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Georgia State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Sun Belt · 12-17 · AdjEM -4.8, 223 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
-4.8223 of 362
AdjO
102.1214 of 362
AdjD
106.9232 of 362
AdjT
70.3155 of 362

Georgia State went from -8.1 (#269) on 2023-11-05 to -4.8 (#223) on 2024-04-08, peaking at -3.0 (#200) on 2024-01-15.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 29 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
48.5%266
TOV%
13.0%16
OREB%
25.3%226
FTA/FGA
28.6%294
Opp eFG%
49.3%107
Opp TOV%
13.4%327
DREB%
71.1%265
Opp FTA/FGA
35.9%265

Résumé12-17 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
-1.7186 of 362
Non-conference
-1.3229 of 362
Luck
-1.4%209 of 362
Wins above bubble
-12.3245 of 362
Quad 1
0-3
Quad 2
0-4
Quad 3
4-4
Quad 4
8-6

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Toneari LaneG3131.313.32.50.847.7%49.9%21.5%33.7%82.0%
Jay'Den TurnerF3130.89.38.51.151.3%54.5%15.6%34.0%73.5%
Lucas TaylorG3130.714.53.01.848.4%50.7%25.7%35.4%78.7%
Dwon OdomG3128.911.85.04.653.0%57.8%20.3%42.9%81.0%
Leslie NkereuwemF3124.48.55.30.657.9%60.0%16.8%42.9%67.6%
Brenden TuckerG3015.46.51.40.645.7%52.4%22.6%17.2%78.6%
Ed NnamokoF2815.43.04.40.549.1%58.3%10.7%—78.6%
Julian MackeyG2712.05.01.50.942.2%47.0%24.3%26.4%83.9%
Jamaine MannG1815.65.93.10.448.8%51.2%20.9%21.7%59.0%
Malik FergusonG87.64.40.50.667.4%66.5%24.5%43.8%57.1%
Anthony EnohF113.00.02.00.00.0%0.0%34.1%0.0%—
Aaron OhG32.00.00.30.00.0%0.0%16.4%0.0%—
Brevyn ColemanG32.00.70.00.30.0%51.3%16.0%0.0%100.0%
Matt DavisG32.00.70.30.033.3%33.3%24.6%0.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games12-17

“Ours” is our projected margin for Georgia State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06@BelmontQ2#120L 87-89-12.4
11-11@Western MichiganQ4#303W 77-70+3.0
11-17vsNorthern IllinoisQ4#292L 64-70+2.5
11-19vsLittle RockQ4#190W 88-77+8.6
11-22@Little RockQ3#190W 93-90+0.7
11-25@CharlotteQ2#113L 57-65-13.7
12-02@Kennesaw StateQ4#253L 77-88-5.3
12-09@MercerQ3#230L 60-64-4.7
12-16@BYUQ1#16L 54-86-27.4
12-30vsArkansas StateQ3#155W 91-90+2.8
01-04@Southern MissQ3#235L 73-79-3.5
01-06@South AlabamaQ3#216W 90-76-7.2
01-11vsOld DominionQ4#277W 77-70+5.8
01-13vsGeorgia SouthernQ4#273W 90-62+10.3
01-17@App StateQ1#75L 68-76-13.1
01-20@Georgia SouthernQ4#273L 70-86+3.6
01-24@MarshallQ3#226L 68-77-5.3
01-27@Coastal CarolinaQ4#311L 83-85+2.5
02-01vsApp StateQ2#75L 71-81-7.7
02-03vsTroyQ3#148L 74-78-0.2
02-07@LouisianaQ3#153W 78-69-10.2
02-10vsMiami (OH)Q4#236W 73-53+3.4
02-15@James MadisonQ1#66L 63-83-15.2
02-17@Old DominionQ4#277W 68-65-0.7
02-21vsCoastal CarolinaQ4#311W 72-71+10.5
02-24vsTexas StateQ4#205L 59-68+4.9
02-28vsJames MadisonQ2#66L 78-84-9.1
03-01vsMarshallQ4#226W 82-79+3.7
03-07nMarshallQ4#226L 74-86+0.7

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.