Providence

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big East · 12-20 · AdjEM +11.2, 79 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →

AdjEM: +11.279 of 364
AdjO: 110.386 of 364
AdjD: 99.178 of 364
AdjT: 68.5245 of 364

Providence went from +16.2 (#47) on 2024-11-03 to +11.2 (#79) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +16.2 (#47) on 2024-11-03.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 52.1%107
TOV%: 17.5%290
OREB%: 30.8%93
FTA/FGA: 29.6%285
Opp eFG%: 49.5%109
Opp TOV%: 12.7%348
DREB%: 74.5%75
Opp FTA/FGA: 32.8%175

Résumé12-20 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength: +10.859 of 364
Non-conference: +1.2149 of 364
Luck: -12.4%360 of 364
Wins above bubble: -8.3148 of 364

Quad 1: 1-12
Quad 2: 3-4
Quad 3: 3-4
Quad 4: 5-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Jayden PierreG	32	34.2	12.3	2.8	3.2	49.6%	52.5%	21.4%	34.2%	79.4%
Bensley JosephG	32	29.8	13.2	4.1	3.2	53.1%	55.5%	24.5%	39.8%	74.0%
Corey Floyd Jr.G	29	28.9	9.2	4.8	2.0	48.3%	53.8%	17.9%	32.4%	80.0%
Oswin ErhunmwunseF	32	20.0	6.8	5.6	0.2	72.3%	68.3%	15.6%	—	47.5%
Ryan MelaG	29	19.6	6.4	5.2	1.9	48.7%	50.6%	20.5%	30.0%	57.4%
Wesley Cardet, Jr.G	25	21.2	8.4	3.1	0.8	52.2%	54.3%	22.1%	38.1%	62.1%
Rich BarronF	27	19.0	5.2	2.3	0.6	46.9%	47.2%	16.3%	33.7%	54.5%
Jabri Abdur-RahimG	22	16.2	7.2	2.6	0.6	53.2%	59.9%	21.0%	36.6%	87.5%
Christ EssandokoF	22	14.9	4.3	3.9	0.8	52.8%	53.3%	18.1%	21.4%	52.8%
Justyn FernandezG	24	10.1	3.6	1.4	0.4	53.2%	54.5%	19.5%	38.5%	83.3%
Eli DeLaurierF	22	5.7	1.2	1.1	0.1	48.2%	48.2%	14.9%	33.3%	—
Anton BonkeC	16	6.5	1.3	1.2	0.3	75.0%	70.7%	13.4%	—	50.0%
Bryce HopkinsF	3	30.7	17.0	7.7	3.0	45.0%	51.5%	30.8%	40.0%	75.0%
Nilavan DanielsG	6	5.3	1.5	0.5	0.2	35.0%	41.1%	17.8%	16.7%	100.0%
Luke FontsG	2	1.0	0.5	0.0	0.0	—	52.6%	50.7%	—	50.0%
Kieran O'HaireF	2	1.0	1.0	0.5	0.0	100.0%	100.0%	26.0%	—	—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games12-20

“Ours” is our projected margin for Providence, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-04	vsCentral Connecticut	Q4#189	W 59-55	+20.0	69	11-03
11-09	vsStonehill	Q4#327	W 76-49	+27.9	70	11-04
11-12	vsHampton	Q4#242	W 60-51	+28.2	71	11-11
11-16	vsGreen Bay	Q4#326	W 79-65	+20.2	69	11-11
11-19	vsDelaware State	Q4#311	W 78-48	+21.0	71	11-18
11-27	nOklahoma	Q1#43	L 77-79	-1.5	70	11-25
11-28	nDavidson	Q3#141	L 58-69	+7.5	70	11-25
11-29	nIndiana	Q2#54	L 73-89	-4.7	70	11-25
12-03	vsBYU	Q1#21	W 83-64	-4.0	70	12-02
12-07	@Rhode Island	Q3#146	L 63-69	-1.1	70	12-02
12-10	@DePaul	Q2#119	W 70-63	+0.7	69	12-09
12-14	nSt. Bonaventure	Q3#113	L 70-74	+1.2	67	12-09
12-20	vsSt. John's	Q1#18	L 70-72	-3.0	71	12-16
12-31	vsMarquette	Q1#24	L 50-78	-4.0	69	12-30
01-05	@UConn	Q1#11	L 84-87	-14.7	68	12-30
01-08	vsButler	Q2#70	W 84-65	+2.7	69	01-06
01-11	vsSeton Hall	Q3#160	W 91-85	+9.4	67	01-06
01-14	@Creighton	Q1#26	L 64-84	-8.1	69	01-13
01-17	@Villanova	Q1#38	L 73-75	-9.3	67	01-13
01-25	vsGeorgetown	Q3#99	W 78-68	+5.7	69	01-20
01-28	@Seton Hall	Q3#160	W 69-67	+3.9	68	01-27
02-01	@St. John's	Q1#18	L 66-68	-10.4	71	01-27
02-05	vsCreighton	Q1#26	L 69-80	-3.6	69	02-03
02-08	@Butler	Q1#70	L 81-82	-2.1	69	02-03
02-12	vsXavier	Q2#46	L 82-91	+1.5	70	02-10
02-15	vsVillanova	Q2#38	W 75-62	-2.2	67	02-10
02-19	@Georgetown	Q2#99	L 72-93	+1.2	69	02-17
02-25	@Marquette	Q1#24	L 52-82	-9.8	70	02-24
03-01	vsUConn	Q1#11	L 63-75	-5.6	68	02-24
03-05	vsDePaul	Q3#119	L 77-80	+9.6	69	03-03
03-08	@Xavier	Q1#46	L 68-76	-7.1	70	03-03
03-12	nButler	Q2#70	L 69-75	-0.8	69	03-10

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.