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Central Connecticut

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

NEC · 8-24 · AdjEM -15.9, 343 of 359 nationally.

2021-22 seasonthrough ratings as of 2022-04-0421 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2022-04-04

Every team →
AdjEM
-15.9343 of 359
AdjO
90.9351 of 359
AdjD
106.8310 of 359
AdjT
67.6285 of 359

Central Connecticut went from -7.6 (#344) on 2021-11-15 to -15.9 (#343) on 2022-04-04, peaking at -7.6 (#344) on 2021-11-15.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2021-11-152022-04-04

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
46.0%328
TOV%
18.8%283
OREB%
23.4%268
FTA/FGA
29.1%214
Opp eFG%
52.9%301
Opp TOV%
18.0%127
DREB%
69.9%322
Opp FTA/FGA
28.8%140

Résumé8-24 · against the ratings of 2022-04-04

Schedule strength
-5.1330 of 359
Non-conference
-1.6261 of 359
Luck
-0.1%171 of 359
Wins above bubble
-17.8350 of 359
Quad 1
0-2
Quad 2
0-2
Quad 3
0-9
Quad 4
8-11

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players11 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Andre SnoddyG3129.58.07.11.547.8%51.7%—0.0%72.5%
Tre MitchellG2925.57.42.91.238.4%44.3%—30.4%81.3%
Trent McLaughlinG3121.25.82.70.952.6%53.6%—39.8%62.1%
Joe OstrowskyG3117.24.01.91.449.6%49.9%—36.8%53.8%
Jayden BrownF2518.85.63.80.543.1%44.7%—17.6%54.1%
Davonte SweatmanG2114.44.81.21.244.9%49.1%—24.0%74.1%
Arian DehnaviC258.71.81.50.248.7%50.9%——63.6%
Abdul MomohF413.33.52.30.054.5%54.3%——50.0%
Ola OlamuyiwaC22.00.00.00.0—————
Kyle RockerG30.70.00.00.00.0%0.0%———
Hegel AugustinG11.00.00.00.0—————

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games8-24

“Ours” is our projected margin for Central Connecticut, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-09@UConnQ1#22L 48-99—
11-14@BrownQ3#208L 57-75—
11-16nNC StateQ3#175L 65-79-4.9
11-17nUMass LowellQ4#246L 53-77-6.8
11-20@QuinnipiacQ3#223L 65-76-16.4
11-23@MaineQ4#352W 64-56-10.8
11-28vsFordhamQ4#173L 83-89+0.9
12-01vsHoly CrossQ4#346W 73-67+10.3
12-04@New HampshireQ3#214L 45-67-18.3
12-11@ProvidenceQ1#30L 53-68-20.5
12-14@Stony BrookQ3#229L 67-87-13.1
12-18vsHartfordQ4#254W 75-65+2.1
12-29vsBryantQ4#195L 76-80+2.2
12-31@St. Francis BrooklynQ4#320W 67-55-9.3
01-01@RutgersQ2#82L 48-79-14.7
01-08vsMerrimackQ4#287L 57-66+2.7
01-15@Long Island UniversityQ3#230L 61-83-11.8
01-17@Sacred HeartQ4#321L 66-74-9.4
01-21@St. Francis (PA)Q4#324L 67-68-8.5
01-23@Mount St. Mary'sQ4#248L 50-65-8.9
01-27vsLong Island UniversityQ4#230W 65-62-3.4
01-30@Fairleigh DickinsonQ4#349L 55-75-4.1
02-03vsWagnerQ3#124L 52-54-11.8
02-05vsFairleigh DickinsonQ4#349W 91-82+4.6
02-10@MerrimackQ4#287W 60-57-6.3
02-12vsSt. Francis BrooklynQ4#320L 50-67+1.7
02-17@BryantQ3#195L 61-75-12.9
02-19@WagnerQ2#124L 68-78-18.6
02-24vsSt. Francis (PA)Q4#324L 63-79+1.8
02-26vsMount St. Mary'sQ4#248L 46-65-2.3
02-28@Fairleigh DickinsonQ4#349W 67-66-1.6
03-02@BryantQ3#195L 59-73-13.7

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 359 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.