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UMass Lowell

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Am. East · 14-15 · AdjEM -4.8, 218 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
-4.8218 of 364
AdjO
106.5138 of 364
AdjD
111.3300 of 364
AdjT
71.193 of 364

UMass Lowell went from +2.5 (#138) on 2024-11-03 to -4.8 (#218) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +2.5 (#138) on 2024-11-03.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 29 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
54.6%45
TOV%
17.2%274
OREB%
24.8%268
FTA/FGA
31.6%215
Opp eFG%
51.6%220
Opp TOV%
13.7%330
DREB%
70.7%264
Opp FTA/FGA
25.2%21

Résumé14-15 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
-6.2296 of 364
Non-conference
-1.7245 of 364
Luck
-6.8%315 of 364
Wins above bubble
-11.9219 of 364
Quad 1
0-1
Quad 2
0-3
Quad 3
1-5
Quad 4
13-6

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players13 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Quinton MinceyG3235.916.86.32.855.6%59.0%23.6%39.4%77.9%
Martin SomervilleG3231.613.62.93.753.8%58.7%21.2%40.5%82.6%
Max BrooksF3230.315.97.91.570.5%71.2%21.9%0.0%72.1%
Yuri CovingtonG3228.710.83.81.351.3%56.0%20.0%33.8%85.9%
Cam Morris IIIF3123.18.54.71.656.9%61.0%20.4%25.0%74.2%
Anthony BluntG3219.53.83.11.844.6%50.6%12.0%23.8%76.7%
Quincy ClarkG2220.46.01.72.449.1%53.7%17.9%25.0%86.2%
Xzavier LinoF3212.23.81.60.552.5%54.1%16.2%32.7%65.2%
Mekhi GrayG1010.13.01.20.954.2%55.9%15.6%28.6%66.7%
Caleb MurphyG77.91.70.61.441.7%44.7%16.2%—66.7%
Keenan BeyF310.73.72.70.050.0%46.4%22.1%50.0%33.3%
Ephraim AcquahF55.41.41.20.431.3%35.4%20.6%50.0%50.0%
Armani PerkinsG33.73.70.70.050.0%55.8%59.6%33.3%66.7%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games14-15

“Ours” is our projected margin for UMass Lowell, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-08vsSaint Peter'sQ4#279W 81-74+5.6
11-15@GonzagaQ1#7L 54-113-24.0
11-17@WashingtonQ2#100L 69-74-10.9
11-23vsQuinnipiacQ4#194W 80-70+4.5
11-25vsMerrimackQ4#185W 81-74+6.8
11-27@Saint LouisQ2#107L 90-93-4.6
12-01@Central ConnecticutQ3#189L 67-69+0.7
12-07@MassachusettsQ3#195W 96-83-4.3
12-11vsLong Island UniversityQ4#295W 69-62+17.9
12-14vsDartmouthQ4#207W 92-83+14.1
12-18vsStonehillQ4#327W 78-67+13.4
12-21vsBoston UniversityQ4#294W 83-71+9.0
01-04@UAlbanyQ4#265W 73-69+1.8
01-09vsVermontQ4#199L 63-67+5.9
01-11vsNJITQ4#349W 70-62+17.6
01-18@BryantQ2#127L 62-85-4.9
01-23vsMaineQ4#202L 85-86+4.0
01-25vsNew HampshireQ4#354W 97-80+16.6
01-30@NJITQ4#349L 62-83+8.9
02-01@UMBCQ4#284W 83-67+0.8
02-06@BinghamtonQ4#300L 54-66+3.9
02-13vsUAlbanyQ4#265L 88-90+7.8
02-15@New HampshireQ4#354L 79-80+9.2
02-20vsUMBCQ4#284W 98-79+6.6
02-22@VermontQ3#199L 61-85-3.1
02-27vsBryantQ3#127L 78-79-2.8
03-01vsBinghamtonQ4#300W 79-53+7.1
03-04@MaineQ3#202L 70-71-3.2
03-08@MaineQ3#202L 64-72-3.2

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.