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Western Carolina

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

SoCon · 15-16 · AdjEM -5.4, 234 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
-5.4234 of 363
AdjO
99.1239 of 363
AdjD
104.5236 of 363
AdjT
70.8107 of 363

Western Carolina went from -8.9 (#297) on 2022-11-06 to -5.4 (#234) on 2023-04-03, peaking at -4.3 (#228) on 2022-11-21.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
49.1%253
TOV%
14.5%29
OREB%
22.7%294
FTA/FGA
33.8%98
Opp eFG%
51.0%203
Opp TOV%
14.9%308
DREB%
76.7%57
Opp FTA/FGA
34.1%257

Résumé15-16 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
-2.7231 of 363
Non-conference
-3.8302 of 363
Luck
+6.0%57 of 363
Wins above bubble
-10.1210 of 363
Quad 1
0-1
Quad 2
0-4
Quad 3
5-7
Quad 4
10-4

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Tre JacksonG3335.015.83.71.757.1%60.4%21.9%42.6%88.0%
Russell Jones Jr.G3432.69.12.62.250.8%53.1%15.0%34.5%69.2%
Vonterius WoolbrightG3332.414.57.45.147.9%52.6%26.7%25.0%66.2%
Tyler HarrisF3426.35.12.50.945.6%47.0%11.7%29.3%63.0%
Ty ClaudeF3126.315.48.60.552.6%57.2%30.5%33.3%72.0%
DeJuan CampbellG3422.05.02.71.544.6%49.7%13.4%21.7%80.4%
Bernard PeloteF3115.25.53.20.449.7%50.2%19.9%31.8%61.5%
Colin GrangerC339.72.62.20.246.8%49.4%16.9%—70.6%
Marcus KellF206.22.51.60.338.5%41.9%27.6%22.2%62.5%
Marlow GilmoreF146.82.72.30.160.0%60.0%20.5%—57.1%
Cam BacoteG610.71.70.21.044.4%48.0%12.5%33.3%66.7%
Miles McClureG73.42.40.40.085.0%85.0%21.5%62.5%—
Jalen HigginsG62.80.30.30.010.0%10.0%33.5%0.0%—
Elijah CupplesG72.31.90.60.150.0%66.3%38.1%0.0%87.5%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games15-16

“Ours” is our projected margin for Western Carolina, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07@GeorgiaQ3#162L 55-68-10.8
11-10@MarylandQ1#29L 51-71-16.5
11-18@McNeeseQ4#341W 88-69-3.9
11-19nLamarQ4#358W 98-91+6.8
11-20nLindenwoodQ4#334W 90-88+2.9
11-26@UNC AshevilleQ3#149L 61-73-8.0
11-30vsGardner-WebbQ4#181L 55-71+0.8
12-03vsSouth Carolina UpstateQ4#254L 64-79+12.5
12-07@DavidsonQ3#138L 64-72-14.7
12-17@Tennessee TechQ4#266W 75-65-4.5
12-29vsUNC GreensboroQ3#108L 47-72-0.7
12-31vsFurmanQ3#85W 79-67-5.7
01-04@East Tennessee StateQ3#233W 71-60-7.0
01-07vsMercerQ4#194W 73-45-2.0
01-11@ChattanoogaQ3#151L 76-95-11.2
01-14@The CitadelQ4#323L 61-65-0.2
01-18vsWoffordQ4#221W 76-71+1.7
01-21@SamfordQ2#126L 65-74-10.9
01-25vsThe CitadelQ4#323L 70-81+8.0
01-28@VMIQ4#346W 71-65+1.5
02-01vsSamfordQ3#126L 77-85-3.0
02-04vsChattanoogaQ3#151W 83-68-3.4
02-08@WoffordQ3#221W 95-91-4.7
02-11@FurmanQ2#85L 59-93-14.6
02-15vsEast Tennessee StateQ4#233W 68-66+3.3
02-18@MercerQ3#194W 71-68-5.7
02-22@UNC GreensboroQ2#108L 52-71-12.1
02-25vsVMIQ4#346W 85-66+11.4
03-04nEast Tennessee StateQ4#233W 69-57-0.8
03-05nFurmanQ2#85L 80-83-11.0
03-18nCharlotteQ3#105L 56-65-6.9

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.