Northwestern State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Southland · 14-16 · AdjEM -8.6, 260 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →

AdjEM: -8.6260 of 364
AdjO: 98.8279 of 364
AdjD: 107.5227 of 364
AdjT: 66.8326 of 364

Northwestern State went from -18.8 (#342) on 2024-11-03 to -8.6 (#260) on 2025-04-07, peaking at -8.6 (#260) on 2025-03-31.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 48.7%278
TOV%: 18.8%337
OREB%: 31.2%82
FTA/FGA: 32.2%199
Opp eFG%: 49.8%119
Opp TOV%: 16.0%168
DREB%: 69.8%290
Opp FTA/FGA: 33.1%186

Résumé14-16 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength: -2.8201 of 364
Non-conference: +8.232 of 364
Luck: +7.0%46 of 364
Wins above bubble: -10.7196 of 364

Quad 1: 0-5
Quad 2: 0-3
Quad 3: 3-3
Quad 4: 11-5

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Willie WilliamsF	33	27.8	6.2	7.6	1.5	54.4%	52.8%	14.0%	0.0%	43.2%
Addison PattersonF	31	28.4	13.0	5.5	3.3	46.2%	52.2%	28.0%	26.6%	74.7%
Micah ThomasG	33	26.3	12.2	1.9	1.4	52.8%	57.2%	24.4%	41.5%	90.8%
Love BettisG	33	20.2	7.6	1.2	2.1	43.8%	49.1%	24.3%	28.4%	84.4%
Landyn JumawanG	32	20.1	5.5	1.9	1.0	54.1%	55.3%	14.8%	40.0%	65.4%
Jerald ColonelF	31	20.1	4.7	5.5	1.0	58.0%	56.5%	12.5%	—	44.4%
Jon Sanders IIG	31	19.6	8.7	2.1	1.9	46.9%	52.2%	28.4%	39.8%	85.1%
JT WarrenF	32	14.2	4.5	2.6	0.4	47.2%	50.8%	18.4%	27.3%	75.8%
Chris MubiruG	29	11.2	2.9	1.7	0.4	52.9%	55.6%	14.5%	33.3%	78.6%
Lado LakuF	19	11.8	2.8	2.2	0.5	75.9%	77.8%	10.7%	—	83.3%
Justin RedmondG	20	11.1	3.5	0.7	0.3	51.7%	52.1%	18.6%	35.6%	52.9%
J.C. Riley Jr.C	19	7.3	1.3	1.9	0.2	50.0%	47.6%	15.3%	—	33.3%
Dontae WalkerG	5	10.2	5.8	2.2	1.0	52.3%	55.2%	29.3%	33.3%	66.7%
Mitch WilliamsG	6	5.0	1.3	0.3	0.8	57.1%	57.1%	15.9%	33.3%	—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games14-16

“Ours” is our projected margin for Northwestern State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-08	@Texas Tech	Q1#9	L 65-86	-32.0	69	11-04
11-11	@Oklahoma	Q1#43	L 57-73	-28.5	70	11-04
11-16	@Rice	Q3#187	L 75-77	-8.9	69	11-11
11-22	vsUL Monroe	Q4#347	L 63-65	+6.0	70	11-18
11-24	vsNorth Alabama	Q3#132	W 71-58	-5.0	71	11-18
11-29	@LSU	Q2#82	L 53-77	-19.1	71	11-25
12-05	@Incarnate Word	Q4#258	W 72-70	-2.1	69	12-02
12-07	@Houston Christian	Q4#316	W 64-57	+5.5	69	12-02
12-14	@California	Q2#114	L 66-84	-14.6	70	12-09
12-29	@Texas	Q1#35	L 53-77	-26.2	69	12-23
01-04	vsNicholls	Q4#191	W 68-66	+1.2	69	12-30
01-06	vsMcNeese	Q2#72	L 69-92	-10.9	67	12-30
01-11	vsEast Texas A&M	Q4#342	W 75-67	+10.1	69	01-06
01-13	@Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	Q3#182	L 64-73	-10.4	69	01-06
01-18	vsSE Louisiana	Q4#243	L 64-65	+0.7	69	01-13
01-20	vsNew Orleans	Q4#355	W 73-61	+10.3	70	01-13
01-25	@Stephen F. Austin	Q4#264	W 57-54	-5.9	68	01-20
01-27	@Lamar	Q3#203	L 59-69	-6.5	68	01-20
02-01	@East Texas A&M	Q4#342	L 50-72	+3.1	69	01-27
02-03	vsUT Rio Grande Valley	Q4#297	W 79-63	+4.8	70	01-27
02-08	@McNeese	Q1#72	L 50-65	-17.8	67	02-03
02-10	@Nicholls	Q3#191	W 72-60	-9.0	69	02-03
02-15	vsStephen F. Austin	Q4#264	L 68-70	+0.7	69	02-10
02-17	vsLamar	Q4#203	L 65-75	-0.3	68	02-10
02-22	@New Orleans	Q4#355	W 73-66	+4.2	70	02-17
02-24	@SE Louisiana	Q4#243	W 72-69	-5.6	69	02-17
03-01	vsHouston Christian	Q4#316	W 61-56	+5.4	67	02-24
03-03	vsIncarnate Word	Q4#258	W 73-57	+3.1	67	02-24
03-10	nTexas A&M-Corpus Christi	Q3#182	W 66-63	-4.8	68	03-03
03-11	@McNeese	Q1#72	L 64-83	-16.7	67	03-10

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.