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Western Carolina

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

SoCon · 5-22 · AdjEM -15.2, 324 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
-15.2324 of 364
AdjO
93.6345 of 364
AdjD
108.8255 of 364
AdjT
72.539 of 364

Western Carolina went from +0.4 (#157) on 2024-11-03 to -15.2 (#324) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +0.4 (#157) on 2024-11-03.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 27 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
45.4%350
TOV%
17.8%297
OREB%
24.3%278
FTA/FGA
27.0%330
Opp eFG%
51.1%191
Opp TOV%
12.6%350
DREB%
73.3%129
Opp FTA/FGA
34.0%211

Résumé5-22 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
-1.0160 of 364
Non-conference
+4.384 of 364
Luck
-5.6%295 of 364
Wins above bubble
-17.0313 of 364
Quad 1
0-3
Quad 2
0-6
Quad 3
1-8
Quad 4
4-5

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Cord StansberryG3029.811.23.81.547.5%53.3%20.4%31.7%91.3%
Bernard PeloteF3028.614.27.61.350.5%52.4%26.6%34.9%70.0%
Marcus KellF3024.911.75.50.754.9%59.1%22.3%37.9%75.2%
Chevalier EmeryG3024.89.31.92.042.7%45.7%23.7%28.7%67.6%
Brandon MorganG2822.85.62.82.441.7%44.3%16.8%28.1%68.8%
CJ HylandG2721.14.72.02.038.3%42.3%16.3%23.4%76.7%
Vernon CollinsF3018.04.75.00.751.0%55.0%15.0%0.0%67.9%
Chase McKeyF2816.84.03.80.850.5%53.9%14.0%—72.4%
Fischer BrownG2911.92.92.10.842.0%44.4%16.7%25.7%71.4%
Jamar LivingstonG1114.34.21.80.534.3%39.6%24.2%11.1%73.3%
Cinque LemonF147.11.11.30.235.3%40.3%13.3%28.6%66.7%
Kamari JonesG42.83.00.80.355.0%57.3%51.3%50.0%100.0%
Brandon WhiteC22.00.01.00.5——0.0%——
Carson BrownG11.00.00.00.0——0.0%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games5-22

“Ours” is our projected margin for Western Carolina, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-08@Queens UniversityQ3#208L 54-67+2.6
11-19@Wake ForestQ1#61L 69-82-12.5
11-26@Florida StateQ2#86L 57-91-13.1
11-30@MarquetteQ1#24L 62-94-23.9
12-04vsBellarmineQ4#345W 86-74+10.0
12-07vsSouth Carolina UpstateQ4#348L 68-74+12.2
12-14@UNC AshevilleQ3#200L 61-78-6.4
12-17@TennesseeQ1#5L 36-84-36.0
01-01vsFurmanQ3#129L 61-90-8.1
01-04vsSamfordQ3#122L 69-88-7.9
01-08@WoffordQ2#126L 69-77-12.8
01-12vsMercerQ4#261W 85-82-1.0
01-15@VMIQ4#312L 50-66+0.0
01-18vsUNC GreensboroQ3#128L 55-83-9.5
01-22@East Tennessee StateQ3#143L 58-85-15.9
01-25@The CitadelQ4#358W 80-78+1.8
01-29vsChattanoogaQ3#108L 60-84-9.2
02-01vsVMIQ4#312L 76-80+2.1
02-05@FurmanQ2#129L 75-84-16.3
02-08@UNC GreensboroQ2#128L 70-74-17.6
02-12vsEast Tennessee StateQ3#143W 76-67-10.1
02-15vsThe CitadelQ4#358W 76-73+8.6
02-19@ChattanoogaQ2#108L 86-91-17.0
02-22@SamfordQ2#122L 72-93-17.9
02-26vsWoffordQ3#126L 67-90-8.1
03-01@MercerQ4#261L 69-81-7.1
03-07nMercerQ4#261L 66-67-4.9

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.