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Bowling Green

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

MAC · 9-20 · AdjEM -10.2, 292 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
-10.2292 of 363
AdjO
99.7221 of 363
AdjD
109.8328 of 363
AdjT
71.853 of 363

Bowling Green went from -9.2 (#306) on 2022-11-06 to -10.2 (#292) on 2023-04-03, peaking at -6.7 (#255) on 2023-01-09.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 29 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
50.5%188
TOV%
16.9%167
OREB%
27.2%159
FTA/FGA
32.5%131
Opp eFG%
54.1%327
Opp TOV%
15.7%266
DREB%
73.9%158
Opp FTA/FGA
33.6%243

Résumé9-20 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
-3.6264 of 363
Non-conference
-5.1332 of 363
Luck
-4.3%279 of 363
Wins above bubble
-15.4307 of 363
Quad 1
0-0
Quad 2
0-3
Quad 3
2-9
Quad 4
7-8

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Leon Ayers IIIG3130.116.54.03.152.5%56.6%27.2%41.4%80.8%
Kaden MethenyG2831.810.72.92.652.0%53.5%17.4%38.2%83.3%
Samari CurtisG2928.012.93.54.147.6%56.1%24.7%31.8%87.9%
Chandler TurnerF2925.08.85.31.150.7%53.1%19.2%27.5%69.8%
Brenton MillsG3023.75.13.00.851.2%53.8%11.2%33.3%73.3%
Rashaun AgeeF3018.29.95.70.754.2%55.5%29.0%24.0%57.1%
Sam TownsF2718.86.14.40.556.5%58.8%15.4%20.0%65.5%
Isaac ElsasserG3013.43.41.60.559.7%60.5%11.7%44.4%64.7%
Gabe O'NealF288.03.11.70.150.0%54.0%21.3%—64.9%
Willie LightfootG1411.23.71.11.642.9%45.6%23.1%27.3%58.8%
Anthony McComb IIIG217.41.20.80.324.4%27.2%15.7%5.3%50.0%
Ubong-Abasi EtimC155.61.01.70.163.6%62.8%8.7%—50.0%
Troy Glover IIF324.08.06.00.038.5%40.9%23.4%0.0%57.1%
Jackson WatsonG84.41.90.80.154.5%58.1%22.3%28.6%75.0%
Madani DiarraF91.90.10.70.00.0%16.9%14.3%—50.0%
Greg SpurginF21.51.50.00.0150.0%150.0%16.3%100.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games9-20

“Ours” is our projected margin for Bowling Green, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07vsAir ForceQ3#150W 62-58+0.8
11-11@OaklandQ4#264W 87-82-13.2
11-15@Wright StateQ3#186L 71-80-11.0
11-19@St. BonaventureQ3#172L 68-81-10.9
11-22@Notre DameQ3#152L 66-82-12.5
11-26vsSouthern IndianaQ4#275L 57-69-0.8
11-29vsQueens UniversityQ4#227L 66-72+2.8
12-03vsMorgan StateQ4#295W 86-76+2.4
12-11@HamptonQ4#352W 86-72-2.3
12-14@Norfolk StateQ3#176L 75-81-11.0
12-17vsUT MartinQ4#251L 67-75+3.8
01-03@Eastern MichiganQ4#321W 91-65-4.7
01-07vsOhioQ3#135W 88-79-5.1
01-10vsAkronQ3#112L 70-74-2.7
01-14@Western MichiganQ4#329L 92-108+0.2
01-17@BuffaloQ3#195L 71-100-8.1
01-21vsMiami (OH)Q4#290W 83-73+6.8
01-24@Central MichiganQ4#332W 83-61-2.7
01-28@ToledoQ2#89L 77-91-15.1
01-31vsBall StateQ4#166L 60-69-1.8
02-04vsNorthern IllinoisQ4#248L 78-86+5.2
02-07@Kent StateQ2#76L 64-87-16.9
02-11@Ball StateQ3#166L 72-93-10.0
02-14vsCentral MichiganQ4#332L 74-77+6.3
02-18vsToledoQ3#89L 86-91-6.9
02-21@Miami (OH)Q4#290L 65-74-1.8
02-25vsKent StateQ3#76L 69-79-10.7
02-28vsEastern MichiganQ4#321W 88-68+5.9
03-03@OhioQ2#135L 58-92-11.8

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.