Michigan

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big Ten · 19-15 · AdjEM +12.3, 33 of 359 nationally.

2021-22 seasonthrough ratings as of 2022-04-0421 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2022-04-04

Every team →

AdjEM: +12.333 of 359
AdjO: 109.325 of 359
AdjD: 97.089 of 359
AdjT: 68.5249 of 359

Michigan went from +5.4 (#39) on 2021-11-15 to +12.3 (#33) on 2022-04-04, peaking at +12.4 (#32) on 2022-03-21.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2021-11-152022-04-04

Four factorsraw season rates · 34 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 52.1%76
TOV%: 16.4%106
OREB%: 29.0%88
FTA/FGA: 29.4%208
Opp eFG%: 49.7%167
Opp TOV%: 13.8%341
DREB%: 77.5%46
Opp FTA/FGA: 25.6%61

Résumé19-15 · against the ratings of 2022-04-04

Schedule strength: +10.33 of 359
Non-conference: +9.24 of 359
Luck: +0.5%159 of 359
Wins above bubble: +0.852 of 359

Quad 1: 6-10
Quad 2: 3-4
Quad 3: 6-1
Quad 4: 4-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players15 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Eli BrooksG	34	36.0	12.8	3.7	2.9	52.4%	56.4%	18.7%	39.4%	87.7%
Caleb HoustanF	34	32.0	10.1	4.0	1.4	48.9%	53.0%	18.1%	35.5%	78.3%
Hunter DickinsonC	32	32.3	18.6	8.6	2.3	58.8%	61.7%	27.8%	32.8%	80.2%
Moussa DiabateF	32	24.9	9.0	6.0	0.8	54.9%	56.5%	20.0%	21.4%	61.9%
Tray JacksonF	32	18.1	6.8	3.5	0.4	57.1%	60.5%	19.6%	39.5%	86.8%
Terrance Williams IIF	31	15.1	4.7	2.4	0.5	54.5%	58.1%	15.8%	38.5%	78.8%
Brandon Johns Jr.F	31	13.3	3.2	2.0	0.4	41.2%	45.3%	16.7%	29.4%	71.4%
Frankie CollinsG	31	11.0	2.8	1.7	1.4	44.5%	44.8%	20.6%	16.7%	44.1%
Kobe BufkinG	28	10.6	3.0	1.1	0.3	43.0%	47.5%	18.4%	22.2%	77.3%
Jace HowardG	14	4.6	1.1	0.5	0.2	46.4%	50.3%	16.1%	14.3%	75.0%
Jaron FauldsF	15	3.4	0.9	0.7	0.1	41.7%	41.1%	18.3%	—	37.5%
Zeb JacksonG	4	8.8	3.3	1.5	0.5	65.0%	65.0%	19.5%	50.0%	—
Adrien NunezG	10	3.1	0.8	0.2	0.0	35.7%	42.7%	17.6%	16.7%	60.0%
Isaiah BarnesG	2	3.0	0.0	0.5	0.0	—	—	0.0%	—	—
Ian BurnsG	2	1.5	0.0	0.0	0.5	0.0%	0.0%	17.5%	0.0%	—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games19-15

“Ours” is our projected margin for Michigan, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-10	vsBuffalo	Q3#110	W 88-76	—
11-13	nPrairie View A&M	Q4#285	W 77-49	—
11-16	vsSeton Hall	Q2#71	L 65-67	+9.6	73	11-15
11-19	nUNLV	Q3#105	W 74-61	+7.3	73	11-15
11-21	nArizona	Q1#3	L 62-80	-2.7	72	11-15
11-24	vsTarleton State	Q4#191	W 65-54	+14.1	66	11-22
12-01	@North Carolina	Q1#20	L 51-72	-7.4	70	11-29
12-04	vsSan Diego State	Q2#36	W 72-58	+12.3	69	11-29
12-07	@Nebraska	Q3#170	W 102-67	-3.5	71	12-06
12-11	vsMinnesota	Q3#141	L 65-75	+5.6	70	12-06
12-18	vsSouthern Utah	Q4#161	W 87-50	+9.1	71	12-13
12-30	@UCF	Q2#108	L 71-85	-5.2	68	12-27
01-04	@Rutgers	Q2#82	L 67-75	-0.6	68	01-03
01-14	@Illinois	Q1#16	L 53-68	-11.8	68	01-10
01-18	vsMaryland	Q3#97	W 83-64	+8.1	69	01-17
01-23	@Indiana	Q1#55	W 80-62	-6.9	69	01-17
01-26	vsNorthwestern	Q3#95	W 72-70	+7.0	69	01-24
01-29	@Michigan State	Q1#48	L 67-83	-5.5	69	01-24
02-01	vsNebraska	Q4#170	W 85-79	+14.2	71	01-31
02-05	@Purdue	Q1#12	L 76-82	-11.5	69	01-31
02-08	@Penn State	Q2#92	W 58-57	-1.0	66	02-07
02-10	vsPurdue	Q1#12	W 82-58	-4.1	68	02-07
02-12	vsOhio State	Q1#26	L 57-68	+0.3	68	02-07
02-17	@Iowa	Q1#13	W 84-79	-7.0	70	02-14
02-20	@Wisconsin	Q1#46	L 63-77	-3.5	68	02-14
02-23	vsRutgers	Q3#82	W 71-62	+6.0	67	02-21
02-27	vsIllinois	Q1#16	L 85-93	-0.9	68	02-21
03-01	vsMichigan State	Q2#48	W 87-70	+3.5	69	02-28
03-03	vsIowa	Q1#13	L 71-82	-0.2	70	02-28
03-06	@Ohio State	Q1#26	W 75-69	-6.0	68	02-28
03-10	nIndiana	Q2#55	L 69-74	+0.8	69	03-07
03-17	nColorado State	Q1#40	W 75-63	-0.7	68	03-14
03-19	nTennessee	Q1#7	W 76-68	-6.4	69	03-14
03-24	nVillanova	Q1#6	L 55-63	-6.0	66	03-21

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 359 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.