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Buffalo

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

MAC · 15-14 · AdjEM -0.1, 175 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
-0.1175 of 364
AdjO
111.187 of 364
AdjD
111.2283 of 364
AdjT
68.5265 of 364

Buffalo went from -2.5 (#258) on 2025-11-10 to -0.1 (#175) on 2026-04-06, peaking at +5.2 (#107) on 2026-01-05.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 29 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
55.6%29
TOV%
15.5%177
OREB%
84.9%218
FTA/FGA
39.8%62
Opp eFG%
54.7%324
Opp TOV%
16.3%123
DREB%
25.4%87
Opp FTA/FGA
31.2%91

Games15-14

“Ours” is our projected margin for Buffalo, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-03vsSouthern MissW 85-79—
11-07vsGreen BayW 83-76—
11-11@DePaulW 66-53-16.4
11-18vsVermontW 94-90+7.0
11-24@VMIW 78-70-4.9
11-26@BucknellW 73-71-0.6
11-29@CanisiusW 71-53+2.4
12-06vsSt. BonaventureL 69-77+7.4
12-09@UMBCW 83-79-3.8
12-14@East CarolinaL 70-73+3.4
12-20@Western MichiganW 88-71+1.4
12-31@Northern IllinoisW 81-67+5.7
01-03vsBall StateW 85-72+16.3
01-13vsKent StateL 81-87+10.2
01-17@Miami (OH)L 102-105-10.4
01-20vsAkronL 63-82+1.0
01-23vsMassachusettsL 67-68+9.5
01-27@Bowling GreenW 89-78-6.2
01-31vsOhioL 83-95+10.1
02-03vsMiami (OH)L 71-73-4.2
02-07@South AlabamaL 69-81-1.7
02-11@Ball StateW 63-53+5.6
02-17vsNorthern IllinoisL 70-72+14.3
02-21@MassachusettsW 86-82-1.5
02-24@AkronL 85-99-10.5
02-28vsCentral MichiganL 70-75+9.5
03-03vsEastern MichiganW 72-67+6.6
03-06@ToledoL 78-98-4.2
03-12@AkronL 70-73-12.1

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.