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Florida Gulf Coast

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

ASUN · 18-15 · AdjEM -1.9, 183 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
-1.9183 of 364
AdjO
104.7170 of 364
AdjD
106.7212 of 364
AdjT
66.7327 of 364

Florida Gulf Coast went from -4.3 (#208) on 2024-11-03 to -1.9 (#183) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +1.3 (#151) on 2025-02-03.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 33 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
53.6%64
TOV%
15.3%127
OREB%
28.1%165
FTA/FGA
23.2%359
Opp eFG%
50.2%143
Opp TOV%
12.8%345
DREB%
76.5%22
Opp FTA/FGA
29.6%90

Résumé18-15 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
-4.9269 of 364
Non-conference
+1.3144 of 364
Luck
-2.0%225 of 364
Wins above bubble
-11.0202 of 364
Quad 1
0-1
Quad 2
1-5
Quad 3
3-5
Quad 4
14-4

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Jevin MunizG3433.910.65.84.246.8%50.6%19.8%32.8%77.8%
Dallion JohnsonG3433.314.82.41.253.0%54.7%23.6%36.7%83.3%
Zavian McLeanG3229.311.64.21.860.8%61.6%19.2%35.8%63.7%
Keeshawn KellmanF3026.613.87.51.060.7%60.7%26.2%29.4%58.3%
Michael DuaxF3422.87.14.51.650.3%53.5%17.6%23.3%69.1%
Rahmir BarnoG2528.28.04.13.747.5%50.6%19.3%23.8%74.4%
Rory StewartF3019.96.72.90.758.3%59.0%16.7%40.3%100.0%
Tristen GuillouetteC337.52.42.00.260.8%59.3%17.6%—51.6%
Darren WilliamsG287.62.11.00.258.0%58.0%13.5%47.1%—
Jack ReddickG247.80.81.31.033.3%35.8%11.7%25.0%100.0%
BB WashingtonG143.30.60.10.230.8%30.8%16.2%16.7%—
Brandon DwyerG61.20.00.00.00.0%0.0%15.2%0.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games18-15

“Ours” is our projected margin for Florida Gulf Coast, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-04@UNC GreensboroQ2#128L 64-73-9.9
11-08@TCUQ2#80L 51-67-18.5
11-13vsSt. BonaventureQ3#113L 65-74-3.8
11-16@DrakeQ1#58L 61-63-12.5
11-22vsCal State BakersfieldQ4#255W 74-54+4.5
11-23vsNortheasternQ4#210L 55-59+0.5
11-24vsFlorida InternationalQ4#266W 60-59+8.7
11-30@Florida AtlanticQ2#105W 80-78-13.3
12-04vsFurmanQ3#129L 73-76+0.9
12-08@LSUQ2#82L 71-80-12.5
12-18@UNC WilmingtonQ2#111L 66-79-4.7
12-28@RichmondQ3#211W 75-57-2.0
01-02@West GeorgiaQ4#338W 79-68+7.1
01-04@Queens UniversityQ3#208L 83-92+2.5
01-09vsNorth AlabamaQ3#132W 75-70+3.8
01-11vsCentral ArkansasQ4#352W 77-71+17.2
01-16vsWest GeorgiaQ4#338W 82-60+13.6
01-18vsQueens UniversityQ4#208W 60-47+6.5
01-23@BellarmineQ4#345W 77-61+12.3
01-25@Eastern KentuckyQ3#193L 77-81+1.3
01-29@JacksonvilleQ3#222W 83-79-1.3
02-01vsStetsonQ4#344W 82-56+14.7
02-06vsEastern KentuckyQ4#193L 74-92+7.4
02-08@North FloridaQ4#268W 84-70+3.4
02-13@Austin PeayQ4#280L 60-73+5.1
02-15@LipscombQ2#98L 68-82-6.7
02-18vsJacksonvilleQ4#222W 72-56+4.3
02-20@StetsonQ4#344W 83-80+8.9
02-24vsNorth FloridaQ4#268W 86-82+8.4
02-26vsBellarmineQ4#345W 80-61+15.1
03-03vsQueens UniversityQ4#208L 65-71+5.6
03-24nArmyQ4#319W 68-65+9.3
03-25nCleveland StateQ3#186L 65-72+0.1

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.