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Florida Gulf Coast

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

ASUN · 11-18 · AdjEM -3.8, 206 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
-3.8206 of 362
AdjO
102.6203 of 362
AdjD
106.3219 of 362
AdjT
65.7350 of 362

Florida Gulf Coast went from +2.1 (#144) on 2023-11-05 to -3.8 (#206) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +2.9 (#139) on 2023-11-13.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 29 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
52.1%92
TOV%
16.5%213
OREB%
27.9%142
FTA/FGA
27.2%328
Opp eFG%
52.8%299
Opp TOV%
14.8%266
DREB%
74.4%124
Opp FTA/FGA
29.3%95

Résumé11-18 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
-3.3232 of 362
Non-conference
+2.6120 of 362
Luck
-11.2%354 of 362
Wins above bubble
-13.6273 of 362
Quad 1
0-2
Quad 2
1-2
Quad 3
0-6
Quad 4
10-8

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players13 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Zach AndersonF3231.812.85.11.956.4%58.2%21.7%45.9%69.0%
Dallion JohnsonG3229.210.83.21.053.1%54.2%19.6%39.1%81.8%
Keeshawn KellmanF3224.612.27.00.968.4%69.1%23.6%0.0%69.0%
Franco Miller Jr.G3223.66.53.41.941.0%44.3%19.6%27.5%68.5%
Isaiah ThompsonG2430.114.11.92.053.9%59.8%24.5%38.5%83.7%
Cyrus LargieG3022.15.54.21.553.0%53.6%14.9%25.9%55.0%
Rahmir BarnoG3119.94.72.02.541.2%43.8%18.5%24.2%61.5%
Chase JohnstonG929.09.72.41.041.4%42.7%22.8%29.4%83.3%
Dakota RiversF2311.02.72.50.250.0%49.1%14.4%23.5%38.5%
Blaise VespeF2110.31.61.30.140.0%45.0%11.8%18.2%64.3%
Josiah ShacklefordF166.81.81.90.348.0%50.3%15.8%—62.5%
Andre WeirC613.76.35.20.358.3%60.1%22.0%0.0%62.5%
Kyle RiemenschneiderF51.40.00.20.0—0.0%7.3%—0.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games11-18

“Ours” is our projected margin for Florida Gulf Coast, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07@IndianaQ2#79L 63-69-11.4
11-13@PittsburghQ1#43L 74-86-12.2
11-17nMissouri StateQ3#141L 61-70-2.4
11-18nHamptonQ4#345L 85-92+12.1
11-20nNorfolk StateQ3#198L 66-69+2.7
11-25vsUNC WilmingtonQ3#116L 55-71-2.7
11-29@Florida InternationalQ4#285W 68-65-3.7
12-03@CincinnatiQ1#33L 62-99-20.6
12-09@MinnesotaQ2#89L 57-77-8.5
12-16@MercerQ3#230L 65-70-3.0
12-19@Georgia SouthernQ4#273W 53-42+1.2
12-30vsFlorida AtlanticQ2#46W 72-68-16.6
01-04vsJacksonvilleQ4#272W 80-70+7.8
01-06vsNorth FloridaQ4#251L 58-78+10.5
01-10@Queens UniversityQ4#275L 75-78-1.3
01-12@Kennesaw StateQ4#253L 75-78-6.5
01-20vsStetsonQ4#220W 80-56+1.1
01-25vsLipscombQ4#167L 72-98+0.5
01-27vsAustin PeayQ4#241W 73-67+4.7
02-01@Central ArkansasQ4#343W 82-59+5.5
02-03@North AlabamaQ4#248L 69-70-2.9
02-07@Eastern KentuckyQ3#192L 82-90-4.8
02-10vsBellarmineQ4#307W 63-52+7.8
02-17@StetsonQ3#220L 60-61-4.2
02-22vsKennesaw StateQ4#253L 67-74+5.0
02-24vsQueens UniversityQ4#275W 90-81+7.2
02-28@North FloridaQ4#251W 79-60-2.1
03-01@JacksonvilleQ4#272W 59-57-0.4
03-04vsQueens UniversityQ4#275L 63-69+6.3

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.