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Southern Miss

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Sun Belt · 22-8 · AdjEM +3.5, 131 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
+3.5131 of 363
AdjO
102.6159 of 363
AdjD
99.1111 of 363
AdjT
70.2136 of 363

Southern Miss went from -14.9 (#346) on 2022-11-06 to +3.5 (#131) on 2023-04-03, peaking at +5.9 (#105) on 2023-02-13.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
50.9%163
TOV%
17.1%191
OREB%
28.9%109
FTA/FGA
32.2%148
Opp eFG%
47.8%55
Opp TOV%
18.9%69
DREB%
72.0%248
Opp FTA/FGA
30.2%154

Résumé22-8 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
-1.6193 of 363
Non-conference
-3.2291 of 363
Luck
+14.1%2 of 363
Wins above bubble
-1.768 of 363
Quad 1
1-1
Quad 2
1-4
Quad 3
6-3
Quad 4
14-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Felipe HaaseF3333.515.06.13.255.8%61.2%21.9%39.6%86.8%
Austin CrowleyG3332.516.04.12.654.9%57.6%25.2%35.9%74.5%
DeAndre PinckneyF3329.412.96.61.354.0%56.8%21.6%33.3%69.6%
Mo ArnoldG3323.94.52.92.937.6%39.7%14.9%26.2%58.8%
Denijay HarrisF2824.18.95.60.656.5%58.4%19.2%0.0%67.8%
Donovan IvoryG3214.75.51.90.753.9%57.3%19.1%29.8%71.2%
Neftali AlvarezG1525.57.82.12.938.1%41.2%22.6%22.5%57.1%
Tyler MormanF289.42.22.50.355.8%54.2%12.3%0.0%46.4%
Nico AguirreG278.71.60.71.041.0%42.8%12.1%22.0%100.0%
Marcelo PerezG268.32.61.00.647.4%50.4%18.9%7.1%65.0%
Victor HartF267.02.52.10.239.7%44.7%21.7%21.1%77.8%
Jeffery ArmstrongG295.41.00.40.467.5%66.2%8.6%33.3%50.0%
GianFranco GrafalsG122.61.00.30.344.4%48.7%24.9%0.0%57.1%
Tate RyderG132.00.50.20.187.5%78.2%16.4%50.0%0.0%
Trey AlfonsoG121.80.70.30.137.5%42.4%21.6%0.0%66.7%
Luke LadnerG29.55.51.00.055.6%50.5%31.5%0.0%25.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games22-8

“Ours” is our projected margin for Southern Miss, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-11@VanderbiltQ2#79W 60-48-18.8
11-18@LibertyQ1#55W 76-72-10.9
11-22nWinthropQ4#232W 77-52-1.3
11-23nPurdue Fort WayneQ4#255W 70-58+0.1
11-29vsMontanaQ4#183W 64-54+12.2
12-04@Northwestern StateQ3#231L 82-84+0.7
12-10vsLamarQ4#358W 95-59+20.0
12-13@LamarQ4#358W 91-65+13.4
12-18vsMcNeeseQ4#341W 86-67+19.6
12-22@UNLVQ2#95L 63-74-8.0
12-29vsTroyQ3#157W 64-60+6.9
12-31vsApp StateQ4#193W 76-70+10.7
01-05@LouisianaQ2#104L 61-75-2.9
01-07@UL MonroeQ4#306W 65-60+8.3
01-12@MarshallQ2#94L 67-89-6.9
01-14@Arkansas StateQ4#285W 74-57+5.7
01-19vsSouth AlabamaQ3#106W 76-72+7.1
01-21vsJames MadisonQ3#100W 83-70+0.4
01-26vsArkansas StateQ4#285W 73-57+14.4
01-28vsTexas StateQ4#188W 67-58+7.6
02-02@TroyQ3#157W 74-65-0.8
02-04@Georgia StateQ4#283W 79-71+4.0
02-09vsLouisianaQ3#104W 82-71+3.9
02-11vsUL MonroeQ4#306W 76-67+13.6
02-16@South AlabamaQ2#106L 54-85-0.8
02-18vsGeorgia SouthernQ4#216W 73-62+10.8
02-22@Old DominionQ3#180L 64-69-0.6
02-24@Texas StateQ3#188W 79-69+1.1
03-04nSouth AlabamaQ3#106L 61-78-0.3
03-14@UABQ1#47L 60-88-10.5

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.