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Southern

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

SWAC · 13-17 · AdjEM -8.2, 270 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
-8.2270 of 363
AdjO
94.5319 of 363
AdjD
102.7189 of 363
AdjT
72.341 of 363

Southern went from -0.7 (#187) on 2022-11-06 to -8.2 (#269) on 2023-04-03, peaking at +3.1 (#138) on 2022-11-21.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
48.5%284
TOV%
19.1%311
OREB%
22.4%304
FTA/FGA
34.5%86
Opp eFG%
51.4%228
Opp TOV%
21.7%15
DREB%
72.9%207
Opp FTA/FGA
42.9%352

Résumé13-17 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
-7.3339 of 363
Non-conference
+4.079 of 363
Luck
-5.9%305 of 363
Wins above bubble
-11.7246 of 363
Quad 1
0-4
Quad 2
0-1
Quad 3
0-2
Quad 4
13-10

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players17 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
P.J. ByrdG3129.09.22.55.551.8%60.4%17.2%34.5%78.8%
Brion WhitleyG3227.711.82.91.047.2%50.6%24.4%32.7%79.5%
Bryson EtienneG3125.910.73.81.847.8%50.5%22.9%34.6%74.6%
Terrell Williams Jr.F3224.57.24.20.950.6%54.5%15.3%33.9%73.1%
Tyrone LyonsG3222.88.93.91.049.8%51.7%21.7%30.9%58.9%
Festus NdumanyaF3214.35.74.00.356.3%58.9%20.0%0.0%68.5%
Jalen ReynoldsF2813.64.62.50.350.5%51.6%20.0%—52.6%
Isaiah RollinsG3111.23.41.40.646.5%49.0%18.0%32.3%90.9%
DeSean WoodsG2611.32.41.22.338.6%42.8%19.0%25.7%75.0%
JaRonn WilkensF279.43.41.70.158.1%61.2%17.4%—73.1%
Dre'Shawn AllenG2210.04.81.60.250.0%50.8%25.1%35.7%80.0%
Jariyon WilkensF248.92.11.70.340.8%50.6%14.4%27.8%79.2%
Kris GardnerG119.53.00.91.062.0%63.6%18.7%46.7%100.0%
DaMariee JonesF227.011.06.03.537.5%41.7%27.7%—80.0%
Gavin HarrisG104.61.70.90.750.0%50.4%21.3%0.0%50.0%
J'Quan EwingF46.34.01.50.357.1%57.1%27.6%——
Gavin FlowersF22.50.01.00.00.0%0.0%19.7%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games13-17

“Ours” is our projected margin for Southern, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07@UNLVQ2#95L 56-66-8.6
11-11@ArizonaQ1#11L 78-95-22.3
11-16@Saint Mary'sQ1#9L 54-72-16.7
11-18@CaliforniaQ4#293W 74-66+1.8
11-25nLoyola MarylandQ4#314W 76-58+7.3
11-26nOmahaQ4#326L 78-88+13.9
12-02@Louisiana TechQ3#147L 59-74-11.0
12-13@XavierQ1#21L 59-79-16.9
12-16@Youngstown StateQ3#140L 81-85-7.7
12-18@UABQ1#47L 66-92-17.5
12-21@SE LouisianaQ4#276L 62-80-1.4
01-02@Texas SouthernQ4#299W 77-76-2.9
01-04@Prairie View A&MQ4#284W 66-62-0.9
01-07vsFlorida A&MQ4#356W 84-66+17.8
01-09vsBethune-CookmanQ4#354W 102-75+17.0
01-14vsGramblingQ4#211W 81-73+7.6
01-21@Arkansas-Pine BluffQ4#339L 55-62+6.0
01-23@Mississippi Valley StateQ4#359W 84-70+12.5
01-28vsAlcorn StateQ4#272W 80-68+7.6
01-30vsJackson StateQ4#318W 73-62+11.4
02-04@Alabama A&MQ4#316L 61-82+5.8
02-06@Alabama StateQ4#350L 66-73+7.0
02-11vsPrairie View A&MQ4#284W 79-65+6.4
02-13vsTexas SouthernQ4#299L 68-79+8.7
02-18nGramblingQ4#211L 64-69-0.1
02-25@Bethune-CookmanQ4#354L 53-60+6.1
02-27@Florida A&MQ4#356W 60-58+6.4
03-02vsAlabama StateQ4#350W 66-52+11.8
03-04vsAlabama A&MQ4#316L 65-68+8.4
03-09nAlabama A&MQ4#316L 63-77+3.9

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.