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Baylor

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big 12 · 23-11 · AdjEM +22.9, 17 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
+22.917 of 362
AdjO
121.24 of 362
AdjD
98.380 of 362
AdjT
69.5206 of 362

Baylor went from +18.2 (#21) on 2023-11-05 to +22.9 (#17) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +25.6 (#10) on 2023-12-11.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 34 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
55.7%14
TOV%
16.3%204
OREB%
33.0%27
FTA/FGA
40.2%23
Opp eFG%
51.4%233
Opp TOV%
15.8%180
DREB%
75.0%97
Opp FTA/FGA
31.2%138

Résumé23-11 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
+13.48 of 362
Non-conference
+5.358 of 362
Luck
-0.1%180 of 362
Wins above bubble
+4.611 of 362
Quad 1
10-10
Quad 2
5-1
Quad 3
3-0
Quad 4
5-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
RayJ DennisG3534.313.63.96.753.1%55.8%23.6%32.8%73.1%
Ja'Kobe WalterG3532.314.54.41.447.4%54.1%23.6%34.1%79.2%
Jalen BridgesF3531.812.25.71.458.4%61.5%17.6%41.2%82.3%
Jayden NunnG3528.610.52.62.055.3%58.7%18.6%43.9%70.9%
Yves MissiC3423.010.75.60.461.4%62.2%21.9%—61.6%
Langston LoveG2424.811.02.91.256.1%60.1%21.2%48.0%78.3%
Josh OjianwunaF3515.54.93.40.373.5%72.2%14.6%0.0%63.0%
Caleb LohnerF359.22.42.30.356.8%60.5%13.5%25.0%77.3%
Miro LittleG347.11.71.20.753.6%57.4%14.0%36.0%72.2%
Jonathan Tchamwa TchatchouaF195.41.41.20.354.2%54.2%16.5%40.0%—
Dantwan GrimesG128.34.71.31.373.3%75.4%20.9%66.7%80.0%
Austin SacksF101.71.20.20.175.0%75.0%36.4%50.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games23-11

“Ours” is our projected margin for Baylor, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07nAuburnQ1#7W 88-82+2.2
11-12vsGardner-WebbQ4#199W 77-62+15.6
11-14vsKansas CityQ4#228W 99-61+24.0
11-22nOregon StateQ3#164W 88-72+18.2
11-24nFloridaQ1#28W 95-91+6.2
11-28vsNichollsQ4#257W 108-70+23.0
12-02vsNorthwestern StateQ4#332W 91-40+29.4
12-05vsSeton HallQ2#51W 78-60+13.8
12-16nMichigan StateQ1#21L 64-88+7.5
12-20nDukeQ1#11L 70-78-0.4
12-22vsMississippi Valley StateQ4#362W 107-48+39.8
01-02vsCornellQ3#104W 98-79+17.3
01-06@Oklahoma StateQ2#112W 75-70+7.1
01-09vsBYUQ1#16W 81-72+1.7
01-13vsCincinnatiQ2#33W 62-59+8.0
01-16@Kansas StateQ1#64L 64-68+3.4
01-20@TexasQ1#19L 73-75-0.5
01-27vsTCUQ2#35L 102-105+7.2
01-31@UCFQ1#58W 77-69+2.9
02-03vsIowa StateQ1#8W 70-68+2.6
02-06vsTexas TechQ1#27W 79-73+6.3
02-10@KansasQ1#18L 61-64-4.8
02-13vsOklahomaQ2#45W 79-62+7.0
02-17@West VirginiaQ2#128W 94-81+9.6
02-20@BYUQ1#16L 71-78-3.4
02-24vsHoustonQ1#2L 76-82-4.6
02-26@TCUQ1#35W 62-54+0.6
03-02vsKansasQ1#18W 82-74+2.8
03-04vsTexasQ1#19W 93-85+6.0
03-09@Texas TechQ1#27L 68-78+0.5
03-14nCincinnatiQ1#33W 68-56+4.1
03-15nIowa StateQ1#8L 62-76-0.3
03-22nColgateQ3#121W 92-67+12.3
03-24nClemsonQ1#23L 64-72+3.4

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.