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Northwestern State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Southland · 21-11 · AdjEM -5.3, 231 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
-5.3231 of 363
AdjO
101.0193 of 363
AdjD
106.3273 of 363
AdjT
68.8216 of 363

Northwestern State went from -11.3 (#328) on 2022-11-06 to -5.3 (#231) on 2023-04-03, peaking at -3.4 (#213) on 2023-02-13.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.3%133
TOV%
15.8%79
OREB%
31.1%50
FTA/FGA
27.2%314
Opp eFG%
51.0%204
Opp TOV%
19.9%40
DREB%
68.8%332
Opp FTA/FGA
38.7%322

Résumé21-11 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
-8.1345 of 363
Non-conference
+0.8166 of 363
Luck
+8.7%22 of 363
Wins above bubble
-6.1133 of 363
Quad 1
1-3
Quad 2
1-0
Quad 3
1-2
Quad 4
18-6

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
DeMarcus SharpG3334.419.55.05.048.8%52.7%30.6%54.7%80.7%
Isaac HaneyG3333.711.04.12.547.0%50.5%19.3%31.4%72.0%
Ja'Monta BlackG3233.815.43.10.754.5%57.8%21.2%37.4%86.4%
Jalen HamptonG3325.410.27.40.665.1%64.5%18.9%—59.3%
Greedy WilliamsG3319.12.22.51.845.7%45.7%9.4%30.0%44.0%
Micah ThomasG2223.68.41.53.247.0%50.6%20.0%32.9%92.6%
Emareyon McDonaldG3215.46.10.90.855.0%55.9%20.4%38.7%88.9%
Dayne PrimF3114.15.52.40.647.9%52.5%21.3%30.0%81.0%
Jordan WilmoreC289.30.92.10.039.3%37.6%8.7%—27.3%
Hansel EnmanuelPG208.21.71.20.155.8%52.8%12.6%25.0%38.5%
Reggie HillF1212.14.92.20.151.8%49.7%23.6%38.7%14.3%
Majok KuathF149.11.71.80.540.0%42.4%13.1%0.0%57.1%
Cedric GarrettG235.11.41.00.142.4%44.8%18.4%18.2%62.5%
Jovan ZelenbabaG115.70.70.50.336.4%32.2%13.9%0.0%0.0%
Harrison BlackG73.90.30.00.625.0%25.0%11.2%0.0%—
Karlin HardySG73.00.00.10.10.0%0.0%2.4%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games21-11

“Ours” is our projected margin for Northwestern State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07@Texas TechQ1#41L 49-73-25.9
11-12vsIllinois StateQ4#261L 67-69-1.1
11-14@TCUQ1#22W 64-63-16.5
11-17@Illinois StateQ4#261W 70-67-7.8
11-26@Central ArkansasQ4#342W 74-66-0.5
11-27nBethune-CookmanQ4#354W 69-66+7.0
12-01@Stephen F. AustinQ2#133W 102-96-11.9
12-04vsSouthern MissQ3#131W 84-82-0.7
12-10vsUL MonroeQ4#306W 91-73+12.6
12-17@RiceQ3#200L 73-110-4.6
12-20@BaylorQ1#17L 48-58-25.2
12-27@Texas A&MQ1#28L 52-64-16.7
12-31vsTexas A&M-Corpus ChristiQ4#201L 59-65+2.9
01-05@McNeeseQ4#341L 77-92+1.9
01-07vsNichollsQ4#270W 68-48+1.5
01-12vsMcNeeseQ4#341W 89-75+9.5
01-14@NichollsQ4#270L 63-77-5.6
01-19@SE LouisianaQ4#276W 91-81-3.2
01-21@New OrleansQ4#340W 88-65+2.2
01-26vsHouston ChristianQ4#357W 82-63+14.9
01-28vsLamarQ4#358W 80-65+16.6
02-02@Houston ChristianQ4#357W 94-76+7.3
02-04@LamarQ4#358W 72-68+9.5
02-09@East Texas A&MQ4#310W 88-82+0.9
02-11vsEast Texas A&MQ4#310W 72-64+8.2
02-16vsSE LouisianaQ4#276W 81-76+8.3
02-18vsNew OrleansQ4#340L 65-68+15.4
02-23@Incarnate WordQ4#351W 71-66+6.0
02-25@Texas A&M-Corpus ChristiQ3#201L 75-83-5.7
03-01vsIncarnate WordQ4#351W 81-64+12.9
03-07nNew OrleansQ4#340W 74-70+8.2
03-08nTexas A&M-Corpus ChristiQ4#201L 71-75-1.4

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.