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Central Michigan

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

MAC · 8-21 · AdjEM -14.9, 332 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
-14.9332 of 363
AdjO
90.5350 of 363
AdjD
105.4253 of 363
AdjT
69.0207 of 363

Central Michigan went from -13.2 (#338) on 2022-11-06 to -14.9 (#332) on 2023-04-03, peaking at -7.6 (#271) on 2022-12-05.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 29 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
46.5%330
TOV%
21.4%354
OREB%
28.1%133
FTA/FGA
36.9%44
Opp eFG%
51.9%259
Opp TOV%
17.8%117
DREB%
70.2%307
Opp FTA/FGA
41.0%342

Résumé8-21 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
-3.0243 of 363
Non-conference
-2.5270 of 363
Luck
+2.0%129 of 363
Wins above bubble
-15.6309 of 363
Quad 1
1-1
Quad 2
0-4
Quad 3
0-7
Quad 4
7-9

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Brian TaylorG3136.414.46.11.745.5%48.7%23.3%28.4%66.7%
Reggie BassG3030.912.43.63.341.5%49.3%25.8%32.0%82.0%
Max MajerleG3022.34.02.70.642.4%45.3%12.5%26.7%67.9%
Ola AjiboyeF3019.33.03.40.644.1%49.3%10.3%0.0%61.7%
Jesse ZarzuelaG1731.816.32.82.749.1%53.6%28.8%35.6%82.8%
Markus HardingC2421.59.34.00.753.8%56.4%25.0%30.4%68.3%
Nicolas PavretteF2916.94.64.50.459.4%54.1%14.9%—27.3%
Carrington McCaskillF2117.14.94.30.650.6%54.2%17.3%11.1%66.7%
Miroslav StaflC2413.44.12.60.545.7%54.2%20.2%21.1%77.8%
Amani DrummondG1515.12.31.30.841.4%42.3%13.2%21.4%45.5%
Marc GarlandG1213.92.90.90.347.1%48.7%14.5%33.3%75.0%
Boopie MillerG435.018.53.85.354.8%59.2%29.1%37.5%77.3%
Caleb HodgsonF165.21.41.10.364.3%57.0%14.7%50.0%38.5%
Emil SkyttaG612.82.21.00.842.3%45.1%11.4%20.0%66.7%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games8-21

“Ours” is our projected margin for Central Michigan, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-10@MarquetteQ1#19L 73-97-16.7
11-13vsEastern IllinoisQ4#348W 76-60+9.0
11-17@MinnesotaQ3#214L 60-68-8.4
11-21nHigh PointQ4#281L 67-68-7.6
11-23nCal State NorthridgeQ4#336W 82-66+0.1
11-26@California BaptistQ3#185L 61-77-9.1
12-07vsRobert MorrisQ4#247L 66-71+5.1
12-10@TulsaQ4#315L 63-70-7.7
12-18@Missouri StateQ2#123L 58-79-14.8
12-21vsYoungstown StateQ3#140L 65-76-2.5
12-29@MichiganQ1#48W 63-61-18.9
01-03vsMiami (OH)Q4#290W 68-56+7.6
01-07@Eastern MichiganQ4#321L 56-62-3.0
01-10@Northern IllinoisQ4#248L 54-73-2.0
01-14vsBuffaloQ4#195W 87-78-0.8
01-17vsAkronQ3#112L 51-69-5.4
01-21@OhioQ2#135L 68-96-12.1
01-24vsBowling GreenQ4#292L 61-83+2.7
01-28vsWestern MichiganQ4#329W 70-69+3.6
01-31@Kent StateQ2#76L 69-81-20.4
02-04@ToledoQ2#89L 59-84-16.7
02-07vsBall StateQ4#166L 51-65-5.4
02-11@Miami (OH)Q4#290W 66-60-4.4
02-14@Bowling GreenQ4#292W 77-74-6.3
02-18vsOhioQ3#135L 59-76-6.1
02-21@BuffaloQ3#195L 35-63-11.8
02-25vsNorthern IllinoisQ4#248L 80-84-0.3
02-28vsToledoQ3#89L 65-99-11.2
03-03@Western MichiganQ4#329L 65-81-3.4

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.