Western Carolina

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

SoCon · 0-0 · AdjEM -6.2, 235 of 365 nationally.

2026-27 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-10-05preseason: no games played, every team at its prior

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-10-05

Every team →

AdjEM: -6.2235 of 365
AdjO: 105.2191 of 365
AdjD: 111.4273 of 365
AdjT: 71.099 of 365

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

Fewer than two snapshots — no path to draw yet.

Four factorsraw season rates · 0 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: —
TOV%: —
OREB%: —
FTA/FGA: —
Opp eFG%: —
Opp TOV%: —
DREB%: —
Opp FTA/FGA: —

Roster15 players · as listed today

Player	Class	Last season	G	MPG	PPG
Marcus KellF	Junior	here	31	29.3	13.6
Julien SoumaoroG	Senior	here	27	26.2	11.6
Tidjiane DioumassiG	Senior	here	29	24.2	8.9
Tahlan PettwayG	Freshman	here	30	22.1	8.5
Samuel DadaF	Freshman	here	31	20.3	6.6
Abdulai Fanta KabbaC	Sophomore	here	29	17.4	4.7
Justin JohnsonG	Sophomore	here	30	15.6	6.7
Tayeshaun SmithF	Freshman	here	30	9.7	1.5
CJ HylandG	Sophomore	here	20	14.6	6.2
Fischer BrownG	Sophomore	here	10	9.5	2.2
Chase McKeyF	Senior	here	4	9.3	2.0
Vernon CollinsF	Senior	here	5	6.0	1.2
Drew HollifieldG	Freshman	here	6	2.3	2.2
Max WilliamsG	Freshman	here	6	2.0	0.0
Titian DeRosaG	Freshman	no games

The roster as ESPN lists it today. Before a season, some schools' lists are still last season's; a player shown with no games did not play in Division I last season.

Still to play27 games · from the ratings of 2026-10-05

Today's ratings give Western Carolina 12.1 expected wins from the 27 games left on the schedule; the hardest is at Virginia, a 2% chance.

Date	Opponent	Margin	Win
11-02	@North Carolina	-23.2	2%
11-07	@UNC Asheville	-3.9	34%
11-14	vsLipscomb	-0.5	48%
11-17	@Butler	-15.1	8%
11-21	@Wake Forest	-14.9	8%
11-29	@Charlotte	-6.6	25%
12-05	vsThe Citadel	+12.7	89%
12-13	@Virginia	-23.7	2%
12-19	@Furman	-7.0	24%
12-22	@Wofford	-3.5	36%
12-30	vsChattanooga	+3.6	64%
01-02	vsVMI	+13.5	90%
01-06	@Mercer	-6.0	27%
01-09	@East Tennessee State	-9.7	17%
01-13	@UNC Greensboro	+0.6	53%
01-16	vsSamford	+1.1	55%
01-18	vsMercer	-0.3	49%
01-21	@Tennessee Tech	+2.3	59%
01-23	@Chattanooga	-2.1	41%
01-27	vsWofford	+2.2	59%
02-03	vsTennessee Tech	+8.0	79%
02-06	@Samford	-4.7	32%
02-10	@The Citadel	+7.0	76%
02-13	vsFurman	-1.3	45%
02-18	vsEast Tennessee State	-4.0	34%
02-20	vsUNC Greensboro	+6.4	74%
02-27	@VMI	+7.8	78%

These use today's ratings and will move as the ratings do. The projection beside a game already played, below, is fixed at the ratings dated before that game.

Games0-0

“Ours” is our projected margin for Western Carolina, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

No box lines for this team this season.

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 365 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.