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Central Connecticut

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

NEC · 26-7 · AdjEM -2.3, 189 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
-2.3189 of 364
AdjO
99.6260 of 364
AdjD
102.0109 of 364
AdjT
68.1269 of 364

Central Connecticut went from -8.1 (#266) on 2024-11-03 to -2.3 (#189) on 2025-04-07, peaking at -0.8 (#173) on 2025-02-24.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 33 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
52.9%81
TOV%
15.9%184
OREB%
24.9%262
FTA/FGA
25.8%346
Opp eFG%
47.9%51
Opp TOV%
16.6%131
DREB%
76.9%18
Opp FTA/FGA
18.9%2

Résumé26-7 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
-12.3364 of 364
Non-conference
-4.0309 of 364
Luck
+6.1%57 of 364
Wins above bubble
-5.191 of 364
Quad 1
0-0
Quad 2
1-1
Quad 3
1-1
Quad 4
24-5

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Jordan JonesG3229.314.33.33.552.3%56.0%27.1%35.2%83.1%
Joe OstrowskyG3227.76.03.32.449.7%51.9%12.9%34.3%82.6%
Devin HaidG3227.514.25.62.155.4%59.5%26.9%31.8%84.7%
Jayden BrownF3227.310.14.81.251.7%53.4%21.2%32.6%65.6%
Abdul MomohF3125.78.66.11.059.2%60.0%18.1%0.0%60.2%
Davonte SweatmanG3123.26.52.02.346.2%49.9%18.0%31.8%79.1%
Darin Smith Jr.F3118.06.83.00.464.1%65.3%17.6%46.3%75.0%
Max FrazierF2710.03.12.60.563.9%61.1%17.4%—38.9%
James JonesG2311.61.12.61.030.0%37.4%9.0%0.0%80.0%
Jaelen McGloneG1512.84.71.50.554.2%56.2%20.3%36.4%85.7%
Brody LimricF95.02.41.00.471.4%71.3%19.6%44.4%66.7%
Ja'Kobe WilliamsG130.08.04.02.028.6%28.6%32.3%0.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games26-7

“Ours” is our projected margin for Central Connecticut, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-04@ProvidenceQ2#79L 55-59-20.0
11-08@Saint Joseph'sQ2#83W 73-67-11.8
11-16nNortheasternQ4#210L 62-80+1.3
11-21@Sacred HeartQ4#263L 54-67+2.0
11-24vsBinghamtonQ4#300W 64-56+10.3
12-01vsUMass LowellQ4#218W 69-67-0.7
12-04@MassachusettsQ3#195W 73-69-7.9
12-07@Holy CrossQ4#320W 69-56+2.9
12-15@Rhode IslandQ3#146L 69-77-11.2
12-18@FairfieldQ4#323W 64-63+2.8
12-21vsQuinnipiacQ4#194W 84-80+4.1
01-03@St. Francis (PA)Q4#317W 74-59+6.1
01-05@MercyhurstQ4#330W 62-50+5.7
01-10vsWagnerQ4#340L 57-62+14.5
01-12vsLong Island UniversityQ4#295L 52-54+13.5
01-18@Fairleigh DickinsonQ4#306W 71-60+3.0
01-24@Le MoyneQ4#351W 93-70+7.1
01-26vsChicago StateQ4#359W 81-64+16.0
01-30@Long Island UniversityQ4#295W 63-50+4.6
02-01@StonehillQ4#327W 71-63+4.9
02-06vsFairleigh DickinsonQ4#306W 87-66+10.8
02-07vsFairleigh DickinsonQ4#306W 87-66+10.8
02-13vsMercyhurstQ4#330W 73-63+13.1
02-14vsMercyhurstQ4#330W 73-63+13.1
02-15vsSt. Francis (PA)Q4#317W 83-67+12.6
02-20@Chicago StateQ4#359W 81-75+11.9
02-22vsStonehillQ4#327W 67-41+11.3
02-27vsLe MoyneQ4#351W 84-75+16.8
02-28vsLe MoyneQ4#351W 84-75+16.8
03-01@WagnerQ4#340W 55-48+8.5
03-05vsLe MoyneQ4#351W 86-67+16.0
03-08vsFairleigh DickinsonQ4#306W 76-72+11.8
03-11vsSt. Francis (PA)Q4#317L 43-46+12.3

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.