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Northern Kentucky

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Horizon · 15-16 · AdjEM -6.8, 240 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
-6.8240 of 364
AdjO
100.5241 of 364
AdjD
107.4223 of 364
AdjT
68.7232 of 364

Northern Kentucky went from -3.6 (#196) on 2024-11-03 to -6.8 (#240) on 2025-04-07, peaking at -3.6 (#196) on 2024-11-03.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
49.8%231
TOV%
16.2%200
OREB%
29.6%121
FTA/FGA
31.3%229
Opp eFG%
52.5%262
Opp TOV%
18.3%55
DREB%
69.2%309
Opp FTA/FGA
29.3%83

Résumé15-16 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
-3.8226 of 364
Non-conference
+3.597 of 364
Luck
+4.0%95 of 364
Wins above bubble
-12.1220 of 364
Quad 1
0-1
Quad 2
0-3
Quad 3
3-8
Quad 4
12-4

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players15 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Sam VinsonG3233.110.74.74.342.8%48.4%19.8%25.0%71.0%
Trey RobinsonG3330.615.55.91.951.4%54.8%26.8%31.3%65.9%
Josh DillingG3330.612.72.82.657.2%59.0%20.3%40.5%74.6%
Keeyan ItejereF3326.97.35.50.759.2%59.5%14.1%—58.1%
LJ WellsF3221.77.35.31.149.7%52.4%19.6%23.3%63.2%
Randall Pettus IIG3320.27.12.81.544.2%47.0%22.5%27.8%70.8%
Dan GherezgherG3220.87.51.81.848.9%50.6%22.1%34.0%71.9%
Hubertas PivoriusG3112.52.90.80.450.6%50.9%13.3%34.2%60.0%
Paulius RapolisF255.00.91.10.042.3%39.9%16.2%—16.7%
Jeramiah IsraelG156.52.10.70.175.0%74.3%16.3%50.0%66.7%
Cesar TchilomboF174.40.20.90.128.6%28.6%7.6%——
Bryce DarbyshireG71.90.00.10.00.0%0.0%7.9%0.0%—
Jake EvansG23.50.00.00.00.0%0.0%14.6%——
Mitchel MinorG12.00.00.00.0——25.6%——
Max HymanG11.00.00.00.0——0.0%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games15-16

“Ours” is our projected margin for Northern Kentucky, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-04@Florida StateQ2#86L 62-74-8.8
11-08@PurdueQ1#14L 50-72-24.2
11-14vsNichollsQ4#191L 59-61+2.8
11-19vsCincinnatiQ2#39L 60-76-20.5
11-27@CharlestonQ3#150L 64-79-6.7
11-30vsBellarmineQ4#345W 86-70+11.2
12-03@AkronQ2#112L 73-86-8.6
12-07@IU IndianapolisQ4#339W 66-64+12.1
12-15vsNorfolk StateQ4#205W 71-62-1.1
12-18vsDetroit MercyQ4#343W 73-60+10.8
12-21vsSouth Carolina StateQ4#212W 58-47+5.5
12-29@Robert MorrisQ3#159L 93-97-1.2
01-01vsPurdue Fort WayneQ4#161W 69-68-1.3
01-04vsGreen BayQ4#326W 78-60+8.6
01-08@Youngstown StateQ3#192L 61-72-5.4
01-11vsOaklandQ4#190L 53-68+3.5
01-15@Cleveland StateQ3#186L 58-76-5.0
01-18vsWright StateQ4#206L 70-78-0.7
01-24vsMilwaukeeQ3#156L 59-79-2.0
01-30@Detroit MercyQ4#343L 57-68+2.9
02-01@OaklandQ3#190W 84-75-7.5
02-05vsCleveland StateQ4#186W 85-75-2.2
02-08vsRobert MorrisQ3#159L 76-81-0.7
02-14@Green BayQ4#326W 73-60+3.1
02-16@MilwaukeeQ3#156L 70-92-8.8
02-21@Wright StateQ3#206W 80-76-7.1
02-23vsIU IndianapolisQ4#339W 71-67+10.5
02-27@Purdue Fort WayneQ3#161W 79-74-9.0
03-01vsYoungstown StateQ4#192W 88-79-1.0
03-04vsDetroit MercyQ4#343W 99-75+10.8
03-06@Cleveland StateQ3#186L 63-68-6.3

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.