Skip to content

The Citadel

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

SoCon · 9-22 · AdjEM -13.5, 323 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
-13.5323 of 363
AdjO
95.6304 of 363
AdjD
109.2319 of 363
AdjT
69.5179 of 363

The Citadel went from -6.1 (#257) on 2022-11-06 to -13.5 (#323) on 2023-04-03, peaking at -4.2 (#228) on 2022-11-14.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
49.3%240
TOV%
17.2%196
OREB%
18.8%347
FTA/FGA
28.9%261
Opp eFG%
52.4%281
Opp TOV%
16.4%220
DREB%
68.9%331
Opp FTA/FGA
33.9%246

Résumé9-22 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
-2.6230 of 363
Non-conference
-4.1314 of 363
Luck
+1.7%135 of 363
Wins above bubble
-16.1321 of 363
Quad 1
0-2
Quad 2
0-5
Quad 3
3-9
Quad 4
6-6

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Stephen ClarkF3234.616.36.52.850.5%53.1%28.0%22.4%67.2%
Austin AshG3036.915.24.61.755.4%58.6%21.2%39.7%92.1%
Elijah MorganG3230.77.63.02.142.6%48.7%16.4%29.5%85.3%
Madison DurrG3224.47.73.32.045.0%50.8%20.8%29.7%74.2%
David MaynardG3123.75.02.51.555.5%57.5%11.1%32.6%87.5%
AJ SmithG2916.86.12.80.441.2%45.1%25.2%11.5%68.6%
Jackson PriceF2316.66.72.30.362.5%64.4%18.6%44.0%74.2%
Colby McAllisterG2710.32.11.60.432.4%38.0%16.6%17.0%100.0%
Brady SpenceF239.63.42.80.260.4%61.3%18.9%—62.5%
Dylan EnglerG139.01.21.80.538.5%42.8%10.8%0.0%50.0%
Tony CarpioF175.81.81.10.157.1%60.2%17.0%—70.0%
Bailey ConradF113.71.00.40.056.3%61.5%15.5%25.0%100.0%
Mike GreenG38.02.71.00.037.5%44.7%22.0%33.3%100.0%
John-Michael HughesG73.10.40.40.050.0%50.0%9.7%50.0%—
Josh DavisG42.00.50.30.325.0%25.0%39.9%0.0%—
Kaylan MakanG22.50.00.50.00.0%0.0%21.3%0.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games9-22

“Ours” is our projected margin for The Citadel, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07@ClemsonQ1#58L 69-80-13.7
11-10vsPresbyterianQ4#338W 70-58+4.6
11-19@ButlerQ2#119L 42-89-10.3
11-23@New OrleansQ4#340W 72-65-3.4
11-24nDenverQ4#300L 71-74+0.4
11-25nIU IndianapolisQ4#360W 74-53+13.1
11-30@Charleston SouthernQ4#319W 76-73-3.1
12-03vsCharlestonQ2#67L 57-79-5.8
12-13@North CarolinaQ1#38L 67-100-23.3
12-17vsLongwoodQ3#154L 70-75-4.1
12-20@North Carolina CentralQ3#198L 74-81-10.2
12-29vsChattanoogaQ3#151W 76-68-5.8
12-31vsSamfordQ3#126L 63-75-2.7
01-04@FurmanQ2#85L 72-97-13.6
01-07@WoffordQ3#221L 57-77-9.1
01-11vsEast Tennessee StateQ4#233L 74-96+2.2
01-14vsWestern CarolinaQ4#234W 65-61+0.2
01-19@UNC GreensboroQ2#108L 60-70-15.9
01-21@VMIQ4#346W 60-52-4.1
01-25@Western CarolinaQ3#234W 81-70-8.0
01-28vsMercerQ4#194L 65-74-2.5
01-30vsChicago StateQ4#309L 75-76+2.4
02-02vsVMIQ4#346L 69-75+5.4
02-04vsUNC GreensboroQ3#108L 59-79-7.1
02-08@ChattanoogaQ3#151L 63-82-13.8
02-11@SamfordQ2#126L 70-76-14.8
02-15vsFurmanQ3#85W 69-65-12.8
02-18vsWoffordQ4#221L 68-72-1.9
02-22@East Tennessee StateQ3#233L 70-78-8.1
02-25@MercerQ3#194L 50-72-9.0
03-03nMercerQ3#194L 41-66-6.8

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.