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Wagner

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

NEC · 10-16 · AdjEM -18.3, 340 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
-18.3340 of 364
AdjO
90.2360 of 364
AdjD
108.5245 of 364
AdjT
63.4361 of 364

Wagner went from -11.0 (#296) on 2024-11-03 to -18.3 (#340) on 2025-04-07, peaking at -11.0 (#296) on 2024-11-03.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 26 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
43.7%363
TOV%
17.9%304
OREB%
30.1%111
FTA/FGA
29.3%290
Opp eFG%
50.4%153
Opp TOV%
16.6%129
DREB%
77.2%13
Opp FTA/FGA
39.9%329

Résumé10-16 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
-11.5362 of 364
Non-conference
-5.4333 of 364
Luck
+1.9%147 of 364
Wins above bubble
-13.6252 of 364
Quad 1
0-1
Quad 2
0-2
Quad 3
1-1
Quad 4
9-12

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Javier EzquerraG3034.47.13.64.642.8%44.4%15.9%29.3%70.4%
Zaire WilliamsG2630.812.14.01.948.0%50.6%24.5%34.2%69.1%
Tyje KeltonF2924.15.33.90.647.5%48.2%13.7%33.8%83.3%
Zavier FitchF3020.84.44.10.851.6%54.7%12.6%8.3%62.5%
Keyontae LewisF2921.45.65.00.453.7%56.5%14.8%66.7%69.8%
R.J. GreeneG2919.18.14.91.337.1%44.8%32.5%0.0%68.3%
Ja'Kair SanchezG2918.98.82.00.853.9%59.0%25.4%36.5%81.9%
Zae BlakeG2521.89.92.41.851.2%54.8%26.7%41.6%83.0%
Di'Andre Howell-SouthG2514.13.22.21.136.7%39.8%19.9%24.0%63.6%
Churchill BoundsF1810.62.31.40.152.6%50.2%14.5%—25.0%
Rahmir MooreG226.59.52.02.036.4%40.6%25.5%50.0%100.0%
Rob Taylor IIF510.43.62.20.450.0%50.6%22.1%—50.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games10-16

“Ours” is our projected margin for Wagner, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06@RutgersQ2#77L 52-75-15.0
11-13@St. John'sQ1#18L 45-66-26.6
11-16@Seton HallQ3#160L 28-54-17.7
11-19@Boston UniversityQ4#294W 60-58-7.0
11-26@GeorgetownQ2#99L 41-66-9.1
12-04vsCoppin StateQ4#362W 65-52+14.8
12-08@Maryland Eastern ShoreQ4#360W 63-61+6.8
12-14@NJITQ4#349W 50-43-1.3
12-18vsManhattanQ4#262L 66-80+3.2
01-03vsChicago StateQ4#359L 52-64+8.5
01-05vsFairleigh DickinsonQ4#306L 59-71+3.1
01-10@Central ConnecticutQ3#189W 62-57-14.5
01-18vsMercyhurstQ4#330L 65-69+3.7
01-20vsSt. Francis (PA)Q4#317W 70-68+2.3
01-24@MercyhurstQ4#330L 66-71-3.2
01-26@St. Francis (PA)Q4#317W 68-66-4.0
01-30@StonehillQ4#327L 61-73-5.0
02-01vsLe MoyneQ4#351W 73-61+4.2
02-06vsLong Island UniversityQ4#295L 47-60+1.1
02-08@Fairleigh DickinsonQ4#306L 58-69-5.8
02-13@Le MoyneQ4#351L 68-72-2.4
02-20vsStonehillQ4#327W 63-57-0.8
02-22@Chicago StateQ4#359W 64-52-0.6
02-27@Long Island UniversityQ4#295L 47-60-6.3
03-01vsCentral ConnecticutQ4#189L 48-55-8.5
03-05@St. Francis (PA)Q4#317L 55-58-5.3

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.