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Notre Dame

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

ACC · 13-20 · AdjEM +4.7, 122 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
+4.7122 of 362
AdjO
102.2211 of 362
AdjD
97.567 of 362
AdjT
66.4340 of 362

Notre Dame went from -1.4 (#189) on 2023-11-05 to +4.7 (#122) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +4.9 (#124) on 2024-03-04.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 33 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
47.6%290
TOV%
17.3%279
OREB%
26.4%182
FTA/FGA
27.9%310
Opp eFG%
48.2%57
Opp TOV%
14.4%291
DREB%
74.8%108
Opp FTA/FGA
27.4%55

Résumé13-20 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
+9.268 of 362
Non-conference
+1.7148 of 362
Luck
-2.0%227 of 362
Wins above bubble
-8.4157 of 362
Quad 1
1-9
Quad 2
4-5
Quad 3
4-4
Quad 4
4-2

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Markus BurtonG3333.817.53.34.346.3%51.0%33.8%30.0%82.1%
Braeden ShrewsberryG3328.210.22.50.953.3%55.1%20.1%37.1%82.4%
Tae DavisF3226.09.25.11.050.0%55.2%20.6%18.4%72.3%
J.R. KoniecznyF3222.77.74.50.648.1%52.1%20.2%33.0%83.7%
Julian Roper IIG3122.95.44.00.647.0%47.3%15.9%33.7%48.3%
Kebba NjieF2924.34.35.40.737.9%48.2%13.5%12.5%76.1%
Carey BoothF3319.96.44.30.548.2%49.9%19.7%29.7%63.4%
Logan ImesG3117.42.02.51.136.4%41.8%9.9%22.2%82.4%
Matt ZonaF3311.32.32.30.553.0%51.3%12.2%31.7%35.3%
Alex WadeG83.40.30.10.40.0%25.3%12.1%—100.0%
Tony Sanders Jr.G72.30.90.10.050.0%50.0%20.5%33.3%—
Raheem BraitonG62.70.00.30.30.0%0.0%23.9%0.0%—
Thomas CroweF61.70.50.20.050.0%50.0%16.4%100.0%—
JT KellyG61.00.50.30.075.0%75.0%18.2%50.0%—
Thomas HattanG41.50.80.50.050.0%50.0%36.5%50.0%—
Zane HarbaughF22.50.01.00.50.0%0.0%10.9%0.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games13-20

“Ours” is our projected margin for Notre Dame, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06vsNiagaraQ4#255W 70-63+6.9
11-11vsWestern CarolinaQ3#118L 61-71+4.5
11-16nAuburnQ1#7L 59-83-12.1
11-17nOklahoma StateQ3#112W 66-64-9.5
11-22vsMaryland Eastern ShoreQ4#344W 75-55+9.2
11-28@South CarolinaQ2#77L 53-65-9.8
12-02@MiamiQ2#83L 49-62-18.8
12-05vsWestern MichiganQ4#303W 86-65+10.2
12-09@MarquetteQ1#15L 59-78-23.1
12-16vsGeorgetownQ4#187L 68-72+7.2
12-19vsThe CitadelQ4#274L 45-65+6.5
12-22vsMaristQ4#195W 60-56+2.6
12-30vsVirginiaQ2#59W 76-54-11.2
01-03vsNC StateQ2#52L 52-54-4.2
01-06vsDukeQ1#11L 59-67-12.0
01-09@Georgia TechQ2#126W 75-68-5.6
01-13vsFlorida StateQ3#96L 58-67+2.1
01-15@Boston CollegeQ2#87L 59-63-8.7
01-24vsMiamiQ3#83L 61-73-4.7
01-27vsBoston CollegeQ3#87L 58-61-0.2
01-31@VirginiaQ1#59L 53-65-13.1
02-03@PittsburghQ1#43L 60-70-11.9
02-07@DukeQ1#11L 53-71-17.6
02-10vsVirginia TechQ2#57W 74-66-5.6
02-14vsGeorgia TechQ3#126W 58-55+3.0
02-21@LouisvilleQ3#203W 72-50+0.1
02-24@SyracuseQ2#93L 85-88-7.7
02-27vsWake ForestQ2#41W 70-65-6.9
03-02vsClemsonQ1#23W 69-62-7.6
03-05@North CarolinaQ1#10L 51-84-16.7
03-09@Virginia TechQ1#57L 76-82-9.4
03-12nGeorgia TechQ3#126W 84-80+0.2
03-13nWake ForestQ1#41L 59-72-8.7

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.