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Ball State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

MAC · 18-12 · AdjEM -0.0, 166 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
-0.0166 of 363
AdjO
104.8118 of 363
AdjD
104.8241 of 363
AdjT
69.2193 of 363

Ball State went from -4.2 (#234) on 2022-11-06 to -0.0 (#166) on 2023-04-03, peaking at +3.4 (#132) on 2023-01-09.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
53.0%56
TOV%
16.8%155
OREB%
28.7%115
FTA/FGA
42.3%8
Opp eFG%
51.0%207
Opp TOV%
16.1%239
DREB%
73.5%179
Opp FTA/FGA
31.3%188

Résumé18-12 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
-3.6263 of 363
Non-conference
-4.4322 of 363
Luck
+2.7%111 of 363
Wins above bubble
-6.8147 of 363
Quad 1
0-0
Quad 2
1-5
Quad 3
3-4
Quad 4
14-3

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players13 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Jarron ColemanG3034.314.34.93.846.6%50.4%24.9%35.2%77.6%
Demarius JacobsG3232.012.23.73.364.7%68.8%17.1%44.4%83.3%
Jaylin SellersG3129.913.53.70.858.2%61.2%21.6%45.0%75.7%
Payton SparksC3129.213.38.71.959.2%58.0%23.5%40.0%52.5%
Mickey Pearson Jr.F3125.27.75.50.553.9%58.2%15.8%32.6%72.8%
Luke BumbaloughG3217.12.81.21.441.5%44.0%11.6%27.7%65.0%
Basheer JihadF3216.67.13.60.551.2%55.9%23.1%27.9%72.5%
Jalen WindhamG3015.45.91.40.851.0%53.5%20.1%39.8%71.4%
Kaiyem ClearyG215.42.00.70.152.9%54.7%20.4%21.4%66.7%
Ben HendriksC133.20.80.80.236.4%39.7%19.7%—50.0%
Darian Owens-WhiteG75.70.60.70.440.0%40.0%11.5%0.0%—
Micah BellG113.04.01.01.066.7%66.7%19.6%0.0%—
Jack FutaG52.20.00.40.20.0%0.0%9.3%0.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games18-12

“Ours” is our projected margin for Ball State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-12@Indiana StateQ2#91L 71-83-7.4
11-16@OmahaQ4#326W 71-61+3.9
11-25nVermontQ2#99L 73-78-6.5
11-26nMissouri StateQ3#123W 67-64-13.1
11-27nSan José StateQ3#118L 65-67+0.0
12-03@DuquesneQ3#145L 77-78-6.3
12-07@Eastern IllinoisQ4#348W 76-59+9.2
12-10vsEvansvilleQ4#353W 88-69+14.1
12-17nIllinois StateQ4#261W 83-69+2.4
12-21vsGeorgia SouthernQ4#216W 58-54+12.2
12-28vsChicago StateQ4#309W 70-63+12.4
01-03@ToledoQ2#89W 90-83-7.9
01-06vsAkronQ3#112W 70-63+3.2
01-10@OhioQ2#135L 71-76-3.2
01-14vsMiami (OH)Q4#290W 75-61+15.5
01-17vsWestern MichiganQ4#329W 71-70+13.6
01-20@Kent StateQ2#76L 65-86-10.1
01-24vsBuffaloQ4#195L 65-91+6.0
01-28@Northern IllinoisQ4#248W 87-69+3.7
01-31@Bowling GreenQ4#292W 69-60+1.8
02-03vsEastern MichiganQ4#321W 91-90+14.3
02-07@Central MichiganQ4#332W 65-51+5.4
02-11vsBowling GreenQ4#292W 93-72+10.0
02-14vsNorthern IllinoisQ4#248W 87-77+9.3
02-18@Western MichiganQ4#329L 68-78+6.5
02-21vsKent StateQ3#76W 82-70-3.4
02-25@Eastern MichiganQ4#321L 68-75+6.3
02-28@AkronQ2#112L 83-87-6.7
03-03vsToledoQ3#89L 81-87-0.9
03-09nOhioQ3#135L 70-90-1.3

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.