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Southern Miss

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

CUSA · 5-26 · AdjEM -16.4, 345 of 359 nationally.

2021-22 seasonthrough ratings as of 2022-04-0421 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2022-04-04

Every team →
AdjEM
-16.4345 of 359
AdjO
92.8331 of 359
AdjD
109.2345 of 359
AdjT
69.2204 of 359

Southern Miss went from -9.2 (#353) on 2021-11-15 to -16.4 (#345) on 2022-04-04, peaking at -5.8 (#293) on 2021-11-29.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2021-11-152022-04-04

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
46.9%304
TOV%
18.7%274
OREB%
22.3%293
FTA/FGA
26.7%280
Opp eFG%
54.1%334
Opp TOV%
15.0%312
DREB%
72.9%224
Opp FTA/FGA
28.1%115

Résumé5-26 · against the ratings of 2022-04-04

Schedule strength
-0.1172 of 359
Non-conference
-2.1275 of 359
Luck
-1.6%202 of 359
Wins above bubble
-17.7349 of 359
Quad 1
0-4
Quad 2
0-5
Quad 3
1-8
Quad 4
4-9

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players17 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Tyler StevensonF2832.014.67.50.649.7%52.4%25.8%25.0%67.3%
Rashad BoldenG3326.66.81.61.840.5%44.0%18.3%28.6%81.0%
Walyn NapperG3326.17.82.84.146.5%47.2%20.8%33.3%50.8%
DeAndre PinckneyF3324.88.95.20.450.4%54.6%19.6%31.6%79.2%
Isaih MooreF2728.513.16.91.256.5%59.3%23.5%30.9%68.5%
Jaron Pierre Jr.G2727.49.93.11.444.8%46.2%24.6%33.3%76.0%
Mo ArnoldG2718.72.71.91.840.2%41.5%13.7%26.1%60.0%
Denijay HarrisF3214.32.92.40.646.2%48.9%14.4%—58.8%
Tyler MormanF269.41.21.80.357.1%56.1%9.8%—50.0%
Jeffery ArmstrongG249.40.40.60.927.8%27.8%4.7%14.3%—
Tae HardyG725.113.72.01.758.7%63.7%26.1%38.5%84.6%
Mark JaaksonG122.80.60.10.018.8%33.7%18.1%33.3%80.0%
GianFranco GrafalsG124.010.03.01.044.4%45.9%30.4%0.0%50.0%
Tate RyderG121.40.30.00.012.5%22.3%27.7%0.0%100.0%
Blake RobertsG111.30.30.30.030.0%30.0%18.8%33.3%—
Trey AlfonsoG81.50.60.40.062.5%62.5%26.3%50.0%—
Kai SteinmanG11.00.00.01.0——0.0%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games5-26

“Ours” is our projected margin for Southern Miss, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-12vsLouisianaQ4#167L 45-66—
11-15@TCUQ1#49L 51-83—
11-21vsLamarQ4#347W 82-75+6.5
11-24nUNC WilmingtonQ3#163W 80-66-8.1
11-25nUC San DiegoQ4#266W 56-55-13.1
11-26@MontanaQ4#250L 62-74-16.3
12-01@South AlabamaQ3#143L 55-85-14.8
12-04@Southern IllinoisQ2#131L 41-66-12.9
12-14vsJacksonvilleQ4#166L 51-62-2.0
12-18@UL MonroeQ4#292L 65-74-9.9
12-21@East CarolinaQ3#217L 67-68-13.2
01-06@UTSAQ4#339W 74-73-2.8
01-08@UTEPQ3#157L 54-87-11.6
01-13@Louisiana TechQ2#94L 57-80-18.3
01-16vsLouisiana TechQ3#94L 62-76-7.7
01-22@Middle TennesseeQ2#88L 60-74-16.0
01-27vsNorth TexasQ1#29L 54-63-11.1
01-29vsRiceQ4#225L 62-76-4.4
02-03@Florida InternationalQ4#280L 67-77-10.1
02-05@Florida AtlanticQ2#112L 57-84-16.1
02-10@UABQ1#31L 63-84-22.9
02-14vsWestern KentuckyQ3#116L 77-87-8.4
02-17vsUTSAQ4#339L 79-98+5.3
02-19vsUTEPQ3#157L 70-84-6.2
02-21vsMarshallQ4#249L 60-74-2.8
02-24@North TexasQ1#29L 61-85-22.7
02-26@RiceQ3#225L 72-77-13.7
03-02vsUABQ2#31L 68-81-16.6
03-05vsCharlotteQ4#203L 67-70-7.1
03-08nUTSAQ4#339W 67-64-0.9
03-09nFlorida AtlanticQ3#112L 59-86-14.1

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 359 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.