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Tennessee State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

OVC · 14-15 · AdjEM -10.3, 291 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
-10.3291 of 362
AdjO
97.1293 of 362
AdjD
107.3241 of 362
AdjT
70.9127 of 362

Tennessee State went from -8.0 (#267) on 2023-11-05 to -10.3 (#291) on 2024-04-08, peaking at -4.3 (#217) on 2023-11-27.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 29 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
48.8%257
TOV%
18.1%318
OREB%
25.5%216
FTA/FGA
38.1%51
Opp eFG%
48.8%82
Opp TOV%
17.4%78
DREB%
69.8%312
Opp FTA/FGA
44.3%348

Résumé14-15 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
-8.0341 of 362
Non-conference
-1.5239 of 362
Luck
+3.3%103 of 362
Wins above bubble
-11.7226 of 362
Quad 1
0-2
Quad 2
0-2
Quad 3
0-4
Quad 4
14-7

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Kinyon HodgesG3328.39.85.71.953.1%56.9%17.5%22.2%74.4%
EJ BellingerG3325.612.45.01.255.0%58.4%23.9%37.5%80.0%
Jaylen JonesG3125.79.23.82.748.4%51.1%22.5%36.5%68.1%
Christian BrownG2825.212.83.40.753.4%59.1%24.8%36.3%80.7%
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.G2725.99.02.32.442.2%47.5%22.8%26.7%73.8%
Michael ShanksF3320.46.52.60.947.5%52.3%17.5%28.0%79.3%
Jason JitobohF2623.89.65.01.056.8%63.2%19.3%33.3%81.5%
Justin WilliamsG3314.84.21.71.342.0%45.2%19.0%32.5%68.6%
Denim DawsonG2512.51.61.50.331.1%33.3%12.2%15.0%46.7%
Emmanuel DowuonaF237.91.61.30.250.0%57.3%12.0%—66.7%
Knute WoodG257.22.30.70.452.5%59.2%16.6%42.1%84.2%
David AcostaF1310.82.12.00.352.0%50.2%11.1%—25.0%
Riggs AbnerG104.31.20.40.278.6%75.5%11.7%75.0%50.0%
Aaron NkrumahG132.025.011.03.061.1%62.8%36.1%40.0%75.0%
Elijah JointerF42.01.01.00.0100.0%100.0%12.6%——
Riggs AbnerG11.00.00.00.0——0.0%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games14-15

“Ours” is our projected margin for Tennessee State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-15@PortlandQ4#288W 75-65-9.8
11-17@OregonQ1#54L 67-92-19.8
11-24nMercerQ4#230L 59-60-1.6
11-25nSE LouisianaQ4#309W 91-77+3.1
11-29@Alabama A&MQ4#330L 83-85+6.0
12-02vsAustin PeayQ4#241W 69-65+9.8
12-10@LipscombQ3#167L 71-78-10.9
12-13@LibertyQ2#119L 52-74-18.8
12-19@Indiana StateQ1#42L 69-90-22.8
12-28vsUT MartinQ4#221L 75-91+1.2
12-30vsLittle RockQ4#190W 90-82+5.9
01-04@Southern IndianaQ4#318L 67-69-2.1
01-06@Morehead StateQ2#117L 68-78-12.8
01-13vsLindenwoodQ4#358W 75-60+11.0
01-18vsTennessee TechQ4#336W 85-53+7.0
01-20@Western IllinoisQ4#266W 58-57-5.6
01-27@Eastern IllinoisQ4#321W 64-60+1.4
02-01vsMorehead StateQ3#117L 49-68-4.7
02-03vsSouthern IndianaQ4#318W 79-74+8.9
02-08@LindenwoodQ4#358W 65-55+6.1
02-10@Southeast Missouri StateQ4#351W 77-74+5.9
02-13@Tennessee TechQ4#336L 50-70+3.4
02-17vsWestern IllinoisQ4#266L 61-68+2.5
02-22vsEastern IllinoisQ4#321W 78-73+7.1
02-24vsSIU EdwardsvilleQ4#290W 76-71+3.1
02-29@Little RockQ3#190L 60-85-6.8
03-02@UT MartinQ3#221L 87-96-7.2
03-06nSouthern IndianaQ4#318W 78-64+2.7
03-07nWestern IllinoisQ4#266L 59-61-2.4

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.