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Jacksonville

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

ASUN · 17-14 · AdjEM -5.0, 222 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
-5.0222 of 364
AdjO
99.2270 of 364
AdjD
104.1158 of 364
AdjT
69.3198 of 364

Jacksonville went from -7.9 (#263) on 2024-11-03 to -5.0 (#222) on 2025-04-07, peaking at -1.8 (#181) on 2025-01-27.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
50.2%214
TOV%
18.2%317
OREB%
33.0%38
FTA/FGA
28.5%313
Opp eFG%
51.1%190
Opp TOV%
17.4%88
DREB%
71.5%225
Opp FTA/FGA
35.0%229

Résumé17-14 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
-3.8228 of 364
Non-conference
+4.479 of 364
Luck
+6.4%53 of 364
Wins above bubble
-9.5170 of 364
Quad 1
0-3
Quad 2
1-4
Quad 3
4-2
Quad 4
12-5

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Robert McCray VG3229.716.24.84.548.1%51.8%31.8%32.6%76.2%
Zach BellG3327.68.82.81.553.0%54.9%16.9%32.3%85.7%
Jakari SpenceG3227.58.44.04.040.2%47.4%19.3%30.8%77.7%
Kendall MunsonF3322.39.45.31.154.2%55.8%22.5%0.0%58.1%
Chris AriasG3321.96.32.20.452.7%53.4%15.4%41.0%60.0%
Zimi NwokejiF3320.28.64.00.452.7%54.1%21.2%38.6%67.4%
Stephon PayneF2821.28.46.30.753.2%55.7%21.0%—63.4%
Donovan RiversF3114.42.43.10.252.3%50.7%10.1%—36.8%
Kent JacksonG3210.82.70.60.546.6%47.6%14.7%32.5%80.0%
Enrico BorioF1314.23.81.80.566.2%65.9%13.4%52.4%50.0%
Tito DengF204.82.01.10.157.8%55.9%20.9%38.9%37.5%
Simon WheelerG420.83.01.55.529.4%31.7%16.7%40.0%50.0%
Maximus FuentesG61.20.20.30.00.0%25.6%13.8%—50.0%
Anakin BrownG13.00.01.01.00.0%0.0%33.1%0.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games17-14

“Ours” is our projected margin for Jacksonville, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07@FloridaQ1#4L 60-81-24.4
11-11@FurmanQ2#129L 69-78-9.7
11-14vsSouth Carolina StateQ4#212W 71-62+5.9
11-20@Virginia TechQ2#124W 74-64-17.0
11-25nMercerQ4#261L 89-90+3.7
11-26nSienaQ4#269W 75-64+8.7
11-30@GeorgiaQ1#45L 56-102-14.6
12-10@Florida AtlanticQ2#105L 63-85-15.9
12-14vsEast Tennessee StateQ3#143W 60-52-1.9
12-21@UCFQ1#65L 66-86-13.7
01-02vsLipscombQ3#98L 65-70-3.7
01-04vsAustin PeayQ4#280W 68-44+6.6
01-09@BellarmineQ4#345W 74-59+6.8
01-11@Eastern KentuckyQ3#193W 82-75-3.4
01-16vsNorth AlabamaQ3#132W 64-60+0.7
01-18vsCentral ArkansasQ4#352W 72-62+15.9
01-23@West GeorgiaQ4#338W 79-62+6.4
01-25@Queens UniversityQ3#208W 87-77-2.8
01-29vsFlorida Gulf CoastQ4#183L 79-83+1.3
02-01vsNorth FloridaQ4#268L 78-81+7.7
02-06@StetsonQ4#344W 74-65+6.9
02-08vsBellarmineQ4#345W 73-64+16.6
02-13@Central ArkansasQ4#352W 77-62+10.2
02-15@North AlabamaQ2#132L 79-92-5.8
02-18@Florida Gulf CoastQ3#183L 56-72-4.3
02-20@North FloridaQ4#268L 73-77+0.9
02-24vsEastern KentuckyQ4#193W 59-55+2.8
02-26vsStetsonQ4#344W 79-72+13.2
03-03vsEastern KentuckyQ4#193W 78-67+2.2
03-06@North AlabamaQ2#132L 63-78-7.4
03-24nIncarnate WordQ4#258L 71-87+3.9

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.