5%	15.2%	15.4%	72.2%
Jerry DengF	31	15.4	7.0	1.9	0.5	56.0%	57.5%	22.1%	37.0%	71.0%
Bostyn HoltG	30	12.7	3.0	1.3	1.2	48.6%	51.6%	14.2%	26.3%	61.8%
Alier MalukF	31	11.0	2.7	2.0	0.2	55.2%	57.0%	14.2%	0.0%	71.4%
AJ SwintonF	28	10.5	2.8	1.4	0.4	49.2%	50.7%	15.3%	36.0%	56.5%
Christian NituF	22	6.8	1.9	1.3	0.2	40.9%	42.3%	19.0%	0.0%	50.0%
Anastasios RozakeasG	13	2.5	0.5	0.3	0.2	41.7%	43.2%	14.0%	20.0%	50.0%
Waka MbatchF	5	3.4	0.8	0.8	0.0	100.0%	100.0%	14.7%	—	—
Jesse JonesG	8	1.9	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	13.3%	0.0%	—
Jason SimpsonG	9	1.6	0.4	0.0	0.0	18.8%	22.3%	39.1%	25.0%	50.0%
Jalen CrawfordG	6	0.8	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	10.0%	0.0%	—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games17-15

“Ours” is our projected margin for Florida State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-04	vsNorthern Kentucky	Q4#240	W 74-62	+8.8	71	11-03
11-09	nRice	Q3#187	W 73-65	+6.9	71	11-04
11-12	vsTarleton State	Q4#272	W 72-52	+12.9	71	11-11
11-15	vsFlorida	Q1#4	L 74-87	-9.6	73	11-11
11-19	vsHofstra	Q4#184	W 79-61	+0.9	72	11-18
11-22	nTemple	Q3#158	W 78-69	-0.1	73	11-18
11-24	nMassachusetts	Q3#195	W 92-59	-1.1	74	11-18
11-26	vsWestern Carolina	Q4#324	W 91-57	+13.1	72	11-25
12-03	@LSU	Q2#82	L 75-85	-4.2	73	12-02
12-07	@NC State	Q2#102	L 74-84	-3.5	72	12-02
12-14	nTulane	Q3#144	W 77-64	+10.1	73	12-09
12-17	vsWinthrop	Q4#172	W 82-64	+13.7	74	12-16
12-21	vsLouisville	Q2#34	L 76-90	+0.9	72	12-16
01-04	vsSyracuse	Q3#117	W 90-74	+7.8	73	12-30
01-08	@Miami	Q3#157	W 80-65	+0.6	71	01-06
01-11	@Clemson	Q1#23	L 57-77	-9.7	71	01-06
01-15	vsPittsburgh	Q2#53	W 82-70	-4.2	71	01-13
01-18	vsGeorgia Tech	Q3#106	W 91-78	+8.9	72	01-13
01-22	@California	Q2#114	L 68-77	+3.0	72	01-20
01-25	@Stanford	Q2#84	L 71-78	-0.5	71	01-20
01-29	vsVirginia Tech	Q3#124	L 66-76	+9.5	70	01-27
02-01	@Boston College	Q3#165	L 76-77	+7.1	71	01-27
02-04	vsNotre Dame	Q3#90	W 67-60	+2.5	69	02-03
02-12	@Wake Forest	Q1#61	W 72-70	-6.0	70	02-10
02-15	vsClemson	Q1#23	L 46-72	-5.2	70	02-10
02-19	vsMiami	Q3#157	W 74-66	+9.3	71	02-17
02-22	@Louisville	Q1#34	L 81-89	-11.3	72	02-17
02-24	vsNorth Carolina	Q2#32	L 85-96	-3.1	73	02-17
03-01	@Duke	Q1#1	L 65-100	-23.4	70	02-24
03-04	@Virginia	Q2#96	L 57-60	-2.3	67	03-03
03-08	vsSMU	Q2#42	W 76-69	-3.5	72	03-03
03-11	nSyracuse	Q3#117	L 62-66	+4.0	72	03-10

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.