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North Dakota

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Summit · 9-21 · AdjEM -10.3, 278 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
-10.3278 of 364
AdjO
104.0188 of 364
AdjD
114.2340 of 364
AdjT
70.9108 of 364

North Dakota went from -7.2 (#253) on 2024-11-03 to -10.3 (#278) on 2025-04-07, peaking at -7.1 (#244) on 2024-11-25.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
49.7%244
TOV%
15.8%172
OREB%
32.6%48
FTA/FGA
33.5%165
Opp eFG%
56.5%358
Opp TOV%
14.3%306
DREB%
72.3%180
Opp FTA/FGA
33.0%180

Résumé9-21 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
-1.4165 of 364
Non-conference
+2.0129 of 364
Luck
-0.9%209 of 364
Wins above bubble
-16.6307 of 364
Quad 1
0-2
Quad 2
0-3
Quad 3
5-7
Quad 4
4-9

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Treysen EaglestaffF3331.818.92.82.450.2%54.8%29.3%35.9%79.4%
Eli KingG3330.38.35.52.248.8%51.0%14.6%37.5%70.0%
Mier PanoamG3328.213.05.82.447.2%52.0%24.6%22.2%71.1%
Amar KuljuhovicG3324.610.76.81.854.0%57.2%21.8%23.9%65.0%
Dariyus WoodsonF3221.68.52.40.750.0%53.5%19.7%31.1%77.0%
Deng MayarF2920.26.34.00.652.7%55.0%15.7%31.1%70.3%
Mambourou MaraF3012.73.21.80.457.8%58.3%11.6%34.2%61.5%
Zach KraftG3011.33.90.70.461.4%61.7%15.1%40.3%66.7%
Reggie ThomasG2412.02.51.31.336.9%40.9%15.5%25.8%65.0%
Brian MathewsF1913.23.14.20.738.1%40.3%15.8%0.0%52.6%
George NatsvlishviliF218.02.32.10.342.3%42.3%18.9%11.1%40.0%
Ryan EriksonF75.02.31.70.441.7%42.2%32.8%12.5%50.0%
Anthony DopplerG65.72.20.50.392.9%92.9%14.1%100.0%—
Matthew BothunF65.01.51.30.050.0%57.0%12.6%0.0%75.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games9-21

“Ours” is our projected margin for North Dakota, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-04@Colorado StateQ1#44L 56-82-18.2
11-14vsUtah ValleyQ3#116W 77-71-7.0
11-19@Notre DameQ2#90L 58-75-17.9
11-22@Loyola MarymountQ3#149W 77-73-8.8
11-26nBethune-CookmanQ4#292L 67-79+2.6
11-27nSE LouisianaQ4#243L 60-76+2.0
12-04@Eastern WashingtonQ4#267L 81-87-10.6
12-07vsWeber StateQ4#288W 80-75-2.7
12-11@Utah ValleyQ2#116L 57-80-10.8
12-13@UTSAQ3#198L 76-80-6.6
12-15vsUTSAQ4#198L 85-95+0.4
12-18vsAlabamaQ1#6L 90-97-29.5
01-02vsOmahaQ4#181L 85-95+3.3
01-04vsSt. Thomas-MinnesotaQ3#121L 80-88-6.9
01-09@DenverQ4#298W 95-70-4.1
01-11@Oral RobertsQ4#325L 79-83-2.5
01-16@South Dakota StateQ3#138L 73-109-14.1
01-18vsKansas CityQ4#217W 76-72-1.0
01-23vsSouth DakotaQ4#251L 93-102+1.8
01-25@North Dakota StateQ3#139L 82-87-15.2
02-01vsSouth Dakota StateQ3#138W 80-75-9.0
02-06@OmahaQ3#181L 77-80-7.5
02-08@Kansas CityQ3#217L 69-80-7.4
02-13vsDenverQ4#298L 64-68+6.0
02-15vsOral RobertsQ4#325W 88-77+5.7
02-22vsNorth Dakota StateQ3#139W 79-77-5.6
02-27@St. Thomas-MinnesotaQ2#121L 71-86-12.6
03-01@South DakotaQ4#251L 79-92-5.2
03-07nSouth Dakota StateQ3#138W 85-69-9.7
03-08nSt. Thomas-MinnesotaQ3#121L 69-85-9.8

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.