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Arkansas

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

SEC · 16-17 · AdjEM +9.3, 88 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
+9.388 of 362
AdjO
108.990 of 362
AdjD
99.597 of 362
AdjT
72.548 of 362

Arkansas went from +19.5 (#15) on 2023-11-05 to +9.3 (#88) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +20.9 (#14) on 2023-11-06.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 33 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
50.5%182
TOV%
15.2%123
OREB%
23.3%287
FTA/FGA
45.3%5
Opp eFG%
50.4%170
Opp TOV%
14.4%294
DREB%
72.7%193
Opp FTA/FGA
39.0%310

Résumé16-17 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
+10.347 of 362
Non-conference
+5.554 of 362
Luck
-1.0%198 of 362
Wins above bubble
-5.1101 of 362
Quad 1
2-9
Quad 2
3-5
Quad 3
7-2
Quad 4
4-1

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players13 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Davonte DavisG3027.55.93.42.040.9%45.7%—24.2%77.1%
Trevon BrazileF2625.78.65.90.556.2%58.7%—35.3%69.5%
El EllisG3121.06.52.01.845.5%49.7%—32.3%76.5%
Makhi MitchellF3318.88.64.61.163.5%67.5%—0.0%78.5%
Chandler LawsonF3315.03.73.10.754.0%54.1%—40.0%52.0%
Jeremiah DavenportG3115.75.01.80.944.8%48.4%—28.7%78.1%
Layden BlockerG2713.43.71.61.041.6%47.8%—11.8%62.1%
Jalen GrahamF2115.07.63.00.858.2%56.6%—0.0%43.6%
Keyon Menifield Jr.G1419.57.92.11.644.3%49.3%—31.7%74.3%
Joseph PinionG195.52.40.60.248.3%58.4%—27.8%88.9%
Baye FallC95.00.81.30.050.0%38.4%——33.3%
Cade ArbogastG60.70.00.00.00.0%0.0%———
Lawson BlakeF40.50.30.30.0—52.6%——50.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games16-17

“Ours” is our projected margin for Arkansas, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06vsAlcorn StateQ4#297W 93-59+23.2
11-10vsGardner-WebbQ4#199W 86-68+17.7
11-13vsOld DominionQ4#277W 86-77+18.6
11-17vsUNC GreensboroQ3#130L 72-78+15.8
11-22nStanfordQ2#98W 77-74+6.1
11-23nMemphisQ2#63L 79-84-2.6
11-24nNorth CarolinaQ1#10L 72-87-1.6
11-29vsDukeQ1#11W 80-75-1.5
12-04vsFurmanQ3#145W 97-83+11.4
12-09nOklahomaQ1#45L 70-79-1.9
12-16nLipscombQ3#167W 69-66+9.8
12-21vsAbilene ChristianQ4#229W 83-73+18.5
12-30vsUNC WilmingtonQ3#116W 106-90+10.8
01-06vsAuburnQ1#7L 51-83-0.6
01-10@GeorgiaQ2#95L 66-76-0.3
01-13@FloridaQ1#28L 68-90-6.5
01-16vsTexas A&MQ2#36W 78-77+0.1
01-20vsSouth CarolinaQ3#77L 64-77+6.3
01-24@Ole MissQ2#81L 51-77-4.1
01-27vsKentuckyQ1#20L 57-63-4.3
01-31@MissouriQ2#115W 91-84-3.2
02-03@LSUQ2#86L 74-95-3.4
02-10vsGeorgiaQ3#95W 78-75+3.3
02-14vsTennesseeQ1#5L 63-92-10.0
02-17@Mississippi StateQ1#34L 67-71-9.9
02-20@Texas A&MQ1#36W 78-71-9.4
02-24vsMissouriQ3#115W 88-73+4.9
02-27vsVanderbiltQ4#175L 82-85+11.2
03-02@KentuckyQ1#20L 102-111-12.8
03-06vsLSUQ3#86W 94-83+2.5
03-09@AlabamaQ1#6L 88-92-17.7
03-13nVanderbiltQ3#175W 90-85+7.9
03-14nSouth CarolinaQ2#77L 66-80-1.4

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.