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Florida Gulf Coast

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

ASUN · 21-12 · AdjEM -1.4, 196 of 359 nationally.

2021-22 seasonthrough ratings as of 2022-04-0421 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2022-04-04

Every team →
AdjEM
-1.4196 of 359
AdjO
103.4113 of 359
AdjD
104.8275 of 359
AdjT
73.523 of 359

Florida Gulf Coast went from +0.6 (#159) on 2021-11-15 to -1.4 (#196) on 2022-04-04, peaking at +1.3 (#151) on 2021-12-13.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2021-11-152022-04-04

Four factorsraw season rates · 33 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
53.4%35
TOV%
17.8%215
OREB%
28.5%102
FTA/FGA
29.4%206
Opp eFG%
50.8%209
Opp TOV%
15.0%313
DREB%
72.8%226
Opp FTA/FGA
23.8%34

Résumé21-12 · against the ratings of 2022-04-04

Schedule strength
-3.5278 of 359
Non-conference
-2.5292 of 359
Luck
+7.3%49 of 359
Wins above bubble
-5.9159 of 359
Quad 1
0-1
Quad 2
1-2
Quad 3
1-5
Quad 4
19-4

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Tavian Dunn-MartinG3333.621.43.16.050.8%56.6%33.3%36.8%87.8%
Caleb CattoG3429.98.03.82.651.3%53.4%14.6%35.8%73.8%
Kevin SamuelC3330.011.59.71.164.4%59.9%19.1%0.0%29.7%
Cyrus LargieG3427.010.44.61.456.0%58.6%19.2%29.7%69.5%
Austin RichieG3321.16.92.90.551.7%53.8%16.1%34.8%94.7%
Zach AndersonF3218.94.93.30.956.9%58.8%13.0%40.6%67.6%
Matt HalvorsenG3017.16.11.90.747.4%50.0%20.1%32.5%84.0%
Andre WeirC299.03.72.70.356.8%54.8%22.6%0.0%43.2%
Dakota RiversF2111.64.12.60.661.5%60.0%16.0%42.9%42.9%
Luis RolonG239.61.50.62.339.5%42.1%17.0%42.9%80.0%
Carlos RosarioF257.22.81.60.256.3%57.5%20.2%—58.6%
Franco Miller Jr.G167.81.71.70.832.0%39.1%17.4%12.5%55.0%
Victor RosaG67.54.31.80.552.5%56.9%26.3%35.0%83.3%
Chance JacksonF61.70.70.50.240.0%40.0%29.7%0.0%—
Lenny RiccaG61.70.50.20.250.0%50.0%24.8%50.0%—
Kyle RiemenschneiderF51.60.80.80.050.0%50.0%24.8%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games21-12

“Ours” is our projected margin for Florida Gulf Coast, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-13@Loyola ChicagoQ1#18L 77-89—
11-16vsUSCQ2#56L 61-78+6.4
11-23vsRhode IslandQ3#136W 67-66+6.4
11-26vsWestern MichiganQ4#335W 77-67+14.4
11-27vsSE LouisianaQ4#253W 90-71+8.1
11-28vsPurdue Fort WayneQ4#236W 85-78+10.4
12-01@Florida InternationalQ4#280L 61-77-10.8
12-04vsDartmouthQ4#211W 78-68+3.5
12-07@Florida A&MQ4#315W 69-55-5.1
12-11@Robert MorrisQ4#312W 85-74-2.4
12-19vsMercerQ4#193W 67-55+7.4
12-22@CanisiusQ4#261L 90-97-0.0
01-05vsNorth FloridaQ4#265W 74-67+13.1
01-08@JacksonvilleQ3#166L 66-69-7.6
01-13@Kennesaw StateQ3#212L 53-77-2.8
01-15vsLibertyQ3#103L 75-78+1.7
01-18@StetsonQ4#301W 93-91+0.7
01-19@StetsonQ4#301W 93-91+0.7
01-22@Jacksonville StateQ2#129L 71-79-10.2
01-27vsEastern KentuckyQ4#255W 77-73+5.5
01-29vsBellarmineQ4#189L 63-74+5.0
02-03@Central ArkansasQ4#330W 95-93+3.7
02-05@LipscombQ4#272W 77-68-1.4
02-09vsNorth AlabamaQ4#300W 92-60+7.2
02-12vsStetsonQ4#301W 89-82+8.9
02-16vsKennesaw StateQ4#212W 82-76+4.9
02-19@North FloridaQ4#265L 64-70-0.0
02-23@LibertyQ2#103W 82-72-10.1
02-26vsJacksonvilleQ4#166W 76-69+2.2
03-01vsNorth AlabamaQ4#300W 81-72+9.8
03-03@BellarmineQ3#189L 68-81-2.4
03-16vsDetroit MercyQ4#220W 95-79+4.0
03-21@Coastal CarolinaQ3#144L 68-84-5.6

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 359 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.