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Georgia State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Sun Belt · 7-21 · AdjEM -9.4, 282 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
-9.4282 of 363
AdjO
94.7313 of 363
AdjD
104.1227 of 363
AdjT
69.6173 of 363

Georgia State went from -0.6 (#183) on 2022-11-06 to -9.4 (#283) on 2023-04-03, peaking at -0.6 (#183) on 2022-11-06.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 28 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
45.6%344
TOV%
18.0%257
OREB%
27.4%153
FTA/FGA
33.5%107
Opp eFG%
50.7%185
Opp TOV%
16.7%191
DREB%
72.6%226
Opp FTA/FGA
35.4%280

Résumé7-21 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
-0.8169 of 363
Non-conference
-0.9219 of 363
Luck
-7.6%324 of 363
Wins above bubble
-16.2324 of 363
Quad 1
0-1
Quad 2
0-3
Quad 3
2-9
Quad 4
5-8

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Dwon OdomG2934.313.14.53.944.9%48.9%23.7%18.2%77.5%
Brenden TuckerG2831.812.93.11.544.0%48.9%23.7%31.5%74.1%
Jamaine MannG3027.710.35.11.647.2%51.9%20.9%32.4%73.5%
Ja'Heim HudsonF2926.810.16.81.050.0%53.8%21.9%27.0%77.9%
Kalik BrooksG3118.63.22.30.850.0%50.5%10.6%42.6%52.6%
Evan JohnsonG2025.69.32.02.340.4%44.4%22.6%27.0%75.6%
Ed NnamokoF2816.11.83.60.142.6%42.3%9.6%—39.3%
Collin MooreG1330.514.24.31.056.1%59.4%23.7%35.7%68.7%
Danny StubbsG1815.43.10.70.730.7%35.2%16.5%19.1%70.6%
Joe Jones IIIF1310.23.13.00.247.2%49.1%17.9%0.0%60.0%
Jamall ClyceF148.11.61.90.140.9%41.9%15.7%—44.4%
Jalen BouknightG28.01.01.50.033.3%33.3%12.6%0.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games7-21

“Ours” is our projected margin for Georgia State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-12vsGeorgia TechQ4#164L 57-59+2.1
11-15vsMercerQ4#194W 85-83+1.1
11-18vsEastern KentuckyQ4#179L 61-62+6.5
11-19vsEast Texas A&MQ4#310W 57-53+6.6
11-20vsUNC AshevilleQ3#149W 74-68-0.6
11-27vsBelmontQ3#98L 66-68-3.7
12-04@NortheasternQ4#302L 46-66-1.4
12-14@AuburnQ1#34L 64-72-22.3
12-18vsRhode IslandQ4#256W 75-66+3.9
12-29vsJames MadisonQ3#100L 47-63-6.1
12-31vsSouth AlabamaQ3#106W 68-58-0.8
01-05@UL MonroeQ4#306L 58-66+1.6
01-07@LouisianaQ2#104L 70-78-9.5
01-12vsTroyQ3#157L 53-65-0.6
01-14vsCoastal CarolinaQ4#303W 100-66+5.5
01-19@Old DominionQ3#180L 58-70-6.8
01-21@Georgia SouthernQ3#216L 52-58-3.6
01-26@App StateQ3#193L 59-71-5.3
01-28@MarshallQ2#94L 65-103-13.0
02-02vsGeorgia SouthernQ4#216W 64-60+2.6
02-04vsSouthern MissQ3#131L 71-79-4.0
02-09vsOld DominionQ4#180L 60-63-0.6
02-11vsMarshallQ3#94L 77-88-6.5
02-16@Coastal CarolinaQ4#303L 68-77-1.5
02-18@Arkansas StateQ4#285L 70-75-0.5
02-22vsApp StateQ4#193L 52-78-0.0
02-24@James MadisonQ2#100L 69-90-14.6
02-28nTexas StateQ3#188L 76-81-3.9

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.